2501 ALVIN AVENUE, SAN JOSE, CA 95121 · CCN 555487
Composite
18.7 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
163
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 18.7% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
CA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.04
3.95
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.55
0.38
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.92
3.79
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.09
4.01
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
148.8
4.04
0.55
0.62
2.88
3.92
0.0%
2025Q3
92
147.7
4.23
0.56
0.62
3.04
4.11
0.0%
2025Q2
91
150.2
4.14
0.57
0.56
3.00
4.01
0.0%
2025Q1
90
154.3
3.96
0.49
0.62
2.85
3.82
0.0%
2024Q4
92
154.7
3.90
0.47
0.61
2.82
3.82
0.0%
2024Q3
92
149.4
3.76
0.44
0.62
2.70
3.66
0.0%
2024Q2
91
142.4
3.73
0.42
0.66
2.64
3.65
0.0%
2024Q1
91
143.1
3.73
0.41
0.67
2.64
3.67
0.0%
2023Q4
92
147.9
3.71
0.42
0.67
2.62
3.65
0.0%
2023Q3
92
145.6
3.80
0.39
0.74
2.67
3.73
0.1%
2023Q2
91
149.6
3.71
0.34
0.70
2.67
3.69
3.5%
2023Q1
90
152.4
3.67
0.36
0.67
2.64
3.66
4.9%
2022Q4
92
146.8
3.70
0.35
0.74
2.61
3.65
1.8%
2022Q3
92
148.5
3.72
0.36
0.71
2.64
3.65
1.0%
2022Q2
91
150.1
3.75
0.43
0.64
2.68
3.68
0.0%
2022Q1
90
139.0
3.79
0.42
0.76
2.61
3.66
0.2%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities
D
2025-09-16
2025-08-21
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2025-09-16
2025-08-21
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
E
2025-09-16
2025-08-21
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
E
2025-09-16
2025-08-21
Health
F0700
Try different approaches before using a bed rail. If a bed rail is needed, the facility must (1) assess a resident for safety risk; (2) review these risks and benefits with the resident/representative; (3) get informed consent; and (4) Correctly install and maintain the bed rail.
E
2025-09-16
2025-08-21
Health
F0740
Ensure each resident must receive and the facility must provide necessary behavioral health care and services.
D
2025-09-16
2025-08-21
Health
F0800
Provide each resident with a nourishing, palatable, well-balanced diet that meets his or her daily nutritional and special dietary needs.
D
2025-09-16
2025-08-21
Health
F0801
Employ sufficient staff with the appropriate competencies and skills sets to carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service, including a qualified dietician.
F
2025-09-16
2025-08-21
Health
F0802
Provide sufficient support personnel to safely and effectively carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service.
F
2025-09-16
2025-08-21
Health
F0803
Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident.
D
2025-09-16
2025-08-21
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2025-09-16
2025-08-21
Health
F0813
Have a policy regarding use and storage of foods brought to residents by family and other visitors.
F
2025-09-16
2025-08-21
Health
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
F
2025-09-16
2025-08-21
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
K
2025-09-16
2025-08-21
Health
F0908
Keep all essential equipment working safely.
D
2025-09-16
2025-08-21
Health
F0925
Make sure there is a pest control program to prevent/deal with mice, insects, or other pests.
D
2025-09-16
2024-06-27
Health
F0645
PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities
D
2024-07-26
2024-06-27
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2024-07-26
2024-06-27
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-07-26
2024-04-18
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2024-05-13
2024-03-28
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2024-04-22
2021-07-12
Health
F0557
Honor the resident's right to be treated with respect and dignity and to retain and use personal possessions.
D
2021-08-12
2021-07-12
Health
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2021-08-12
2021-07-12
Health
F0637
Assess the resident when there is a significant change in condition
D
2021-08-12
2021-07-12
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2021-08-12
2021-07-12
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2021-08-12
2021-07-12
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2021-08-12
2021-07-12
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2021-08-12
2021-07-12
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2021-08-12
2021-07-12
Health
F0698
Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.
D
2021-08-12
2021-07-12
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2021-08-12
2021-07-12
Health
F0801
Employ sufficient staff with the appropriate competencies and skills sets to carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service, including a qualified dietician.
D
2021-08-12
2021-07-12
Health
F0813
Have a policy regarding use and storage of foods brought to residents by family and other visitors.
D
2021-08-12
2021-07-12
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2021-08-12
2021-07-12
Health
F0881
Implement a program that monitors antibiotic use.
D
2021-08-12
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
33
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
2501 ALVIN AVENUE LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
2501 ALVIN AVENUE LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
NGUYEN, NGAI
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
1999-10-27
current
pecos_ownership
AOAY, NORIE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-06-03
current
pecos_ownership
EIETA, JULIE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
EVANS, JOY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-14
current
pecos_ownership
GUPTA, ATIN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-09-30
current
pecos_ownership
HEDGER, JOSH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-04-17
current
pecos_ownership
LUC, HA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-08-16
current
pecos_ownership
LUCAS, ALETHEA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-02-08
current
pecos_ownership
NGUYEN, ANH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2007-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
NGUYEN, KYM
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
PEREZ, ANGELICA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-06-16
current
pecos_ownership
RABARA, ROSANA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
TSE, DANIEL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2002-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
VETSA, SUREKHA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
2501 ALVIN AVENUE LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
2501 ALVIN AVENUE LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
2501 ALVIN AVENUE LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
NGAI NGUYEN
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
1999-10-27
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ALETHEA LUCAS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-02-08
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANGELICA PEREZ
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANH NGUYEN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2007-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ATIN GUPTA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-09-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DANIEL TSE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2002-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HA LUC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-08-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSH HEDGER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-04-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOY EVANS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JULIE EIETA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KYM NGUYEN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NORIE AOAY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-06-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROSANA RABARA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SUREKHA VETSA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$628,061
—
—
—
—
1
propco
2023-12-31
$411,446
—
—
—
—
1
propco
2022-12-31
$409,671
—
—
—
—
1
propco
2021-12-31
$798,347
—
—
—
—
1
propco
2020-12-31
$758,859
—
—
—
—
1
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 06085
acs median gross
0
$2,205
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06085
fmr
0
$2,621
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06085
acs median gross
1
$2,487
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06085
fmr
1
$2,982
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06085
acs median gross
2
$2,950
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06085
fmr
2
$3,483
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06085
acs median gross
3
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06085
fmr
3
$4,602
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06085
acs median gross
4
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06085
fmr
4
$5,010
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06085
acs median gross
5
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06085
acs median gross
$2,857
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06085
acs recent mover gross
$3,016
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95121
acs median gross
0
$2,193
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95121
acs median gross
1
$1,859
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95121
acs median gross
2
$3,128
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95121
acs median gross
3
$3,128
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95121
acs median gross
4
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95121
acs median gross
$3,061
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95121
acs recent mover gross
$2,855
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 95121
payment standard 110
0
$2,959
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95121
payment standard 90
0
$2,421
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95121
safmr
0
$2,690
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95121
payment standard 110
1
$3,377
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95121
payment standard 90
1
$2,763
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95121
safmr
1
$3,070
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95121
payment standard 110
2
$3,938
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95121
payment standard 90
2
$3,222
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95121
safmr
2
$3,580
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95121
payment standard 110
3
$5,203
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95121
payment standard 90
3
$4,257
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95121
safmr
3
$4,730
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95121
payment standard 110
4
$5,665
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95121
payment standard 90
4
$4,635
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95121
safmr
4
$5,150
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.