3205 WOOD RD, RACINE, WI 53406 · CCN 525608 · chain PEACE CAPITAL LLC
Composite
53.6 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
200
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 53.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
7
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.3 vs natl
HELLMAN YOSEF
20 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+21.2 vs natl
WI 6 PROPCO TOPCO LLC
6 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+21.2 vs natl
WI 6 PROPCO HOLDCO LLC
6 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.3 vs natl
JRK INVESTMENTS LLC
25 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.3 vs natl
DES CAPITAL LLC
25 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
HELLMAN YOSEF
19 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
45% fined
HELLMAN YOSEF
20 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
WI median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.60
3.60
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.52
0.64
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.52
3.49
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.63
3.65
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
91.4
3.60
0.52
0.82
2.26
3.52
1.2%
2025Q3
92
96.1
3.53
0.56
0.79
2.19
3.40
4.8%
2025Q2
91
95.5
3.56
0.52
0.83
2.21
3.45
4.0%
2025Q1
90
96.7
3.69
0.49
0.84
2.36
3.65
4.1%
2024Q4
92
96.9
3.49
0.50
0.77
2.21
3.48
0.8%
2024Q3
92
88.2
3.64
0.56
0.81
2.27
3.54
0.3%
2024Q2
91
88.5
3.69
0.62
0.78
2.30
3.58
2.6%
2024Q1
91
99.8
3.49
0.63
0.69
2.17
3.35
6.0%
2023Q4
92
101.2
3.59
0.69
0.67
2.24
3.38
5.2%
2023Q3
92
103.6
3.48
0.69
0.67
2.13
3.22
5.1%
2023Q2
91
105.2
3.29
0.65
0.67
1.98
3.07
11.7%
2023Q1
90
107.7
3.17
0.58
0.68
1.91
3.00
13.6%
2022Q4
92
107.7
3.11
0.45
0.65
2.02
2.98
6.6%
2022Q3
92
108.0
3.08
0.49
0.65
1.95
2.92
16.8%
2022Q2
91
106.3
2.63
0.48
0.55
1.60
2.41
16.0%
2022Q1
90
107.6
2.86
0.51
0.55
1.80
2.70
20.3%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
35
D × 29E × 4F × 1G × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-04-07
Health · complaint
F0646
Notify the appropriate authorities when residents with MD or ID services has a significant change in condition.
D
2026-05-06
2026-04-07
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2026-05-06
2026-04-07
Health · complaint
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2026-05-06
2026-04-07
Health · complaint
F0745
Provide medically-related social services to help each resident achieve the highest possible quality of life.
D
2026-05-06
2026-04-07
Health · complaint
F0805
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs.
D
2026-05-06
2025-12-04
Health · complaint
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2025-12-05
2025-08-12
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2025-09-21
2025-08-12
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2025-09-21
2025-02-19
Health · complaint
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2025-03-19
2025-02-19
Health · complaint
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2025-03-19
2025-02-19
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-03-19
2025-02-19
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-03-19
2024-12-06
Health · complaint
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
D
2024-12-26
2024-10-23
Health · complaint
F0561
Honor the resident's right to and the facility must promote and facilitate resident self-determination through support of resident choice.
D
2024-11-22
2024-10-23
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2024-11-22
2024-10-23
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2024-11-22
2024-05-06
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2024-05-29
2024-05-06
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2024-05-29
2024-05-06
Health · complaint
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2024-05-29
2024-05-06
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2024-05-29
2024-05-06
Health · complaint
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2024-05-29
2024-05-06
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2024-05-29
2024-05-06
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2024-05-29
2023-01-26
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2023-02-24
2023-01-26
Health
F0561
Honor the resident's right to and the facility must promote and facilitate resident self-determination through support of resident choice.
D
2023-02-24
2023-01-26
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2023-02-24
2023-01-26
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
G
2023-02-24
2023-01-26
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
E
2023-02-24
2023-01-26
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
E
2023-02-24
2023-01-26
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2023-02-24
2023-01-26
Health
F0693
Ensure that feeding tubes are not used unless there is a medical reason and the resident agrees; and provide appropriate care for a resident with a feeding tube.
D
2023-02-24
2023-01-26
Health
F0698
Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.
D
2023-02-24
2023-01-26
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
D
2023-02-24
2023-01-26
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2023-02-24
2023-01-26
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2023-02-24
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
24
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
PEACE CAPITAL LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2017-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
BAKER, AMANDA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-12
current
pecos_ownership
CULP, KAREN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-02-03
current
pecos_ownership
DES CAPITAL LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
GIERAHN, JAMES
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
HELLMAN, YOSEF
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
JRK INVESTMENTS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
KLUGMAN, JACOB
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
MYERS, SCOTT
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-03-02
current
pecos_ownership
PC RIDGEWOOD PROPCO LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
PEACE CAPITAL HOLDINGS II LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
SMS 2021 TRUST
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
STEIN, SHALOM
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2017-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
STERNBUCH, DANIEL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
WI 6 PROPCO HOLDCO LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
WI 6 PROPCO TOPCO LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
SHALOM STEIN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2017-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AMANDA BAKER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DANIEL STERNBUCH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JACOB KLUGMAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES GIERAHN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KAREN CULP
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-02-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SCOTT MYERS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-03-02
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
YOSEF HELLMAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
3
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,246,710
—
—
—
—
0
—
2023-12-31
$873,935
—
—
—
—
0
—
2022-12-31
$775,344
—
—
—
—
0
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 55101
acs median gross
0
$1,037
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55101
fmr
0
$851
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55101
acs median gross
1
$819
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55101
fmr
1
$988
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55101
acs median gross
2
$1,076
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55101
fmr
2
$1,235
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55101
acs median gross
3
$1,277
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55101
fmr
3
$1,592
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55101
acs median gross
4
$1,473
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55101
fmr
4
$1,962
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55101
acs median gross
5
$1,187
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55101
acs median gross
$1,080
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55101
acs recent mover gross
$1,216
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 53406
acs median gross
0
$890
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 53406
acs median gross
1
$788
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 53406
acs median gross
2
$1,139
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 53406
acs median gross
3
$1,194
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 53406
acs median gross
4
$996
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 53406
acs median gross
$1,095
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 53406
acs recent mover gross
$1,033
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 53406
payment standard 110
0
$913
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 53406
payment standard 90
0
$747
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 53406
safmr
0
$830
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 53406
payment standard 110
1
$1,056
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 53406
payment standard 90
1
$864
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 53406
safmr
1
$960
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 53406
payment standard 110
2
$1,320
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 53406
payment standard 90
2
$1,080
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 53406
safmr
2
$1,200
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 53406
payment standard 110
3
$1,705
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 53406
payment standard 90
3
$1,395
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 53406
safmr
3
$1,550
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 53406
payment standard 110
4
$2,101
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 53406
payment standard 90
4
$1,719
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 53406
safmr
4
$1,910
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.