Reads as: riskier than 68.3% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
6
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
14 chains
DAVIS DAVID
122 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
14 chains
BARNEY LEIGH
122 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
13 chains
CONTINENTAL MERGER SUB LLC
95 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
13 chains
TRILOGY MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
119 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
CORBIN KATHY
75 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
PROSKY DANNY
63 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
9
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
KY median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.68
3.11
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.27
0.41
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.53
3.01
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.74
3.16
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
45.7
3.68
0.27
1.47
1.94
3.53
0.0%
2025Q3
92
43.5
3.71
0.30
1.48
1.93
3.58
0.0%
2025Q2
91
45.2
3.56
0.48
1.16
1.91
3.36
0.0%
2025Q1
90
45.1
3.61
0.70
1.10
1.82
3.55
0.0%
2024Q4
92
45.7
3.33
0.88
0.78
1.68
3.49
0.0%
2024Q3
92
43.1
3.27
0.73
0.79
1.74
3.26
0.0%
2024Q2
91
33.2
3.81
0.82
0.85
2.15
3.93
0.0%
2024Q1
91
36.1
3.98
1.06
0.96
1.95
4.38
0.0%
2023Q4
92
28.1
3.13
1.11
0.30
1.72
2.95
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-12-30
2025-12-19
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2025-12-30
2025-12-19
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2025-12-30
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
34
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BARNEY-MCCOY, SEAN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2022-04-16
current
pecos_ownership
BARNEY, LEIGH
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
BRYANT, WILLIAM
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2016-01-05
current
pecos_ownership
CONTINENTAL MERGER SUB LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2020-03-09
current
pecos_ownership
CORBIN, KATHY
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2011-01-10
current
pecos_ownership
DAVIS, DAVID
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2017-08-21
current
pecos_ownership
NORTHSTAR HEALTHCARE INCOME INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2020-03-09
current
pecos_ownership
NORTHSTAR HEALTHCARE INCOME OPERATING PARTNERSHIP LP
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2020-03-09
current
pecos_ownership
PIETROWSKI, CRISTINA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-01-31
current
pecos_ownership
PROSKY, DANNY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
STREIFF, MATHIEU
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
THACKER, JESSICA
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2022-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
TRILOGY HOLDINGS NT-HCI, LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2020-03-09
current
pecos_ownership
TRILOGY MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-03-09
current
pecos_ownership
AMERICAN HEALTHCARE REIT HOLDINGS LP
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-03-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AMERICAN HEALTHCARE REIT INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-03-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TRILOGY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-03-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TRILOGY INVESTORS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-03-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TRILOGY OPCO LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-03-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TRILOGY PROPCO II LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-03-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TRILOGY REAL ESTATE LAGRANGE, LLC
OTHER
100%
2020-03-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TRILOGY REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
97%
2020-03-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TRILOGY REIT HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
97%
2020-03-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GAHC3 TRILOGY JV LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
70%
2020-03-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GAHC4 TRILOGY JV LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
6%
2020-03-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CRISTINA PIETROWSKI
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2022-01-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DANNY PROSKY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID DAVIS
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2017-08-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JESSICA THACKER
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
0%
2022-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KATHY CORBIN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
0%
2011-01-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LEIGH BARNEY
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2019-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MATHIEU STREIFF
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SEAN BARNEY-MCCOY
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
0%
2022-04-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM BRYANT
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2016-01-05
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
2
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$2,624,830
—
—
$767,814
$228,011
4
—
2023-12-31
$1,097,660
—
—
$371,324
$136,088
3
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
33
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 21185
fmr
0
$966
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 21185
acs median gross
1
$708
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21185
fmr
1
$1,047
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 21185
acs median gross
2
$1,127
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21185
fmr
2
$1,272
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 21185
acs median gross
3
$1,561
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21185
fmr
3
$1,625
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 21185
acs median gross
4
$1,313
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21185
fmr
4
$1,891
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 21185
acs median gross
5
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21185
acs median gross
$1,219
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21185
acs recent mover gross
$1,565
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 40031
acs median gross
1
$616
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 40031
acs median gross
2
$995
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 40031
acs median gross
3
$1,281
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 40031
acs median gross
4
$974
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 40031
acs median gross
$1,092
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 40031
acs recent mover gross
$1,857
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 40031
payment standard 110
0
$1,100
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 40031
payment standard 90
0
$900
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 40031
safmr
0
$1,000
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 40031
payment standard 110
1
$1,199
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 40031
payment standard 90
1
$981
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 40031
safmr
1
$1,090
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 40031
payment standard 110
2
$1,452
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 40031
payment standard 90
2
$1,188
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 40031
safmr
2
$1,320
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 40031
payment standard 110
3
$1,859
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 40031
payment standard 90
3
$1,521
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 40031
safmr
3
$1,690
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 40031
payment standard 110
4
$2,156
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 40031
payment standard 90
4
$1,764
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 40031
safmr
4
$1,960
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.