1100 CHIEF EDDIE HOFFMAN HWY, BETHEL, AK 99559 · CCN 025037
Composite
72.6 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
moderate
Certified beds
18
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 72.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
11
2025Q3 HPRD
This facility
AK median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
7.47
5.91
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.00
1.50
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
7.36
5.78
3.11
—
Weekday total
7.52
5.97
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q3
92
16.9
7.47
0.00
2.55
4.92
7.36
14.8%
2025Q2
91
17.5
7.47
0.54
2.61
4.32
7.17
13.1%
2025Q1
90
17.3
8.49
0.98
2.73
4.79
8.27
25.2%
2024Q3
92
15.1
10.52
2.02
3.41
5.09
10.33
45.2%
2024Q2
91
16.4
7.96
1.00
2.90
4.06
7.45
40.3%
2024Q1
91
16.3
9.08
0.89
3.38
4.82
9.01
41.7%
2023Q4
92
16.5
8.43
1.14
2.72
4.57
8.45
43.5%
2023Q3
92
17.5
7.14
0.21
1.93
5.00
7.22
39.9%
2022Q4
92
14.8
8.97
0.43
3.73
4.81
8.70
56.9%
2022Q2
91
13.8
8.97
0.47
3.36
5.14
8.99
55.3%
2022Q1
90
14.6
8.63
0.45
3.19
4.98
8.64
56.9%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Ensure that residents are fully informed and understand their health status, care and treatments.
F
2026-04-09
2026-03-06
Health
F0585
Honor the resident's right to voice grievances without discrimination or reprisal and the facility must establish a grievance policy and make prompt efforts to resolve grievances.
F
2026-04-09
2026-03-06
Health
F0679
Provide activities to meet all resident's needs.
E
2026-04-09
2026-03-06
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2026-04-09
2026-03-06
Health
F0867
Set up an ongoing quality assessment and assurance group to review quality deficiencies and develop corrective plans of action.
F
2026-04-09
2025-01-31
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2025-03-17
2025-01-31
Health
F0700
Try different approaches before using a bed rail. If a bed rail is needed, the facility must (1) assess a resident for safety risk; (2) review these risks and benefits with the resident/representative; (3) get informed consent; and (4) Correctly install and maintain the bed rail.
E
2025-03-17
2025-01-31
Health
F0712
Ensure that the resident and his/her doctor meet face-to-face at all required visits.
E
2025-03-17
2025-01-31
Health · complaint
F0726
Ensure that nurses and nurse aides have the appropriate competencies to care for every resident in a way that maximizes each resident's well being.
E
2025-03-17
2025-01-31
Health
F0727
Have a registered nurse on duty 8 hours a day; and select a registered nurse to be the director of nurses on a full time basis.
F
2024-05-31
2025-01-31
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
E
2025-01-30
2025-01-31
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2025-03-17
2025-01-31
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2025-03-17
2025-01-31
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2025-03-17
2023-12-15
Health
F0565
Honor the resident's right to organize and participate in resident/family groups in the facility.
E
2024-01-29
2023-12-15
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
D
2024-01-29
2023-12-15
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2024-01-29
2023-12-15
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2024-01-29
2023-12-15
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-01-29
2023-12-15
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-01-29
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
45
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ALOYSIUS, BONNIE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ANGAIAK, ANNA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
AYUNERAK, MARY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2010-11-30
current
pecos_ownership
BEANS, GERALDINE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
CHARLIE, JAMES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2010-11-30
current
pecos_ownership
CLEVELAND, DARREN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
DAVID, ABRAHAM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
DEACON, MARVIN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2010-11-30
current
pecos_ownership
HOFFMAN, STANLEY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2011-11-15
current
pecos_ownership
HOLLANDSWORTH, JESSICA
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2017-09-07
current
pecos_ownership
JIM, WALTER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
LARSON, CHRIS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
LEWIS, ADOLPH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
NICORI, JAMES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PETER, PHILLIP
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PITKA, WASSILIE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SIMEON, GLORIA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SIPARY, JAMES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2010-11-30
current
pecos_ownership
TALL, PATRICK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2010-11-30
current
pecos_ownership
UTTEREYUK, JOHN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WINKLEMAN, DANIEL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2007-11-02
current
pecos_ownership
YASKA, PATRICIA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
YUKON-KUSKOKWIM HEALTH CORPORATION
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
ABRAHAM DAVID
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ADOLPH LEWIS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANNA ANGAIAK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BONNIE ALOYSIUS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHRIS LARSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DANIEL WINKLEMAN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2007-11-02
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DARREN CLEVELAND
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GERALDINE BEANS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GLORIA SIMEON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES CHARLIE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2010-11-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES NICORI
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES SIPARY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2010-11-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JESSICA HOLLANDSWORTH
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2017-09-07
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN UTTEREYUK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARVIN DEACON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2010-11-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARY AYUNERAK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2010-11-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PATRICIA YASKA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PATRICK TALL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2010-11-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PHILLIP PETER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STANLEY HOFFMAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2011-11-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WALTER JIM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WASSILIE PITKA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
33
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 02050
acs median gross
0
$1,611
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 02050
fmr
0
$1,688
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 02050
acs median gross
1
$1,638
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 02050
fmr
1
$1,719
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 02050
acs median gross
2
$1,660
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 02050
fmr
2
$1,938
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 02050
acs median gross
3
$1,254
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 02050
fmr
3
$2,324
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 02050
acs median gross
4
$900
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 02050
fmr
4
$2,566
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 02050
acs median gross
$1,474
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 02050
acs recent mover gross
$1,306
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 99559
acs median gross
0
$1,661
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 99559
acs median gross
1
$1,689
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 99559
acs median gross
2
$1,879
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 99559
acs median gross
3
$1,377
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 99559
acs median gross
$1,662
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 99559
acs recent mover gross
$1,682
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 99559
payment standard 110
0
$1,914
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 99559
payment standard 90
0
$1,566
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 99559
safmr
0
$1,740
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 99559
payment standard 110
1
$1,947
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 99559
payment standard 90
1
$1,593
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 99559
safmr
1
$1,770
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 99559
payment standard 110
2
$2,200
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 99559
payment standard 90
2
$1,800
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 99559
safmr
2
$2,000
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 99559
payment standard 110
3
$2,640
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 99559
payment standard 90
3
$2,160
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 99559
safmr
3
$2,400
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 99559
payment standard 110
4
$2,915
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 99559
payment standard 90
4
$2,385
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 99559
safmr
4
$2,650
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.