Reads as: riskier than 96.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NJ median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.93
3.31
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.18
0.35
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.74
3.21
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.01
3.37
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
76.8
2.93
0.18
0.92
1.83
2.74
0.0%
2025Q3
92
71.7
2.97
0.22
0.99
1.75
2.55
17.7%
2025Q2
91
60.8
3.15
0.29
0.90
1.97
2.84
1.5%
2025Q1
90
59.0
3.32
0.31
0.95
2.05
3.03
1.4%
2024Q4
92
56.4
3.44
0.41
0.90
2.13
3.19
1.3%
2024Q3
92
58.2
3.08
0.44
0.89
1.76
2.75
4.8%
2024Q2
91
61.0
2.72
0.47
0.80
1.45
2.37
2.6%
2024Q1
91
61.6
2.73
0.31
0.94
1.49
2.40
3.5%
2023Q4
92
63.2
2.79
0.37
0.83
1.59
2.52
3.1%
2023Q3
92
64.6
2.73
0.37
0.78
1.58
2.35
1.9%
2023Q2
91
71.0
2.73
0.36
0.79
1.57
2.27
0.0%
2023Q1
90
73.2
2.90
0.38
0.87
1.65
2.56
0.0%
2022Q4
92
71.0
3.10
0.41
0.94
1.75
2.69
0.0%
2022Q3
92
72.7
3.05
0.38
0.95
1.72
2.68
0.0%
2022Q2
91
73.1
3.06
0.37
0.98
1.70
2.68
0.0%
2022Q1
90
76.6
2.98
0.37
0.93
1.68
2.66
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2026-05-25
2024-12-24
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-02-04
2024-12-24
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2025-02-04
2024-12-24
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
F
2025-02-04
2024-12-24
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2025-02-04
2023-09-25
Health
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
J
2023-10-25
2023-09-25
Health
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2023-10-25
2023-09-25
Health
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
D
2023-10-25
2023-09-25
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2023-10-25
2023-09-25
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2023-10-25
2023-09-25
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
E
2023-10-25
2023-09-25
Health · complaint
F0725
Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift.
E
2023-10-25
2022-07-18
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2022-08-22
2022-07-18
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
H
2022-08-22
2022-07-18
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2022-08-22
2022-07-18
Health
F0711
Ensure the resident's doctor reviews the resident's care, writes, signs and dates progress notes and orders, at each required visit.
E
2022-08-22
2022-07-18
Health
F0835
Administer the facility in a manner that enables it to use its resources effectively and efficiently.
D
2022-08-22
2022-07-18
Health
F0836
Ensure the facility is licensed under applicable State and local law and operates and provides services in compliance with all applicable Federal, State, and local laws, regulations, and codes, and with accepted professional standards.
D
2022-08-22
2022-07-18
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2022-08-22
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
14
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
JL WARREN 1 LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
50%
2015-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
WHZJ HOLDINGS 1 LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
50%
2015-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
WH REALTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
35%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
WH REALTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
35%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
FARKAS, ZEV
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
25%
2015-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
SCHLANGER, JOSEPH
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
25%
2015-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
FARKAS, ZEV
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2019-08-30
current
pecos_ownership
JOSEPH SCHLANGER
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
100%
2015-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JONAH LOBELL
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
50%
2015-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WH REALTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
35%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
WH REALTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
35%
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
ZEV FARKAS
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
25%
2015-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WH REALTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
ZEV FARKAS
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2019-08-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,626,027
$1,022,464
—
—
—
5
propco
2023-12-31
$1,834,045
$1,036,221
—
—
—
5
propco
2022-12-31
$1,351,085
$1,046,598
—
—
—
5
propco
2021-12-31
$1,496,535
$1,144,963
—
—
—
5
propco
2020-12-31
$1,668,125
$1,253,153
—
—
—
5
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
30
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 34041
acs median gross
0
$1,433
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34041
fmr
0
$1,517
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34041
acs median gross
1
$1,257
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34041
fmr
1
$1,527
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34041
acs median gross
2
$1,553
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34041
fmr
2
$1,895
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34041
acs median gross
3
$1,645
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34041
fmr
3
$2,404
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34041
acs median gross
4
$2,104
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34041
fmr
4
$2,800
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34041
acs median gross
$1,409
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34041
acs recent mover gross
$1,774
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07863
acs median gross
1
$872
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07863
acs median gross
2
$1,842
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07863
acs median gross
$1,589
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 07863
payment standard 110
0
$1,837
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07863
payment standard 90
0
$1,503
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07863
safmr
0
$1,670
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07863
payment standard 110
1
$1,848
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07863
payment standard 90
1
$1,512
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07863
safmr
1
$1,680
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07863
payment standard 110
2
$2,299
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07863
payment standard 90
2
$1,881
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07863
safmr
2
$2,090
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07863
payment standard 110
3
$2,915
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07863
payment standard 90
3
$2,385
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07863
safmr
3
$2,650
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07863
payment standard 110
4
$3,399
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07863
payment standard 90
4
$2,781
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07863
safmr
4
$3,090
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.