Composite
69.4 / 100 percentile
| Component | Percentile | Raw | Weight | Weight share | Contribution | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| financial risk | 85.0 | 71.8 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 19.62 | in index |
| regulatory risk | 71.9 | 67.4 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 16.59 | in index |
| billing conduct | 51.8 | 40.1 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 11.95 | in index |
| chow risk | 61.7 | 40.5 | 0.15 | 0.1154 | 7.12 | in index |
| staffing risk | 2.4 | 2.5 | 0.25 | 0.1923 | 0.46 | in index |
| Score type | Score | Grade | Model | Status | Registry model notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 40.1 | B | v0.1-pacpuf-snf | default · in composite | R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup. |
| chow risk | 45.0 | C | v0.1-pos | default · in composite | Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure. |
| chow risk | 36.1 | B | v0.6 | default · in composite | |
| financial risk | 71.8 | D | v0.5 | default · in composite | R18. |
| p adverse action 12m | 0.1 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite. |
| p chow 12m | 2.5 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite. |
| regulatory risk | 67.4 | D | v0.3 | default · in composite | Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos. |
| staffing risk | 2.5 | A | v0.3 | default · in composite | Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS. |
| financial risk | 68.5 | D | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 48.5 | C | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 67.7 | D | v0.3 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 71.5 | D | v0.4 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 67.2 | D | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 67.2 | D | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 2.5 | A | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 2.5 | A | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | +0.69 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.62 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 25.00 | +0.57 | |
| Total nurse staffing (HPRD) | 5.37 | -0.46 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.42 | |
| Chain size (log) | 0.00 | -0.40 | |
| Ownership changes, last 5 years | 0.00 | +0.20 | |
| Contract staffing share | 0.01 | -0.08 |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chain size (log) | 0.00 | +1.20 | |
| Total nurse staffing (HPRD) | 5.37 | -0.91 | |
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | -0.69 | |
| Fine amount, 12m (log) | 9.55 | -0.52 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 5.00 | +0.50 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.39 | |
| Staffing trend, last 4 quarters | -0.30 | -0.16 | |
| Occupancy | 0.71 | +0.15 |
| 2025Q4 HPRD | This facility | CT median | National median | National p25–p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total nurse | 5.37 | 3.46 | 3.28 | 2.90–3.77 |
| RN | 0.93 | 0.40 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.58 |
| Weekend total | 4.94 | 3.25 | 3.11 | — |
| Weekday total | 5.53 | 3.51 | 3.35 | — |
| Quarter | Days | Avg census | Total HPRD | RN | LPN | CNA | Weekend | Contract % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q4 | 92 | 42.8 | 5.37 | 0.93 | 1.50 | 2.94 | 4.94 | 1.0% |
| 2025Q3 | 92 | 43.4 | 5.70 | 0.74 | 1.78 | 3.18 | 5.25 | 0.5% |
| 2025Q2 | 91 | 41.0 | 6.39 | 0.93 | 1.99 | 3.48 | 6.30 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q1 | 90 | 46.1 | 5.57 | 0.88 | 1.63 | 3.06 | 5.46 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q4 | 92 | 45.4 | 5.67 | 0.91 | 1.74 | 3.01 | 5.36 | 0.3% |
| 2024Q3 | 92 | 41.9 | 5.30 | 0.78 | 1.83 | 2.70 | 5.01 | 5.9% |
| 2024Q2 | 91 | 46.7 | 4.75 | 0.68 | 1.61 | 2.46 | 4.27 | 5.8% |
| 2024Q1 | 91 | 46.9 | 4.90 | 0.55 | 1.97 | 2.38 | 4.24 | 11.9% |
| 2023Q4 | 92 | 47.5 | 4.47 | 0.49 | 1.82 | 2.16 | 4.07 | 4.7% |
| 2023Q3 | 92 | 40.8 | 4.67 | 0.41 | 1.72 | 2.53 | 3.97 | 3.9% |
| 2023Q2 | 91 | 42.4 | 4.51 | 0.41 | 1.54 | 2.56 | 4.05 | 0.7% |
| 2023Q1 | 90 | 47.2 | 4.00 | 0.33 | 1.34 | 2.34 | 3.50 | 4.1% |
| 2022Q4 | 92 | 48.1 | 3.88 | 0.56 | 1.16 | 2.16 | 3.04 | 7.7% |
| 2022Q3 | 92 | 47.1 | 4.34 | 0.62 | 1.29 | 2.42 | 3.61 | 11.7% |
| 2022Q2 | 91 | 47.0 | 4.66 | 0.47 | 1.74 | 2.44 | 3.68 | 12.9% |
| 2022Q1 | 90 | 50.7 | 5.01 | 0.60 | 1.69 | 2.72 | 4.33 | 12.3% |
| Date | Type | Fine | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-27 | Fine | $14,069 | CMS provider data |
| Survey | Type | Tag | Deficiency | Scope | Corrected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Health · complaint | F0628 | Provide the required documentation or notification related to the resident's needs, appeal rights, or bed-hold policies. | D | 2026-06-01 |
| 2025-09-23 | Health · complaint | F0657 | Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals. | D | 2025-09-29 |
| 2025-09-23 | Health · complaint | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2025-09-29 |
| 2025-09-23 | Health · complaint | F0760 | Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors. | J | 2025-09-29 |
| 2025-08-27 | Health · complaint | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | D | 2025-09-19 |
| 2025-06-11 | Health · complaint | F0580 | Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident. | D | 2025-07-21 |
| 2025-04-03 | Health · complaint | F0580 | Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident. | D | 2025-05-15 |
| 2025-01-23 | Health · complaint | F0626 | Permit a resident to return to the nursing home after hospitalization or therapeutic leave that exceeds bed-hold policy. | D | 2025-03-04 |
| 2024-10-25 | Health | F0550 | Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights. | D | 2024-12-06 |
| 2024-10-25 | Health | F0558 | Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident. | D | 2024-12-06 |
| 2024-10-25 | Health | F0655 | Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted | D | 2024-12-06 |
| 2024-10-25 | Health | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | D | 2024-12-06 |
| 2024-10-25 | Health | F0658 | Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality. | D | 2024-12-06 |
| 2024-10-25 | Health | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2024-12-06 |
| 2024-10-25 | Health | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | D | 2024-12-06 |
| 2024-10-25 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2024-12-06 |
| 2024-10-25 | Health | F0698 | Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services. | D | 2024-12-06 |
| 2024-10-25 | Health | F0758 | Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited. | D | 2024-12-06 |
| 2024-10-25 | Health | F0803 | Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident. | D | 2024-12-06 |
| 2024-10-25 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | E | 2024-12-06 |
| 2024-10-25 | Health | F0883 | Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations. | D | 2024-12-06 |
| 2024-03-27 | Health · complaint | F0580 | Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident. | D | 2024-05-08 |
| 2024-03-27 | Health · complaint | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2024-05-08 |
| 2024-03-27 | Health · complaint | F0842 | Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards. | D | 2024-05-08 |
| 2022-07-08 | Health | F0578 | Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive. | D | 2022-08-17 |
| 2022-07-08 | Health | F0609 | Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities. | D | 2022-08-17 |
| 2022-07-08 | Health | F0610 | Respond appropriately to all alleged violations. | D | 2022-08-17 |
| 2022-07-08 | Health | F0658 | Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality. | D | 2022-08-17 |
| 2022-07-08 | Health | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2022-08-17 |
| 2022-07-08 | Health | F0726 | Ensure that nurses and nurse aides have the appropriate competencies to care for every resident in a way that maximizes each resident's well being. | E | 2022-08-17 |
| 2022-07-08 | Health | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | D | 2022-08-17 |
| 2022-07-08 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | E | 2022-08-17 |
| 2022-07-08 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | E | 2022-08-17 |
| 2022-07-08 | Health | F0887 | Educate residents and staff on COVID-19 vaccination, offer the COVID-19 vaccine to eligible residents and staff after education, and properly document each resident and staff member's vaccination status. | D | 2022-08-17 |
| 2019-11-27 | Health | F0660 | Plan the resident's discharge to meet the resident's goals and needs. | D | 2020-01-08 |
| 2019-11-27 | Health | F0744 | Provide the appropriate treatment and services to a resident who displays or is diagnosed with dementia. | D | 2020-01-08 |
| 2019-11-27 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | E | 2020-01-08 |
| Owner | Role | Pct | From | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBRIGLIO, MARTIN | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 50% | 1995-02-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| SBRIGLIO, ROBERT | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 50% | 1995-02-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| MARTIN SBRIGLIO | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 50% | 1995-02-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| ROBERT SBRIGLIO | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 50% | 1995-02-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| Close | Facility | Price | $/bed | Cap rate | Beds | Buyer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-21 | INGRAHAM MANOR REHAB AND NURSING | — | — | — | 128 | IM OPCO LLC |
| 2025-05-15 | HAVENCARE AT LITCHFIELD WOODS | — | — | — | 160 | LITCHFIELD OPCO LLC |
| 2025-05-15 | HAVENCARE AT VALERIE MANOR | — | — | — | 151 | VALERIE OPCO LLC |
| 2024-10-10 | SHADY KNOLL CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 128 | SHADY KNOLL ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-10-10 | MAEFAIR CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 134 | MAEFAIR ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-10-10 | GLASTONBURY CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 105 | GLASTONBURY ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-08-01 | MANSFIELD CENTER FOR NURSING AND REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 98 | MANSFIELD ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-06-07 | EVERGREEN CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 180 | EVERGREEN ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-06-07 | MONTOWESE CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 120 | MONTOWESE ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-06-07 | SHARON CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 88 | SHARON ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-06-07 | BEACON BROOK CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 126 | BEACON BROOK ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-06-07 | STONE BRIDGE CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 154 | NEWTOWN ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| Geo | Kind | BR | Amount | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| county 09120 | acs median gross | 0 | $1,062 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09120 | acs median gross | 1 | $1,232 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09120 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,622 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09120 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,817 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09120 | acs median gross | 4 | $2,231 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09120 | acs median gross | 5 | $2,197 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09120 | acs median gross | $1,546 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| county 09120 | acs recent mover gross | $1,817 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 06614 | acs median gross | 1 | $1,644 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 06614 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,836 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 06614 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,933 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 06614 | acs median gross | 4 | $1,786 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 06614 | acs median gross | $1,798 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 06614 | acs recent mover gross | $1,778 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zip 06614 | payment standard 110 | 0 | $2,068 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06614 | payment standard 90 | 0 | $1,692 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06614 | safmr | 0 | $1,880 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06614 | payment standard 110 | 1 | $2,508 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06614 | payment standard 90 | 1 | $2,052 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06614 | safmr | 1 | $2,280 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06614 | payment standard 110 | 2 | $3,003 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06614 | payment standard 90 | 2 | $2,457 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06614 | safmr | 2 | $2,730 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06614 | payment standard 110 | 3 | $3,630 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06614 | payment standard 90 | 3 | $2,970 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06614 | safmr | 3 | $3,300 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06614 | payment standard 110 | 4 | $4,301 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06614 | payment standard 90 | 4 | $3,519 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06614 | safmr | 4 | $3,910 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |