499 PINE BROOK ROAD, LINCOLN PARK, NJ 07035 · CCN 315249
Composite
78.5 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
547
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 78.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NJ median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.37
3.31
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.33
0.35
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.11
3.21
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.48
3.37
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
528.9
3.37
0.33
0.89
2.15
3.11
9.1%
2025Q3
92
531.3
3.32
0.35
0.86
2.11
3.00
9.3%
2025Q2
91
533.0
3.21
0.36
0.86
2.00
2.85
9.8%
2025Q1
90
532.1
3.12
0.38
0.86
1.88
2.84
14.0%
2024Q4
92
524.2
3.26
0.36
0.89
2.01
3.02
11.1%
2024Q3
92
513.0
2.98
0.36
0.90
1.72
2.58
15.7%
2024Q2
91
515.4
3.03
0.32
0.95
1.76
2.58
10.6%
2024Q1
91
504.7
2.91
0.31
0.93
1.67
2.49
17.1%
2023Q4
92
487.1
2.98
0.29
0.98
1.70
2.43
7.2%
2023Q3
92
465.8
2.84
0.28
0.95
1.61
2.40
1.7%
2023Q2
91
460.7
3.11
0.35
0.92
1.83
2.65
1.3%
2023Q1
90
467.7
2.97
0.18
0.79
2.00
2.67
3.9%
2022Q4
92
469.4
3.10
0.21
0.78
2.11
2.93
11.9%
2022Q3
92
474.8
2.88
0.29
0.73
1.86
2.49
20.2%
2022Q2
91
460.7
2.99
0.39
0.76
1.85
2.61
11.2%
2022Q1
90
454.6
2.85
0.34
0.78
1.73
2.37
4.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
J
2026-03-24
2025-12-15
Health
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
E
2026-01-29
2025-12-15
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2026-01-29
2025-12-15
Health
F0676
Ensure residents do not lose the ability to perform activities of daily living unless there is a medical reason.
D
2026-01-29
2025-12-15
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2026-01-29
2025-12-15
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
E
2026-01-29
2025-12-15
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2026-01-29
2025-12-15
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2026-01-29
2025-12-15
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2026-01-29
2025-12-15
Health
F0805
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs.
F
2026-01-29
2025-12-15
Health
F0806
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food that accommodates resident allergies, intolerances, and preferences, as well as appealing options.
F
2026-01-29
2025-12-15
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2026-01-29
2025-12-15
Health
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
F
2026-01-29
2025-12-05
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2026-01-29
2024-08-26
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2024-09-13
2024-08-26
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2024-09-13
2024-08-26
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-09-13
2024-08-26
Health
F0883
Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations.
D
2024-09-13
2022-08-09
Health
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2022-09-15
2022-08-09
Health
F0583
Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential.
D
2022-09-15
2022-08-09
Health
F0625
Notify the resident or the resident’s representative in writing how long the nursing home will hold the resident’s bed in cases of transfer to a hospital or therapeutic leave.
C
2022-09-15
2022-08-09
Health
F0637
Assess the resident when there is a significant change in condition
D
2022-09-15
2022-08-09
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
E
2022-09-15
2022-08-09
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2022-09-15
2022-08-09
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2022-09-15
2022-08-09
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2022-09-15
2022-08-09
Health
F0698
Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.
E
2022-09-15
2022-08-09
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2022-09-15
2022-08-09
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2022-09-15
2022-08-09
Health
F0849
Arrange for the provision of hospice services or assist the resident in transferring to a facility that will arrange for the provision of hospice services.
D
2022-09-15
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
26
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
499 PINE BROOK REALTY LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
499 PINE BROOK REALTY LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
GROS, CHARLES-EDOUARD
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-11-30
current
pecos_ownership
GROS, CHARLES-EDOUARD
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2013-11-30
current
pecos_ownership
KLEIN, BARUCH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
KLEIN, MIRIAM
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-11-30
current
pecos_ownership
KLEIN, MIRIAM
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2012-12-31
current
pecos_ownership
LEVI, SHLOMO
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
LUHANA, MANISH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2015-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MORALES, DEBORAH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-03-11
current
pecos_ownership
NEWPORT REAL ESTATE CAPITAL LLC
5% OR GREATER MORTGAGE INTEREST
—
2012-12-31
current
pecos_ownership
VINITSKY, AVROHOM
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
WOLF, HOWARD
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2014-09-09
current
pecos_ownership
499 PINE BROOK REALTY LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
CHARLES-EDOUARD GROS
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
70%
2023-11-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MIRIAM KLEIN
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
25%
2023-11-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MIRIAM KLEIN
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
25%
2012-12-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
499 PINE BROOK REALTY LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
—
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
499 PINE BROOK REALTY LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
—
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
AVROHOM VINITSKY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2013-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BARUCH KLEIN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHARLES-EDOUARD GROS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2013-11-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DEBORAH MORALES
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-03-11
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HOWARD WOLF
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2014-09-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MANISH LUHANA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2015-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHLOMO LEVI
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2019-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$3,751,552
$3,751,372
—
—
—
2
propco
2023-12-31
$3,818,952
$3,811,772
—
—
—
2
propco
2022-12-31
$3,805,429
$3,805,309
—
—
—
2
propco
2021-12-31
$3,823,648
$3,823,491
—
—
—
2
propco
2020-12-31
$7,519,768
$7,519,605
—
—
—
2
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
33
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 34027
acs median gross
0
$1,553
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34027
fmr
0
$1,612
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34027
acs median gross
1
$1,669
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34027
fmr
1
$1,822
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34027
acs median gross
2
$2,183
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34027
fmr
2
$2,205
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34027
acs median gross
3
$2,471
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34027
fmr
3
$2,761
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34027
acs median gross
4
$3,102
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34027
fmr
4
$3,137
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34027
acs median gross
5
$2,632
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34027
acs median gross
$1,904
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34027
acs recent mover gross
$2,253
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07035
acs median gross
1
$1,750
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07035
acs median gross
2
$1,984
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07035
acs median gross
3
$2,638
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07035
acs median gross
4
$3,367
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07035
acs median gross
$1,857
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 07035
payment standard 110
0
$1,936
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07035
payment standard 90
0
$1,584
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07035
safmr
0
$1,760
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07035
payment standard 110
1
$2,189
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07035
payment standard 90
1
$1,791
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07035
safmr
1
$1,990
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07035
payment standard 110
2
$2,651
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07035
payment standard 90
2
$2,169
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07035
safmr
2
$2,410
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07035
payment standard 110
3
$3,322
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07035
payment standard 90
3
$2,718
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07035
safmr
3
$3,020
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07035
payment standard 110
4
$3,773
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07035
payment standard 90
4
$3,087
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07035
safmr
4
$3,430
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.