Reads as: riskier than 21.2% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
7
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
14 chains
DAVIS DAVID
122 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
14 chains
BARNEY LEIGH
122 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
13 chains
CONTINENTAL MERGER SUB LLC
95 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
13 chains
TRILOGY MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
119 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
12 chains
KEYBANK NATIONAL ASSOCIATION
43 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
CORBIN KATHY
75 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
PROSKY DANNY
63 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
MI median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.49
3.52
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
1.05
0.47
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.60
3.32
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.45
3.61
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
54.4
3.49
1.05
0.55
1.89
3.60
0.0%
2025Q3
92
54.6
3.56
1.01
0.53
2.02
3.51
0.0%
2025Q2
91
54.2
3.60
1.07
0.48
2.05
3.56
0.0%
2025Q1
90
54.0
3.34
1.04
0.46
1.85
3.32
0.0%
2024Q4
92
54.5
3.28
0.99
0.51
1.77
3.23
0.0%
2024Q3
92
50.7
3.39
1.01
0.50
1.89
3.33
0.0%
2024Q2
91
52.1
3.55
1.13
0.44
1.98
3.27
0.0%
2024Q1
91
53.1
3.40
1.14
0.43
1.83
3.23
0.0%
2023Q4
92
53.2
3.35
1.18
0.33
1.84
3.16
0.0%
2023Q3
92
56.0
3.11
1.01
0.33
1.76
2.99
0.0%
2023Q2
91
53.1
3.43
1.17
0.33
1.93
3.33
0.0%
2023Q1
90
52.6
3.41
1.15
0.36
1.90
3.37
0.0%
2022Q4
92
51.8
3.03
1.10
0.29
1.64
2.92
0.0%
2022Q3
92
50.6
3.05
1.04
0.34
1.67
2.81
0.0%
2022Q2
91
49.5
3.21
1.37
0.28
1.56
3.11
0.0%
2022Q1
90
50.9
2.88
1.49
0.17
1.22
2.96
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
14
D × 9E × 2F × 3
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-03-31
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2026-04-17
2025-01-22
Health
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
D
2025-02-12
2025-01-22
Health
F0636
Assess the resident completely in a timely manner when first admitted, and then periodically, at least every 12 months.
D
2025-02-12
2025-01-22
Health
F0638
Assure that each resident’s assessment is updated at least once every 3 months.
E
2025-02-12
2025-01-22
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2025-02-12
2025-01-22
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-02-12
2024-11-12
Health · complaint
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
D
2024-12-04
2024-05-28
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-06-14
2024-03-20
Health
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
2024-04-16
2024-03-20
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2024-04-16
2024-03-20
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2024-04-16
2024-03-20
Health · complaint
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2024-04-16
2024-03-20
Health · complaint
F0791
Provide or obtain dental services for each resident.
D
2024-04-16
2024-03-20
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-04-16
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
39
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BARNEY, LEIGH
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2001-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BRYANT, WILLIAM
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2016-01-05
current
pecos_ownership
BUFFORD, RANDALL
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1997-12-10
current
pecos_ownership
CONNER, GREGORY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-06-03
current
pecos_ownership
CONTINENTAL MERGER SUB LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2021-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
CORBIN, KATHY
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2015-03-10
current
pecos_ownership
DAVIS, DAVID
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2017-08-21
current
pecos_ownership
FIGHTMASTER, LISA
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2015-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
KEYBANK NATIONAL ASSOCIATION
5% OR GREATER MORTGAGE INTEREST
—
2018-07-13
current
pecos_ownership
MEHAFFEY, TODD
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-01-31
current
pecos_ownership
NORTHSTAR HEALTHCARE INCOME INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2018-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
NORTHSTAR HEALTHCARE INCOME OPERATING PARTNERSHIP LP
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2018-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
PIETROWSKI, CRISTINA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-01-31
current
pecos_ownership
PROSKY, DANNY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
SCOTT, JAMIE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-07-25
current
pecos_ownership
STREIFF, MATHIEU
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
TRILOGY HOLDINGS NT-HCI, LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2018-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
TRILOGY MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2015-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
AMERICAN HEALTHCARE REIT HOLDINGS LP
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2021-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AMERICAN HEALTHCARE REIT INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2018-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMIE SCOTT
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
100%
2018-07-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TRILOGY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TRILOGY INVESTORS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TRILOGY OPCO LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TRILOGY REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
97%
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TRILOGY REIT HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
97%
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GAHC3 TRILOGY JV LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
70%
2018-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CRISTINA PIETROWSKI
CORPORATE OFFICER
11%
2022-01-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DANNY PROSKY
CORPORATE OFFICER
11%
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID DAVIS
CORPORATE OFFICER
11%
2017-08-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GREGORY CONNER
CORPORATE OFFICER
11%
2021-06-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LEIGH BARNEY
CORPORATE OFFICER
11%
2001-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MATHIEU STREIFF
CORPORATE OFFICER
11%
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RANDALL BUFFORD
CORPORATE OFFICER
11%
1997-12-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TODD MEHAFFEY
CORPORATE OFFICER
11%
2022-01-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM BRYANT
CORPORATE OFFICER
11%
2016-01-05
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GAHC4 TRILOGY JV LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
6%
2018-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KATHY CORBIN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
0%
2015-03-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LISA FIGHTMASTER
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
0%
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$2,106,213
—
—
$735,049
$225,097
4
—
2023-12-31
$3,341,630
—
—
$636,023
$211,695
4
—
2022-12-31
$2,479,566
—
—
$552,290
$204,367
4
—
2021-12-31
$1,760,369
—
—
$454,344
$184,803
3
—
2020-12-31
$1,608,278
—
—
$411,825
$157,623
3
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
33
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 26093
acs median gross
0
$1,145
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 26093
fmr
0
$1,005
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 26093
acs median gross
1
$1,076
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 26093
fmr
1
$1,264
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 26093
acs median gross
2
$1,269
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 26093
fmr
2
$1,457
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 26093
acs median gross
3
$1,659
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 26093
fmr
3
$2,026
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 26093
acs median gross
4
$1,880
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 26093
fmr
4
$2,285
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 26093
acs median gross
5
$1,784
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 26093
acs median gross
$1,287
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 26093
acs recent mover gross
$1,403
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 48855
acs median gross
1
$1,219
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 48855
acs median gross
2
$1,611
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 48855
acs median gross
3
$1,467
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 48855
acs median gross
$1,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 48855
acs recent mover gross
$1,980
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 48855
payment standard 110
0
$1,298
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48855
payment standard 90
0
$1,062
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48855
safmr
0
$1,180
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48855
payment standard 110
1
$1,628
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48855
payment standard 90
1
$1,332
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48855
safmr
1
$1,480
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48855
payment standard 110
2
$1,881
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48855
payment standard 90
2
$1,539
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48855
safmr
2
$1,710
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48855
payment standard 110
3
$2,618
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48855
payment standard 90
3
$2,142
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48855
safmr
3
$2,380
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48855
payment standard 110
4
$2,948
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48855
payment standard 90
4
$2,412
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48855
safmr
4
$2,680
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.