Reads as: riskier than 78.8% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NJ median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.20
3.31
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.21
0.35
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.01
3.21
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.28
3.37
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
151.3
3.20
0.21
0.77
2.22
3.01
6.2%
2025Q3
92
145.4
3.27
0.27
0.73
2.27
3.06
7.6%
2025Q2
91
135.7
3.19
0.23
0.76
2.20
3.03
7.1%
2025Q1
90
147.4
3.04
0.30
0.63
2.11
2.83
6.8%
2024Q4
92
138.2
3.02
0.39
0.58
2.06
2.92
5.6%
2024Q3
92
133.8
3.16
0.41
0.56
2.19
2.97
7.6%
2024Q2
91
136.5
3.23
0.50
0.56
2.17
3.07
18.6%
2024Q1
91
143.0
3.10
0.41
0.60
2.09
2.91
26.7%
2023Q4
92
138.0
3.03
0.40
0.63
2.00
2.82
32.5%
2023Q3
92
133.5
2.99
0.38
0.63
1.98
2.83
30.9%
2023Q2
91
124.9
2.81
0.29
0.73
1.79
2.54
17.9%
2023Q1
90
126.6
2.31
0.19
0.73
1.39
2.08
10.7%
2022Q4
92
126.7
2.49
0.12
0.82
1.55
2.31
8.4%
2022Q3
92
124.4
2.52
0.25
0.78
1.49
2.37
2.5%
2022Q2
91
117.5
2.35
0.27
0.78
1.31
2.12
0.0%
2022Q1
90
115.1
2.75
0.41
0.79
1.54
2.46
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
28
B × 2D × 13E × 13
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-12-17
Health · complaint
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2026-01-21
2025-02-25
Health
F0636
Assess the resident completely in a timely manner when first admitted, and then periodically, at least every 12 months.
D
2025-04-10
2025-02-25
Health
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
D
2025-04-10
2025-02-25
Health · complaint
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2025-04-10
2025-02-25
Health · complaint
F0712
Ensure that the resident and his/her doctor meet face-to-face at all required visits.
D
2025-04-10
2025-02-25
Health · complaint
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
D
2025-04-10
2025-02-25
Health
F0868
Have the Quality Assessment and Assurance group have the required members and meet at least quarterly
D
2025-04-10
2025-02-25
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-04-10
2025-02-25
Health
F0881
Implement a program that monitors antibiotic use.
E
2025-04-10
2025-02-25
Health
F0882
Designate a qualified infection preventionist to be responsible for the infection prevent and control program in the nursing home.
E
2025-04-10
2024-10-31
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2024-12-13
2023-08-03
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
E
2023-09-05
2023-01-31
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
B
2023-03-15
2023-01-31
Health
F0625
Notify the resident or the resident’s representative in writing how long the nursing home will hold the resident’s bed in cases of transfer to a hospital or therapeutic leave.
B
2023-03-15
2023-01-31
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2023-03-15
2023-01-31
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
E
2023-03-15
2023-01-31
Health
F0698
Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.
E
2023-03-15
2023-01-31
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
E
2023-03-15
2023-01-31
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
E
2023-03-15
2023-01-31
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2023-03-15
2023-01-31
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
E
2023-03-15
2023-01-31
Health
F0809
Ensure meals and snacks are served at times in accordance with resident’s needs, preferences, and requests. Suitable and nourishing alternative meals and snacks must be provided for residents who want to eat at non-traditional times or outside of scheduled meal times.
E
2023-03-15
2023-01-31
Health
F0868
Have the Quality Assessment and Assurance group have the required members and meet at least quarterly
E
2023-03-15
2023-01-31
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2023-03-15
2020-10-27
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2020-11-17
2020-10-27
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
E
2020-11-13
2020-10-27
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2020-11-13
2020-10-27
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2020-11-13
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
21
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BRODT, MOSHE
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
51%
2023-06-14
current
pecos_ownership
WINDROW DRIVE PRINCETON REALTY LLC
Individual is director, officer, administrator or key person of provider and related organization
33%
2023-06-14
current
hcris_a_8_1
JOES BEACH LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
14%
2023-06-14
current
pecos_ownership
THE BEACH IS BACK TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
14%
2023-06-14
current
pecos_ownership
FRANKL, CINDIE
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
6%
2023-06-14
current
pecos_ownership
CZAPNIK, CHAIM
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-06-14
current
pecos_ownership
DORFMAN, YAAKOV
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-06-14
current
pecos_ownership
MB HEALTHCARE SERVICES LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-06-14
current
pecos_ownership
PECORA, JOSEPH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-06-14
current
pecos_ownership
PILLER, MENDY
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-11-29
current
pecos_ownership
SCHLOSS, DEBORAH
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-12-08
current
pecos_ownership
SOMMERS, DOVID
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2023-06-14
current
pecos_ownership
PHRC PROPERTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2021-01-01
ended 2021-08-31
hcris_a_8_1
PHRC PROPERTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2021-09-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
PHRC PROPERTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
MOSHE BRODT
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
51%
2023-06-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
YAAKOV DORFMAN
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
29%
2023-06-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CINDIE FRANKL
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
6%
2023-06-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHAIM CZAPNIK
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-06-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DOVID SOMMERS
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2023-06-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSEPH PECORA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-06-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
7
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$3,838,531
$2,718,758
—
—
$36,351
9
—
2023-12-31
$2,533,544
$1,705,278
—
—
$36,351
9
propco
2023-06-13
$238,184
—
—
—
—
6
—
2022-12-31
$315,492
—
—
—
—
3
—
2021-12-31
$927,881
$753,357
—
—
$22,966
2
propco
2021-08-31
$2,194,467
$1,666,429
—
—
$332
2
propco
2020-12-31
$3,285,429
$2,578,662
—
—
$55,869
2
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 34023
acs median gross
0
$1,564
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34023
fmr
0
$1,804
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34023
acs median gross
1
$1,614
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34023
fmr
1
$1,978
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34023
acs median gross
2
$2,068
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34023
fmr
2
$2,486
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34023
acs median gross
3
$2,202
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34023
fmr
3
$2,981
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34023
acs median gross
4
$2,586
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34023
fmr
4
$3,296
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34023
acs median gross
5
$2,487
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34023
acs median gross
$1,871
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34023
acs recent mover gross
$2,226
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08540
acs median gross
0
$1,440
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08540
acs median gross
1
$1,600
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08540
acs median gross
2
$2,349
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08540
acs median gross
3
$3,091
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08540
acs median gross
4
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08540
acs median gross
5
$2,277
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08540
acs median gross
$2,218
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08540
acs recent mover gross
$3,018
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 08540
payment standard 110
0
$2,024
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08540
payment standard 90
0
$1,656
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08540
safmr
0
$1,840
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08540
payment standard 110
1
$2,299
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08540
payment standard 90
1
$1,881
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08540
safmr
1
$2,090
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08540
payment standard 110
2
$2,893
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08540
payment standard 90
2
$2,367
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08540
safmr
2
$2,630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08540
payment standard 110
3
$3,465
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08540
payment standard 90
3
$2,835
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08540
safmr
3
$3,150
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08540
payment standard 110
4
$3,927
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08540
payment standard 90
4
$3,213
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08540
safmr
4
$3,570
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.