300 Hot Springs Road, Santa Barbara, CA 93108 · CCN 555023
Composite
56.4 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
52
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 56.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
CA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
1.69
3.95
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.65
0.38
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
1.56
3.79
3.11
—
Weekday total
1.74
4.01
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
36.7
1.69
0.65
1.04
0.00
1.56
0.0%
2025Q3
92
36.6
3.44
0.39
0.83
2.22
3.35
0.0%
2025Q2
91
38.1
4.99
0.61
1.13
3.25
4.68
0.0%
2025Q1
90
37.2
5.05
0.69
1.11
3.26
4.87
0.0%
2024Q4
92
34.8
5.30
0.59
1.19
3.52
5.13
0.0%
2024Q3
92
33.3
5.55
0.58
1.36
3.62
5.25
0.0%
2024Q2
91
32.6
3.75
0.35
0.86
2.54
3.30
0.0%
2024Q1
91
33.4
5.46
0.63
1.21
3.62
5.18
0.0%
2023Q4
92
31.7
5.78
0.73
1.30
3.74
5.30
0.0%
2023Q3
92
32.3
5.75
0.76
1.46
3.53
5.16
0.0%
2023Q2
91
28.9
6.49
0.91
1.54
4.04
5.91
0.0%
2023Q1
90
27.2
7.06
0.83
1.80
4.43
6.63
0.0%
2022Q4
92
27.2
6.96
0.68
1.77
4.52
6.36
0.0%
2022Q3
92
28.1
6.45
0.77
1.38
4.29
5.72
0.0%
2022Q2
91
28.5
6.81
0.99
1.48
4.34
6.14
0.0%
2022Q1
90
30.3
5.97
0.91
1.33
3.73
5.29
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2026-04-08
2026-03-06
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2026-04-08
2026-03-06
Health
F0801
Employ sufficient staff with the appropriate competencies and skills sets to carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service, including a qualified dietician.
D
2026-04-08
2026-03-06
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
D
2026-04-08
2026-03-06
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2026-04-08
2026-03-06
Health
F0851
Electronically submit to CMS complete and accurate direct care staffing information, based on payroll and other verifiable and auditable data.
D
2026-04-08
2026-03-06
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2026-04-08
2025-11-18
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2025-12-08
2024-12-05
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-01-31
2024-12-05
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2025-01-31
2024-12-05
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2025-01-31
2024-12-05
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2025-01-31
2024-12-05
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2025-01-31
2024-12-05
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2025-01-31
2024-12-05
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-01-31
2024-12-05
Health
F0851
Electronically submit to CMS complete and accurate direct care staffing information, based on payroll and other verifiable and auditable data.
F
2025-01-31
2024-12-05
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-01-31
2024-11-05
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2024-11-06
2024-11-05
Health · complaint
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2024-12-02
2024-04-12
Health · complaint
F0801
Employ sufficient staff with the appropriate competencies and skills sets to carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service, including a qualified dietician.
E
2024-04-26
2024-04-12
Health · complaint
F0803
Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident.
E
2024-04-26
2024-04-12
Health · complaint
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-04-26
2022-10-20
Health
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
2022-11-29
2022-10-20
Health
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
D
2022-11-29
2022-10-20
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2022-11-29
2022-10-20
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2022-11-29
2022-10-20
Health
F0757
Ensure each resident’s drug regimen must be free from unnecessary drugs.
D
2022-11-29
2022-10-20
Health
F0802
Provide sufficient support personnel to safely and effectively carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service.
E
2022-11-29
2022-10-20
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
D
2022-11-29
2022-10-20
Health
F0808
Ensure therapeutic diets are prescribed by the attending physician and may be delegated to a registered or licensed dietitian, to the extent allowed by State law.
D
2022-11-29
2022-10-20
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2022-11-29
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
34
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BROWN, DAVID
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2021-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BROWN, MARY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-22
current
pecos_ownership
BROWN, MARY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-09-30
current
pecos_ownership
BROWN, MATTHEW
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2021-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
CABERTE, GLYNN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-01-30
current
pecos_ownership
CLARK, RAMONA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2019-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
CURTIS, WILLIAM
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2023-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
FELLOWS, STEVEN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2023-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
GIFFORD, ANDREW
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
KERN, BARKLEY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
KUPPERMAN, JEFFREY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
LOVAN, DIANA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MCCAGUE, BRIAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2016-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
MCFARLANE, JAMES
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MONTECITO RETIREMENT ASSOCIATION
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
—
current
pecos_ownership
STEVENS, BRUCE
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
TOOMEY, CHRISTOPHER
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2019-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ZANINOVICH, KATINA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2018-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ANDREW GIFFORD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BARKLEY KERN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRIAN MCCAGUE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2016-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRUCE STEVENS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHRISTOPHER TOOMEY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID BROWN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DIANA LOVAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GLYNN CABERTE
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2022-01-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES MCFARLANE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEFFREY KUPPERMAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KATINA ZANINOVICH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARY BROWN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2021-09-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MATTHEW BROWN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RAMONA CLARK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STEVEN FELLOWS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM CURTIS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 06083
acs median gross
0
$1,708
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06083
fmr
0
$2,459
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06083
acs median gross
1
$1,838
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06083
fmr
1
$2,746
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06083
acs median gross
2
$2,150
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06083
fmr
2
$3,124
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06083
acs median gross
3
$2,516
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06083
fmr
3
$4,075
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06083
acs median gross
4
$2,954
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06083
fmr
4
$4,647
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06083
acs median gross
5
$3,289
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06083
acs median gross
$2,131
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06083
acs recent mover gross
$2,295
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 93108
acs median gross
0
$1,330
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 93108
acs median gross
1
$3,386
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 93108
acs median gross
2
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 93108
acs median gross
3
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 93108
acs median gross
4
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 93108
acs median gross
5
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 93108
acs median gross
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 93108
payment standard 110
0
$3,542
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 93108
payment standard 90
0
$2,898
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 93108
safmr
0
$3,220
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 93108
payment standard 110
1
$3,993
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 93108
payment standard 90
1
$3,267
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 93108
safmr
1
$3,630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 93108
payment standard 110
2
$4,499
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 93108
payment standard 90
2
$3,681
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 93108
safmr
2
$4,090
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 93108
payment standard 110
3
$5,951
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 93108
payment standard 90
3
$4,869
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 93108
safmr
3
$5,410
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 93108
payment standard 110
4
$6,633
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 93108
payment standard 90
4
$5,427
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 93108
safmr
4
$6,030
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.