Reads as: riskier than 66.2% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
3
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+31.1 vs natl
WECARE HCC LLC
10 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+30.1 vs natl
WIELGUS GEDALIAH
13 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+29.7 vs natl
KORN ELI
13 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
PA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.96
3.38
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.29
0.45
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.74
3.27
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.04
3.43
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
104.6
2.96
0.29
0.89
1.77
2.74
0.0%
2025Q3
92
102.6
3.10
0.30
0.90
1.90
2.89
0.4%
2025Q2
91
104.3
3.03
0.34
0.84
1.85
2.79
0.0%
2025Q1
90
103.3
3.18
0.37
0.96
1.86
3.00
0.0%
2024Q4
92
97.1
3.34
0.38
0.99
1.97
3.13
0.1%
2024Q3
92
97.6
2.98
0.37
0.96
1.66
2.76
0.6%
2024Q2
91
93.4
2.98
0.35
0.87
1.75
2.90
0.0%
2024Q1
91
91.8
3.04
0.37
0.88
1.79
2.94
0.0%
2023Q4
92
86.3
3.15
0.38
0.93
1.83
3.06
0.0%
2023Q3
92
88.0
3.19
0.33
1.04
1.81
2.93
5.4%
2023Q2
91
93.5
2.71
0.34
0.93
1.43
2.55
0.0%
2023Q1
90
95.1
2.86
0.34
1.05
1.47
2.77
43.6%
2022Q4
92
86.9
2.84
0.38
1.04
1.43
2.69
43.5%
2022Q3
92
86.4
2.72
0.33
0.96
1.43
2.63
38.6%
2022Q2
91
90.0
2.88
0.30
0.97
1.61
2.68
36.4%
2022Q1
90
83.9
3.04
0.37
0.96
1.71
2.87
39.9%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
21
B × 1D × 5E × 8F × 5G × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-02-23
Health · complaint
F0604
Ensure that each resident is free from the use of physical restraints, unless needed for medical treatment.
G
2026-01-28
2026-02-23
Health · complaint
F0607
Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft.
G
2026-03-12
2025-09-12
Health · complaint
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2025-11-04
2025-09-12
Health · complaint
F0801
Employ sufficient staff with the appropriate competencies and skills sets to carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service, including a qualified dietician.
F
2025-11-04
2025-09-12
Health · complaint
F0802
Provide sufficient support personnel to safely and effectively carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service.
F
2025-11-04
2025-09-12
Health · complaint
F0806
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food that accommodates resident allergies, intolerances, and preferences, as well as appealing options.
E
2025-11-04
2025-09-12
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-11-04
2025-09-12
Health · complaint
F0882
Designate a qualified infection preventionist to be responsible for the infection prevent and control program in the nursing home.
F
2025-11-04
2025-03-27
Health · complaint
F0801
Employ sufficient staff with the appropriate competencies and skills sets to carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service, including a qualified dietician.
E
2025-05-14
2025-03-27
Health · complaint
F0850
Hire a qualified full-time social worker in a facility with more than 120 beds.
E
2025-05-14
2024-09-06
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
E
2024-10-05
2024-09-06
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2024-10-05
2024-09-06
Health
F0944
Conduct mandatory training, for all staff, on the facility’s Quality Assurance and Performance Improvement Program.
B
2024-10-05
2024-07-18
Health · complaint
F0725
Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift.
E
2024-08-15
2023-09-15
Health · complaint
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2023-10-09
2023-09-15
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2023-10-09
2022-11-10
Health
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
2022-12-20
2022-11-10
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2022-12-20
2022-11-10
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2022-12-20
2022-11-10
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2022-12-20
2022-11-10
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2022-12-20
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
22
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ROLLING MEADOWS HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
107 CURRY ROAD LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
BLEIER, JONATHAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
BLEIER, SORAH
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-10
current
pecos_ownership
CHADWICK, JOSEPH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
CRESTVIEW 360 HOLDINGS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
CRESTVIEW 720 TRUST
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
EMSIR LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-10
current
pecos_ownership
GRINSPAN, ARYEH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
KJA ROLLING MEADOWS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
KORN, ELI
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
MAIDEN LANE REALTY LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
THE SCHWARTZ GROUP NY LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
WALTERS, RICHARD
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
WECARE HCC LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
WIELGUS, GEDALIAH
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
ELI KORN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
50%
2023-03-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ARYEH GRINSPAN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
25%
2023-03-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GEDALIAH WIELGUS
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
25%
2023-03-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JONATHAN BLEIER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSEPH CHADWICK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-03-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD WALTERS
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2023-03-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
3
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2023-12-31
$125,896
—
—
—
—
2
—
2021-06-14
$65,731
—
$65,731
—
—
—
—
2020-12-31
$158,622
—
$158,622
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 42059
acs median gross
0
$814
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42059
fmr
0
$830
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42059
acs median gross
1
$613
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42059
fmr
1
$835
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42059
acs median gross
2
$911
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42059
fmr
2
$1,096
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42059
acs median gross
3
$918
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42059
fmr
3
$1,314
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42059
acs median gross
4
$641
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42059
fmr
4
$1,451
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42059
acs median gross
5
$817
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42059
acs median gross
$789
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42059
acs recent mover gross
$867
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 15370
acs median gross
0
$823
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 15370
acs median gross
1
$596
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 15370
acs median gross
2
$959
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 15370
acs median gross
3
$814
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 15370
acs median gross
4
$635
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 15370
acs median gross
$693
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 15370
acs recent mover gross
$988
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 15370
payment standard 110
0
$924
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 15370
payment standard 90
0
$756
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 15370
safmr
0
$840
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 15370
payment standard 110
1
$935
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 15370
payment standard 90
1
$765
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 15370
safmr
1
$850
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 15370
payment standard 110
2
$1,221
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 15370
payment standard 90
2
$999
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 15370
safmr
2
$1,110
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 15370
payment standard 110
3
$1,463
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 15370
payment standard 90
3
$1,197
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 15370
safmr
3
$1,330
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 15370
payment standard 110
4
$1,617
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 15370
payment standard 90
4
$1,323
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 15370
safmr
4
$1,470
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.