3000 N 91ST AVENUE, PHOENIX, AZ 85037 · CCN 035302
Composite
92.4 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
94
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 92.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later lease_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
12
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
AZ median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.46
3.53
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.26
0.43
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.15
3.35
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.59
3.62
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
91.5
3.46
0.26
1.23
1.98
3.15
7.8%
2025Q3
92
85.4
4.41
0.43
1.35
2.62
3.88
2.5%
2025Q2
91
92.0
4.40
0.48
1.24
2.67
4.15
2.3%
2025Q1
90
89.1
3.96
0.23
1.42
2.31
3.75
6.6%
2024Q4
92
81.5
4.01
0.18
1.41
2.42
3.67
0.4%
2024Q3
92
73.6
4.50
0.17
1.80
2.53
4.29
1.5%
2024Q2
91
75.5
4.52
0.29
1.68
2.56
4.38
2.6%
2024Q1
91
72.4
4.65
0.27
1.80
2.58
4.58
1.4%
2023Q4
92
66.9
4.82
0.23
1.89
2.69
4.88
5.3%
2023Q3
92
55.1
5.46
0.29
2.33
2.85
5.33
0.0%
2023Q2
91
44.5
6.21
0.69
2.39
3.13
6.03
0.0%
2023Q1
90
39.5
5.53
0.84
2.11
2.58
5.02
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2026-04-03
2026-02-06
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2026-04-03
2026-01-29
Health · complaint
F0628
Provide the required documentation or notification related to the resident's needs, appeal rights, or bed-hold policies.
D
2026-02-22
2026-01-29
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2026-02-22
2025-12-05
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
E
2026-01-18
2025-01-07
Health · complaint
F0607
Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft.
D
2025-02-11
2025-01-07
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2025-02-11
2024-10-31
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2024-11-04
2024-08-14
Health · complaint
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
E
2024-09-10
2023-04-05
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2023-05-11
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
39
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
91ST AVENUE HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2021-05-03
current
pecos_ownership
91ST AVENUE?HOLDINGS LLC
Other (financial or non-financial)
100%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
91ST AVENUE?HOLDINGS LLC
Other (financial or non-financial)
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
91ST AVENUE?PROPERTIES LLC
Other (financial or non-financial)
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
91ST AVENUE?PROPERTIES LLC
Other (financial or non-financial)
100%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
91ST AVENUE HOLDINGS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-06-25
current
pecos_ownership
91ST AVENUE PROPERTIES LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-06-25
current
pecos_ownership
ASCENSION ALPHA FUND, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-03
current
pecos_ownership
CALIFORNIA IRONWORKERS FIELD PENSION TRUST
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-03
current
pecos_ownership
CHAVEZ, JORGE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
COHEN, YAAKOV
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
DBAZ MANAGEMENT, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-03
current
pecos_ownership
DBAZ MANAGEMENT, LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
FELICIANO, ELMA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
IH-AZ HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2021-05-03
current
pecos_ownership
LACEK, HELEN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
LOCUST POINTE SENIOR DEBT FUND, II, L.P.
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-03
current
pecos_ownership
LOTUS DEVELOPMENT LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2021-05-03
current
pecos_ownership
LPC GP II, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-09-03
current
pecos_ownership
LPPC FEEDER, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-09-03
current
pecos_ownership
MATRIX CAPITAL PARTNERS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2021-05-03
current
pecos_ownership
PACIFIC PRIVATE CREDIT FUND III L. P.
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-09-03
current
pecos_ownership
PRIME ACCESS MORTGAGE INC.
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2021-05-03
current
pecos_ownership
RED CLOVER TECHNOLOGY LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2021-05-03
current
pecos_ownership
RESOLVE OF PHOENIX POST ACUTE, LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
RESOLVE OF PHOENIX POST ACUTE, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-21
current
pecos_ownership
SEIF, YEHOSHUA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2025-01-29
current
pecos_ownership
SEIF, YEHOSHUA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SMITH, ERIC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-29
current
pecos_ownership
SMITH, ERIC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-09-03
current
pecos_ownership
TEACHER'S RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF THE STATE OF ILLINOIS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-03
current
pecos_ownership
ERIC SMITH
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
1%
2025-09-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ELMA FELICIANO
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ERIC SMITH
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2025-01-29
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HELEN LACEK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JORGE CHAVEZ
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
YAAKOV COHEN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
YEHOSHUA SEIF
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
YEHOSHUA SEIF
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-29
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
3
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$3,970,414
—
—
—
—
3
propco
2023-12-31
$3,805,698
—
—
—
—
3
propco
2022-12-31
$300,000
—
—
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 04013
acs median gross
0
$1,383
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 04013
fmr
0
$1,457
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 04013
acs median gross
1
$1,453
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 04013
fmr
1
$1,583
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 04013
acs median gross
2
$1,698
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 04013
fmr
2
$1,839
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 04013
acs median gross
3
$2,027
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 04013
fmr
3
$2,452
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 04013
acs median gross
4
$2,312
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 04013
fmr
4
$2,720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 04013
acs median gross
5
$2,632
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 04013
acs median gross
$1,708
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 04013
acs recent mover gross
$1,867
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 85037
acs median gross
1
$1,502
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 85037
acs median gross
2
$1,784
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 85037
acs median gross
3
$1,852
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 85037
acs median gross
4
$2,037
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 85037
acs median gross
5
$2,475
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 85037
acs median gross
$1,800
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 85037
acs recent mover gross
$2,084
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 85037
payment standard 110
0
$1,650
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 85037
payment standard 90
0
$1,350
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 85037
safmr
0
$1,500
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 85037
payment standard 110
1
$1,793
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 85037
payment standard 90
1
$1,467
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 85037
safmr
1
$1,630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 85037
payment standard 110
2
$2,079
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 85037
payment standard 90
2
$1,701
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 85037
safmr
2
$1,890
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 85037
payment standard 110
3
$2,772
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 85037
payment standard 90
3
$2,268
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 85037
safmr
3
$2,520
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 85037
payment standard 110
4
$3,080
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 85037
payment standard 90
4
$2,520
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 85037
safmr
4
$2,800
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.