200 PLEASANT STREET, BRADFORD, PA 16701 · CCN 395355
Composite
18.5 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
95
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 18.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
PA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.75
3.38
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.76
0.45
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
4.60
3.27
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.81
3.43
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
56.4
4.75
0.76
0.93
3.06
4.60
0.9%
2025Q3
92
65.5
4.40
0.77
0.96
2.67
4.24
9.9%
2025Q2
91
66.7
4.11
0.84
0.82
2.45
3.70
8.8%
2025Q1
90
65.0
4.12
0.95
0.84
2.32
3.81
10.2%
2024Q4
92
68.7
3.98
0.81
0.84
2.33
3.69
14.6%
2024Q3
92
75.1
3.66
0.73
0.69
2.23
3.31
15.6%
2024Q2
91
77.1
3.65
0.63
0.67
2.36
3.30
10.0%
2024Q1
91
77.3
3.70
0.64
0.67
2.39
3.37
8.6%
2023Q4
92
77.6
3.42
0.58
0.56
2.27
3.25
10.3%
2023Q3
92
77.3
3.38
0.61
0.51
2.26
3.14
11.9%
2023Q2
91
80.0
3.31
0.59
0.46
2.26
3.00
10.9%
2023Q1
90
71.4
3.18
0.67
0.44
2.08
2.88
13.7%
2022Q4
92
57.4
3.20
0.78
0.48
1.94
2.94
5.8%
2022Q3
92
58.9
3.13
0.97
0.35
1.80
2.91
2.3%
2022Q2
91
63.9
3.18
1.04
0.34
1.80
3.02
0.0%
2022Q1
90
68.3
3.25
0.74
0.41
2.10
3.03
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
B
—
2026-04-23
Health
F0711
Ensure the resident's doctor reviews the resident's care, writes, signs and dates progress notes and orders, at each required visit.
E
—
2026-04-23
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
—
2024-12-06
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
G
2025-02-04
2024-12-06
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2025-02-04
2024-01-05
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2024-03-01
2024-01-05
Health
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
D
2024-03-01
2024-01-05
Health
F0585
Honor the resident's right to voice grievances without discrimination or reprisal and the facility must establish a grievance policy and make prompt efforts to resolve grievances.
E
2024-03-01
2024-01-05
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2024-03-01
2024-01-05
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2024-03-01
2024-01-05
Health
F0700
Try different approaches before using a bed rail. If a bed rail is needed, the facility must (1) assess a resident for safety risk; (2) review these risks and benefits with the resident/representative; (3) get informed consent; and (4) Correctly install and maintain the bed rail.
D
2024-03-01
2024-01-05
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2024-03-01
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
33
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BELT, JEFFREY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BOUTILLETTE, MARC
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
DEROSE, DANIEL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
FERGUSON, DAVID
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
FIORENTINO, LISA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
JAVED, MUHAMMED
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2009-11-05
current
pecos_ownership
KLASS, CHERYL
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-09-04
current
pecos_ownership
MARASCO, JULIE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
O'CONNELL, KATIE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
PISANO, DOUGLAS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PRADHAN, ANIL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PRINCE, DAVID
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2009-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
RIDLEY, PAUL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SCHOENECKER, JEANNINE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SCHOLL, MELISSA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
UPPER ALLEGHENY HEALTH SYSTEM
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2008-01-19
current
pecos_ownership
WITTE, GILBERT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
CHERYL KLASS
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2024-09-04
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANIL PRADHAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DANIEL DEROSE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID FERGUSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID PRINCE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2009-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DOUGLAS PISANO
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GILBERT WITTE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEANNINE SCHOENECKER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEFFREY BELT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JULIE MARASCO
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KATIE O'CONNELL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LISA FIORENTINO
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARC BOUTILLETTE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MELISSA SCHOLL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MUHAMMED JAVED
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2009-11-05
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PAUL RIDLEY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 42083
acs median gross
0
$775
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42083
fmr
0
$708
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42083
acs median gross
1
$675
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42083
fmr
1
$832
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42083
acs median gross
2
$820
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42083
fmr
2
$973
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42083
acs median gross
3
$862
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42083
fmr
3
$1,219
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42083
acs median gross
4
$1,083
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42083
fmr
4
$1,447
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42083
acs median gross
5
$880
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42083
acs median gross
$809
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42083
acs recent mover gross
$734
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 16701
acs median gross
0
$754
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 16701
acs median gross
1
$707
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 16701
acs median gross
2
$827
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 16701
acs median gross
3
$967
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 16701
acs median gross
5
$868
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 16701
acs median gross
$821
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 16701
acs recent mover gross
$716
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 16701
payment standard 110
0
$792
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 16701
payment standard 90
0
$648
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 16701
safmr
0
$720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 16701
payment standard 110
1
$935
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 16701
payment standard 90
1
$765
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 16701
safmr
1
$850
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 16701
payment standard 110
2
$1,089
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 16701
payment standard 90
2
$891
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 16701
safmr
2
$990
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 16701
payment standard 110
3
$1,364
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 16701
payment standard 90
3
$1,116
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 16701
safmr
3
$1,240
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 16701
payment standard 110
4
$1,617
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 16701
payment standard 90
4
$1,323
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 16701
safmr
4
$1,470
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.