Reads as: riskier than 55.0% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
IL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.25
3.13
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
1.29
0.49
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
4.08
2.93
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.32
3.23
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
48.4
4.25
1.29
0.39
2.57
4.08
9.2%
2025Q3
92
48.2
4.06
1.18
0.42
2.45
3.91
8.3%
2025Q2
91
47.3
4.10
1.20
0.42
2.48
3.82
3.3%
2025Q1
90
47.0
3.82
1.17
0.36
2.30
3.81
3.7%
2024Q4
92
43.6
3.97
1.18
0.39
2.40
3.94
7.8%
2024Q3
92
44.1
3.98
1.29
0.26
2.43
3.98
9.2%
2024Q2
91
39.4
4.29
1.40
0.42
2.47
4.27
3.2%
2024Q1
91
37.4
4.42
1.36
0.48
2.59
4.25
14.2%
2023Q4
92
36.8
4.55
1.51
0.57
2.47
4.28
14.6%
2023Q3
92
38.4
5.31
0.99
1.17
3.16
4.96
27.8%
2023Q2
91
38.5
4.77
0.98
1.10
2.69
4.58
30.0%
2023Q1
90
43.7
4.20
0.81
0.93
2.46
4.04
22.7%
2022Q4
92
36.4
4.54
1.13
0.89
2.52
4.44
24.9%
2022Q3
92
34.2
5.17
1.07
1.28
2.82
4.96
23.7%
2022Q2
91
33.3
5.01
1.08
1.12
2.81
4.52
21.3%
2022Q1
90
33.8
4.01
0.74
0.94
2.33
3.94
8.6%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
—
2024-09-20
Health
F0583
Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential.
D
2024-10-04
2024-09-20
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2024-11-01
2024-09-20
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2024-10-04
2024-09-20
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2024-10-04
2024-09-20
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-10-04
2024-09-20
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-11-01
2024-09-20
Health
F0881
Implement a program that monitors antibiotic use.
E
2024-11-01
2023-10-05
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2023-10-31
2023-10-05
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2023-10-31
2023-10-05
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2023-10-31
2023-10-05
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
E
2023-10-31
2023-10-05
Health
F0803
Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident.
E
2023-10-31
2023-10-05
Health
F0805
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs.
D
2023-10-31
2023-09-14
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2023-09-25
2023-06-14
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2023-06-28
2022-11-30
Health
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
2022-12-31
2022-11-30
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2022-12-31
2022-11-30
Health
F0805
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs.
E
2022-12-31
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
36
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BROOKDALE LIVING COMMUNITIES INC.
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
1999-07-30
current
pecos_ownership
BAIER, LUCINDA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2018-03-09
current
pecos_ownership
BOWMAN, KEVIN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2017-01-22
current
pecos_ownership
GUAJARDO, FRANCISCO
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-02-21
current
pecos_ownership
GUAJARDO, FRANCISCO
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-01-16
current
pecos_ownership
HUSSAIN, JAWWAD
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-01-16
current
pecos_ownership
HUSSAIN, JAWWAD
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-05-09
current
pecos_ownership
KAESTNER, HENRY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-03-21
current
pecos_ownership
KUSSOW, DAWN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-07-23
current
pecos_ownership
LA MARRE, KEVIN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2017-01-22
current
pecos_ownership
LA MARRE, KEVIN
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-01-16
current
pecos_ownership
LBMC PC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MUNOZ, ANNA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-02-15
current
pecos_ownership
STENGLE, NIKOLAS
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
STENGLE, NIKOLAS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-11-08
current
pecos_ownership
STEPHENITCH, RYAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-07-02
current
pecos_ownership
VENTAS LP REALTY, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-01-16
current
pecos_ownership
VENTAS REALTY LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
VENTAS, INC.
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2009-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
WALTERS FINANCIAL SERVICES INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-02
current
pecos_ownership
WHITE, CHADWICK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-03-09
current
pecos_ownership
BROOKDALE SENIOR LIVING INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2008-06-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANNA MUNOZ
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2024-02-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KEVIN LA MARRE
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2017-01-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHADWICK WHITE
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2018-03-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAWN KUSSOW
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-07-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FRANCISCO GUAJARDO
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-02-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FRANCISCO GUAJARDO
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-01-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HENRY KAESTNER
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-03-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAWWAD HUSSAIN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-01-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAWWAD HUSSAIN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-05-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KEVIN BOWMAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-01-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LUCINDA BAIER
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2018-03-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NIKOLAS STENGLE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-11-08
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NIKOLAS STENGLE
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RYAN STEPHENITCH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-07-02
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$655,913
—
$655,913
—
—
2
—
2023-12-31
$638,191
—
$638,191
—
—
2
—
2022-12-31
$538,247
—
$538,247
—
—
2
—
2021-12-31
$489,183
—
$489,183
—
—
2
—
2020-12-31
$475,536
—
$475,536
—
—
2
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 17043
acs median gross
0
$1,453
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17043
fmr
0
$1,480
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17043
acs median gross
1
$1,457
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17043
fmr
1
$1,581
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17043
acs median gross
2
$1,729
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17043
fmr
2
$1,781
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17043
acs median gross
3
$2,196
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17043
fmr
3
$2,294
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17043
acs median gross
4
$2,571
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17043
fmr
4
$2,653
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17043
acs median gross
5
$2,886
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17043
acs median gross
$1,688
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17043
acs recent mover gross
$1,871
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60532
acs median gross
0
$1,312
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60532
acs median gross
1
$1,457
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60532
acs median gross
2
$1,812
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60532
acs median gross
3
$2,519
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60532
acs median gross
4
$3,361
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60532
acs median gross
$1,658
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60532
acs recent mover gross
$1,896
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 60532
payment standard 110
0
$1,859
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60532
payment standard 90
0
$1,521
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60532
safmr
0
$1,690
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60532
payment standard 110
1
$1,991
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60532
payment standard 90
1
$1,629
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60532
safmr
1
$1,810
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60532
payment standard 110
2
$2,244
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60532
payment standard 90
2
$1,836
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60532
safmr
2
$2,040
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60532
payment standard 110
3
$2,893
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60532
payment standard 90
3
$2,367
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60532
safmr
3
$2,630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60532
payment standard 110
4
$3,344
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60532
payment standard 90
4
$2,736
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60532
safmr
4
$3,040
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.