Reads as: riskier than 27.0% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
ODENTHAL RICHARD
85 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
WV median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.69
3.14
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.27
0.37
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.46
2.97
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.77
3.20
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
53.9
2.69
0.27
0.93
1.48
2.46
0.0%
2025Q3
92
53.3
2.65
0.30
0.94
1.41
2.41
0.0%
2025Q2
91
51.6
3.02
0.33
0.92
1.77
2.72
0.0%
2025Q1
90
51.8
3.02
0.28
0.95
1.79
2.84
0.0%
2024Q4
92
52.6
2.82
0.28
0.94
1.59
2.65
3.5%
2024Q3
92
50.3
2.95
0.30
1.07
1.57
2.70
19.8%
2024Q2
91
54.2
2.72
0.25
0.87
1.61
2.46
19.4%
2024Q1
91
53.9
2.69
0.27
0.75
1.66
2.58
25.7%
2023Q4
92
54.5
2.86
0.33
0.90
1.63
2.47
33.0%
2023Q3
92
54.8
2.75
0.33
0.86
1.57
2.37
33.7%
2023Q2
91
53.7
2.90
0.36
0.78
1.76
2.49
29.9%
2023Q1
90
50.3
2.97
0.34
0.87
1.77
2.66
18.4%
2022Q4
92
49.3
3.40
0.41
0.87
2.12
3.06
26.4%
2022Q3
92
50.7
2.99
0.38
0.82
1.79
2.65
27.8%
2022Q2
91
50.4
2.93
0.47
0.69
1.77
2.74
35.9%
2022Q1
90
49.6
2.98
0.58
0.66
1.74
2.63
22.7%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2025-02-26
2025-01-23
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
E
2025-02-26
2025-01-23
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2025-02-26
2023-07-05
Health · complaint
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2023-08-11
2023-07-05
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
G
2023-08-11
2023-02-01
Health
F0583
Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential.
D
2023-02-22
2023-02-01
Health
F0585
Honor the resident's right to voice grievances without discrimination or reprisal and the facility must establish a grievance policy and make prompt efforts to resolve grievances.
E
2023-02-22
2023-02-01
Health
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2023-02-22
2023-02-01
Health
F0679
Provide activities to meet all resident's needs.
E
2023-02-22
2023-02-01
Health
F0744
Provide the appropriate treatment and services to a resident who displays or is diagnosed with dementia.
D
2023-02-22
2023-02-01
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2023-02-22
2023-02-01
Health
F0790
Provide routine and 24-hour emergency dental care for each resident.
D
2023-02-22
2023-02-01
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2023-02-22
2023-02-01
Health
F0836
Ensure the facility is licensed under applicable State and local law and operates and provides services in compliance with all applicable Federal, State, and local laws, regulations, and codes, and with accepted professional standards.
D
2023-02-22
2023-02-01
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
E
2023-02-22
2023-02-01
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2023-02-22
2021-12-08
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2022-01-18
2021-12-08
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2022-01-18
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
27
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
C R STOLTZ II LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
C.R. STOLTZ IRREVOCABLE TRUST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
CHERIAN, JOHN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
GROVES, DONNA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-04-14
current
pecos_ownership
HC REAL ESTATE HOLDINGS, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
I. ROSEDALE IRREVOCABLE TRUST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
ODENTHAL, RICHARD
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-10-24
current
pecos_ownership
OMG RE HOLDINGS LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
R.S. WILHEIM IRREVOCABLE TRUST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
ROMEO, DOMINIC
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
RONALD S WILHEIM 2012 SPOUSAL TRUST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
ROSEDALE FAMILY INVESTMENT COMPANY, INC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
RRW, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
S.L. ROSEDALE IRREVOCABLE TRUST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
STOLTZ, CHARLES
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
STOTLER, KRISTEN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
VALLEY HAVEN MGT CO., LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
VALLEY HAVEN MGT CO., LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-26
current
pecos_ownership
WILHEIM FAMILY INVESTMENT COMPANY, INC.
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
WILHEIM, RONALD
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
WV LT CARE OP CO., LLC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
CHARLES STOLTZ
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DOMINIC ROMEO
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DONNA GROVES
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-04-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN CHERIAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KRISTEN STOTLER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RONALD WILHEIM
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
6
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$692,202
—
$463,675
$228,527
—
0
—
2023-12-31
$784,404
—
$384,283
$286,179
$113,942
0
—
2022-12-31
$1,209,202
$850,877
$221,474
$103,041
$33,810
0
—
2022-06-30
$449,722
—
—
$123,644
—
8
—
2021-12-31
$840,576
—
—
$232,534
—
8
—
2020-12-31
$884,739
—
—
$262,613
—
8
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
31
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 54009
acs median gross
0
$702
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 54009
fmr
0
$752
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 54009
acs median gross
1
$622
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 54009
fmr
1
$757
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 54009
acs median gross
2
$634
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 54009
fmr
2
$973
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 54009
acs median gross
3
$855
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 54009
fmr
3
$1,285
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 54009
acs median gross
4
$1,167
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 54009
fmr
4
$1,482
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 54009
acs median gross
$645
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 54009
acs recent mover gross
$829
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 26070
acs median gross
1
$594
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 26070
acs median gross
2
$498
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 26070
acs median gross
3
$775
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 26070
acs median gross
$613
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 26070
payment standard 110
0
$825
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 26070
payment standard 90
0
$675
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 26070
safmr
0
$750
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 26070
payment standard 110
1
$836
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 26070
payment standard 90
1
$684
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 26070
safmr
1
$760
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 26070
payment standard 110
2
$1,067
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 26070
payment standard 90
2
$873
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 26070
safmr
2
$970
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 26070
payment standard 110
3
$1,419
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 26070
payment standard 90
3
$1,161
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 26070
safmr
3
$1,290
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 26070
payment standard 110
4
$1,628
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 26070
payment standard 90
4
$1,332
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 26070
safmr
4
$1,480
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.