Composite
47.6 / 100 percentile
| Component | Percentile | Raw | Weight | Weight share | Contribution | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| regulatory risk | 54.0 | 43.8 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 12.46 | in index |
| financial risk | 49.5 | 45.2 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 11.42 | in index |
| chow risk | 81.2 | 62.0 | 0.15 | 0.1154 | 9.37 | in index |
| billing conduct | 37.3 | 34.7 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 8.61 | in index |
| staffing risk | 29.4 | 29.5 | 0.25 | 0.1923 | 5.65 | in index |
| Score type | Score | Grade | Model | Status | Registry model notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 34.7 | B | v0.1-pacpuf-snf | default · in composite | R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup. |
| chow risk | 55.0 | C | v0.1-pos | default · in composite | Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure. |
| chow risk | 69.0 | D | v0.6 | default · in composite | |
| financial risk | 45.2 | C | v0.5 | default · in composite | R18. |
| p adverse action 12m | 0.0 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite. |
| p chow 12m | 10.0 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite. |
| regulatory risk | 43.8 | B | v0.3 | default · in composite | Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos. |
| staffing risk | 29.5 | B | v0.3 | default · in composite | Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS. |
| financial risk | 52.8 | C | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 32.8 | B | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 40.8 | B | v0.3 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 50.8 | C | v0.4 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 43.7 | B | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 43.7 | B | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 29.5 | B | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 29.5 | B | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | +0.69 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.62 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 25.00 | +0.57 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.42 | |
| Chain size (log) | 3.58 | +0.36 | |
| Occupancy | 0.58 | +0.35 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 16.00 | +0.22 | |
| Ownership changes, last 5 years | 0.00 | +0.20 |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 16.00 | -1.54 | |
| Chain size (log) | 3.58 | -0.88 | |
| Occupancy | 0.58 | +0.73 | |
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | -0.69 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.39 | |
| Total nurse staffing (HPRD) | 3.67 | -0.19 | |
| Fine amount, 12m (log) | 0.00 | +0.18 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.12 |
| 2025Q4 HPRD | This facility | LA median | National median | National p25–p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total nurse | 3.67 | 3.38 | 3.28 | 2.90–3.77 |
| RN | 0.26 | 0.10 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.58 |
| Weekend total | 3.20 | 3.09 | 3.11 | — |
| Weekday total | 3.85 | 3.48 | 3.35 | — |
| Quarter | Days | Avg census | Total HPRD | RN | LPN | CNA | Weekend | Contract % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q4 | 92 | 71.4 | 3.67 | 0.26 | 1.06 | 2.35 | 3.20 | 2.1% |
| 2025Q3 | 92 | 70.7 | 3.76 | 0.17 | 1.14 | 2.45 | 3.33 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q2 | 91 | 75.9 | 3.73 | 0.23 | 1.12 | 2.38 | 3.32 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q1 | 90 | 75.5 | 3.73 | 0.24 | 1.08 | 2.40 | 3.21 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q4 | 92 | 76.8 | 3.77 | 0.18 | 1.06 | 2.53 | 3.29 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q3 | 92 | 80.8 | 3.88 | 0.20 | 1.06 | 2.61 | 3.36 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q2 | 91 | 83.5 | 3.74 | 0.21 | 1.07 | 2.47 | 3.27 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q1 | 91 | 87.5 | 3.37 | 0.12 | 1.03 | 2.23 | 3.00 | 0.0% |
| 2023Q4 | 92 | 80.7 | 3.55 | 0.06 | 1.12 | 2.36 | 3.08 | 0.1% |
| 2023Q3 | 92 | 83.3 | 3.54 | 0.10 | 1.15 | 2.29 | 3.11 | 0.8% |
| 2023Q2 | 91 | 80.6 | 3.56 | 0.13 | 1.13 | 2.30 | 3.06 | 3.9% |
| 2023Q1 | 90 | 87.9 | 3.26 | 0.16 | 1.01 | 2.08 | 2.81 | 12.4% |
| 2022Q4 | 92 | 85.9 | 3.37 | 0.08 | 1.01 | 2.28 | 2.94 | 29.1% |
| 2022Q3 | 92 | 85.6 | 3.22 | 0.11 | 1.01 | 2.10 | 2.93 | 35.7% |
| 2022Q2 | 91 | 79.9 | 3.35 | 0.14 | 1.02 | 2.20 | 2.97 | 50.9% |
| 2022Q1 | 90 | 66.9 | 3.77 | 0.14 | 1.21 | 2.42 | 3.40 | 56.4% |
| Survey | Type | Tag | Deficiency | Scope | Corrected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | Health | F0558 | Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident. | D | 2026-02-13 |
| 2026-01-14 | Health | F0580 | Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident. | D | 2026-02-13 |
| 2026-01-14 | Health | F0582 | Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered. | D | 2026-02-13 |
| 2026-01-14 | Health | F0583 | Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential. | D | 2026-02-13 |
| 2026-01-14 | Health | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | D | 2026-02-13 |
| 2026-01-14 | Health | F0677 | Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable. | D | 2026-02-13 |
| 2026-01-14 | Health | F0692 | Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health. | D | 2026-02-13 |
| 2026-01-14 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2026-02-13 |
| 2026-01-14 | Health | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | D | 2026-02-13 |
| 2026-01-14 | Health | F0773 | Provide or obtain laboratory tests/services when ordered and promptly tell the ordering practitioner of the results. | D | 2026-02-13 |
| 2026-01-14 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | D | 2026-02-13 |
| 2026-01-14 | Health | F0814 | Dispose of garbage and refuse properly. | D | 2026-02-13 |
| 2026-01-14 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | E | 2026-02-13 |
| 2025-12-03 | Health · complaint | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | D | 2026-01-14 |
| 2025-09-03 | Health · complaint | F0627 | Ensure the transfer/discharge meets the resident's needs/preferences and that the resident is prepared for a safe transfer/discharge. | D | 2025-10-18 |
| 2025-09-03 | Health · complaint | F0628 | Provide the required documentation or notification related to the resident's needs, appeal rights, or bed-hold policies. | D | 2025-10-18 |
| 2025-06-12 | Health · complaint | F0641 | Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment. | D | 2025-07-26 |
| 2025-06-12 | Health · complaint | F0655 | Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted | D | 2025-07-26 |
| 2025-06-12 | Health · complaint | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | D | 2025-07-26 |
| 2025-06-12 | Health · complaint | F0658 | Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality. | D | 2025-07-26 |
| 2025-06-12 | Health · complaint | F0740 | Ensure each resident must receive and the facility must provide necessary behavioral health care and services. | E | 2025-07-26 |
| 2025-02-05 | Health · complaint | F0600 | Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody. | D | 2025-01-31 |
| 2024-10-02 | Health | F0558 | Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident. | D | 2024-11-11 |
| 2024-10-02 | Health | F0600 | Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody. | D | 2024-11-11 |
| 2024-10-02 | Health | F0610 | Respond appropriately to all alleged violations. | D | 2024-11-11 |
| 2024-10-02 | Health | F0692 | Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health. | D | 2024-11-11 |
| 2024-10-02 | Health | F0803 | Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident. | E | 2024-11-11 |
| 2024-10-02 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | E | 2024-11-11 |
| 2024-07-10 | Health · complaint | F0550 | Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights. | D | 2024-08-09 |
| 2024-07-10 | Health · complaint | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | D | 2024-08-09 |
| 2024-03-27 | Health · complaint | F0908 | Keep all essential equipment working safely. | D | 2024-04-19 |
| 2023-09-07 | Health | F0640 | Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment. | D | 2023-10-13 |
| 2023-09-07 | Health | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | D | 2023-10-13 |
| 2023-09-07 | Health | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | E | 2023-10-13 |
| 2023-09-07 | Health | F0773 | Provide or obtain laboratory tests/services when ordered and promptly tell the ordering practitioner of the results. | D | 2023-10-13 |
| 2023-09-07 | Health | F0814 | Dispose of garbage and refuse properly. | D | 2023-10-13 |
| 2023-08-08 | Health · complaint | F0755 | Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist. | D | 2023-08-14 |
| 2023-07-14 | Health · complaint | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | D | 2023-08-14 |
| Owner | Role | Pct | From | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D & N LLC | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 50% | 2005-11-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| DTD HC LLC | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 50% | 2005-11-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| WINNFIELD PROPERTY COMPANY LLC | Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider | 50% | 2024-01-01 | current | hcris_a_8_1 |
| WINNFIELD PROPERTY COMPANY LLC | Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider | 50% | 2023-01-01 | current | hcris_a_8_1 |
| BENNETT, NORBERT | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2005-11-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| DENZ, DONALD | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2005-11-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| DONALD T DENZ IRRV TR | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2008-05-23 | current | pecos_ownership |
| MCDANIEL, MARGARET | W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE | — | 2016-02-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| NORBERT A BENNETT IRRV TR FBO CHILDREN | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2008-05-23 | current | pecos_ownership |
| NORBERT A BENNETT IRRV TR FBO GRANDCHILDREN | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2008-05-23 | current | pecos_ownership |
| MARGARET MCDANIEL | W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE | 100% | 2016-02-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| WINNFIELD PROPERTY COMPANY LLC | Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider | 50% | 2021-01-01 | ended 2021-12-31 | hcris_a_8_1 |
| WINNFIELD PROPERTY COMPANY LLC | Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider | 50% | 2020-01-01 | ended 2020-12-31 | hcris_a_8_1 |
| WINNFIELD PROPERTY COMPANY LLC | Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider | 50% | 2022-01-01 | ended 2022-12-31 | hcris_a_8_1 |
| DONALD DENZ | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 44% | 2005-11-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| NORBERT BENNETT | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 32% | 2005-11-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| RENEE KLAWON | OTHER | — | 2020-08-14 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| Close | Facility | Price | $/bed | Cap rate | Beds | Buyer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-01 | Timber Springs Rehab and Retirement | — | — | — | 153 | PMG OPCO - SPRINGHILL LLC |
| 2025-03-28 | Cornerstone Post Acute Care Of Bossier | — | — | — | 7 | CORNERSTONE POST ACUTE CARE OF BOSSIER LLC |
| 2024-09-16 | REGENCY HOUSE OF ALEXANDRIA | — | — | — | 58 | REGENCY HOUSE SNF OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2024-03-01 | Heritage Manor Health & Rehab | — | — | — | 64 | 2575 AIRLINE DRIVE OPCO LLC |
| 2024-03-01 | FAIR CITY HEALTH AND REHAB | — | — | — | 121 | 2000 FRANK SNF LLC |
| 2024-03-01 | Adira Medical Resort | — | — | — | 77 | 4405 AIRLINE DRIVE OPCO LLC |
| 2023-12-28 | Oak Haven Rehabilitation and Healthcare Center | — | — | — | 104 | OAK HAVEN SNF OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2023-12-28 | The Columns Rehabilitation and Healthcare Center | — | — | — | 140 | COLUMNS SNF OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2023-10-01 | MAISON D'ACADIENS CARE CENTER | — | — | — | 78 | 2907 BASILE SNF LLC |
| 2023-10-01 | Riverview Care Center | — | — | — | 135 | BOSSIER RIVERVIEW, LLC |
| 2023-10-01 | Flannery Oaks Guest House | — | — | — | 130 | FLANNERY OAKS GH BR |
| 2023-08-01 | Legacy Nursing at St. Christina | — | — | — | 140 | ST CHRISTINA OPCO LLC |
| Geo | Kind | BR | Amount | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| county 22127 | fmr | 0 | $601 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 22127 | acs median gross | 1 | $627 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 22127 | fmr | 1 | $761 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 22127 | acs median gross | 2 | $929 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 22127 | fmr | 2 | $834 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 22127 | acs median gross | 3 | $840 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 22127 | fmr | 3 | $1,160 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 22127 | fmr | 4 | $1,249 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 22127 | acs median gross | $774 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| county 22127 | acs recent mover gross | $634 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 71483 | acs median gross | 1 | $625 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 71483 | acs median gross | 2 | $941 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 71483 | acs median gross | 3 | $834 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 71483 | acs median gross | $708 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zip 71483 | payment standard 110 | 0 | $671 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 71483 | payment standard 90 | 0 | $549 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 71483 | safmr | 0 | $610 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 71483 | payment standard 110 | 1 | $836 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 71483 | payment standard 90 | 1 | $684 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 71483 | safmr | 1 | $760 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 71483 | payment standard 110 | 2 | $913 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 71483 | payment standard 90 | 2 | $747 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 71483 | safmr | 2 | $830 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 71483 | payment standard 110 | 3 | $1,287 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 71483 | payment standard 90 | 3 | $1,053 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 71483 | safmr | 3 | $1,170 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 71483 | payment standard 110 | 4 | $1,386 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 71483 | payment standard 90 | 4 | $1,134 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 71483 | safmr | 4 | $1,260 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |