2675 N ANDREWS AVE, WILTON MANORS, FL 33311 · CCN 105119 · chain COPPER FL TRUST II
Composite
16.5 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
147
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 16.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
SHELBY JACK
31 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later lease_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
FL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.91
3.42
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.45
0.45
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.74
3.31
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.98
3.48
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
136.8
3.91
0.45
0.85
2.61
3.74
2.7%
2025Q3
92
139.8
3.74
0.43
0.77
2.54
3.66
0.0%
2025Q2
91
134.4
3.38
0.43
0.80
2.14
3.25
0.0%
2025Q1
90
140.6
3.57
0.44
0.79
2.34
3.44
0.0%
2024Q4
92
142.3
3.46
0.43
0.78
2.24
3.39
0.0%
2024Q3
92
140.4
3.28
0.39
0.77
2.12
3.28
0.0%
2024Q2
91
135.4
3.28
0.39
0.83
2.06
3.27
0.0%
2024Q1
91
135.4
3.96
0.39
0.95
2.62
3.73
0.2%
2023Q4
92
138.0
3.84
0.37
0.92
2.54
3.60
0.4%
2023Q3
92
141.1
3.91
0.35
0.94
2.61
3.63
1.2%
2023Q2
91
134.8
3.89
0.36
0.98
2.55
3.65
0.1%
2023Q1
90
135.6
3.96
0.39
0.89
2.68
3.72
0.1%
2022Q4
92
136.1
3.94
0.36
0.99
2.59
3.82
3.8%
2022Q3
92
137.2
3.89
0.31
0.97
2.60
3.74
14.6%
2022Q2
91
137.8
3.47
0.33
0.84
2.30
3.36
8.5%
2022Q1
90
131.9
3.35
0.36
0.72
2.28
3.24
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
G
2025-07-19
2024-03-21
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2024-04-20
2024-03-21
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2024-04-20
2024-03-21
Health
F0805
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs.
D
2024-04-20
2024-03-21
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2024-04-20
2024-03-21
Health
F0825
Provide or get specialized rehabilitative services as required for a resident.
D
2024-04-20
2022-12-08
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
E
2023-01-07
2022-12-08
Health
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2023-01-07
2022-12-08
Health
F0585
Honor the resident's right to voice grievances without discrimination or reprisal and the facility must establish a grievance policy and make prompt efforts to resolve grievances.
D
2023-01-07
2022-12-08
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2023-01-07
2022-12-08
Health
F0685
Assist a resident in gaining access to vision and hearing services.
D
2023-01-07
2022-12-08
Health
F0694
Provide for the safe, appropriate administration of IV fluids for a resident when needed.
D
2023-01-07
2022-12-08
Health
F0732
Post nurse staffing information every day.
D
2023-01-07
2022-12-08
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2023-01-07
2022-12-08
Health
F0770
Provide timely, quality laboratory services/tests to meet the needs of residents.
D
2023-01-07
2022-12-08
Health
F0803
Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident.
D
2023-01-07
2022-12-08
Health
F0808
Ensure therapeutic diets are prescribed by the attending physician and may be delegated to a registered or licensed dietitian, to the extent allowed by State law.
D
2023-01-07
2021-09-17
Health
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2021-10-17
2021-09-17
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2021-10-17
2021-09-17
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2021-10-17
2021-09-17
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2021-10-17
2021-09-17
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2021-10-17
2021-09-17
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2021-10-17
2021-09-17
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2021-10-17
2021-09-17
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2021-10-17
2021-09-17
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2021-10-17
2021-09-17
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2021-10-17
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
10
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
FL MASTER OPCO HOLDCO LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2022-07-27
current
pecos_ownership
WILTON MANORS SNF HOLDCO LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2022-03-23
current
pecos_ownership
MORTON, SHALONDA
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2022-07-27
current
pecos_ownership
SHELBY, JACK
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-07-27
current
pecos_ownership
2675 N ANDREWS AVE LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
JACK SHELBY
CORPORATE OFFICER
100%
2022-07-27
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHALONDA MORTON
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
100%
2022-07-27
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GOLD FL TRUST II
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
45%
2022-07-27
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SILVER FL TRUST II
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
45%
2022-07-27
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
COPPER FL TRUST II
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
10%
2022-07-27
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
1
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2020-12-31
$1,579,649
—
$994,196
—
—
13
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
1
Close date
Price
Buyer
Seller
Evidence
2022-07-27
—
WILTON MANORS HEALTHCARE & REHABILITATION CENTER LLC
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 12011
acs median gross
0
$1,568
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12011
fmr
0
$1,737
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12011
acs median gross
1
$1,603
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12011
fmr
1
$1,900
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12011
acs median gross
2
$1,932
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12011
fmr
2
$2,333
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12011
acs median gross
3
$2,387
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12011
fmr
3
$3,216
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12011
acs median gross
4
$2,814
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12011
fmr
4
$3,810
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12011
acs median gross
5
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12011
acs median gross
$1,907
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12011
acs recent mover gross
$2,221
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33311
acs median gross
0
$1,149
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33311
acs median gross
1
$1,177
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33311
acs median gross
2
$1,438
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33311
acs median gross
3
$1,824
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33311
acs median gross
4
$2,125
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33311
acs median gross
5
$2,306
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33311
acs median gross
$1,461
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33311
acs recent mover gross
$1,559
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 33311
payment standard 110
0
$1,496
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33311
payment standard 90
0
$1,224
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33311
safmr
0
$1,360
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33311
payment standard 110
1
$1,639
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33311
payment standard 90
1
$1,341
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33311
safmr
1
$1,490
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33311
payment standard 110
2
$2,013
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33311
payment standard 90
2
$1,647
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33311
safmr
2
$1,830
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33311
payment standard 110
3
$2,772
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33311
payment standard 90
3
$2,268
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33311
safmr
3
$2,520
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33311
payment standard 110
4
$3,289
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33311
payment standard 90
4
$2,691
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33311
safmr
4
$2,990
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.