Reads as: riskier than 44.2% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
25
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+29.3 vs natl
KISSLING MONICA
16 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+29.0 vs natl
HONOR X ENTERPRISES LLC
7 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+28.5 vs natl
MCBEAN PATRICIA
16 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+28.5 vs natl
KEETON WENDY
16 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+28.5 vs natl
HOLT ERIN
16 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+28.5 vs natl
TROMPLER KELLY
16 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.6 vs natl
WILLIG ZACHARY
82 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.5 vs natl
HUGGINS LINDA
139 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.4 vs natl
BLAKE GARY
137 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.4 vs natl
BLAKE MALISA
137 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+22.4 vs natl
SANDERSON CLARK
58 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+21.5 vs natl
FANNIN COUNTY HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
54 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
15 chains
WILLIG ZACHARY
81 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
13 chains
BLAKE GARY
137 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
13 chains
HUGGINS LINDA
139 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
13 chains
BLAKE MALISA
137 facilities
connection
Buyer assembling a chain (5+ takeovers/24mo)
8 facilities
FANNIN COUNTY HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
8 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
HEKIMIAN KHOREN
8 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
71% fined
HONOR X ENTERPRISES LLC
7 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
56% fined
HEKIMIAN KHOREN
9 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
50% fined
MCBEAN PATRICIA
16 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
50% fined
HOLT ERIN
16 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
50% fined
KISSLING MONICA
16 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
50% fined
TROMPLER KELLY
16 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
50% fined
KEETON WENDY
16 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
TX median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.59
2.67
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.28
0.24
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.43
2.56
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.65
2.72
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
46.1
2.59
0.28
0.84
1.47
2.43
0.0%
2025Q3
92
49.1
2.31
0.32
0.56
1.43
2.08
0.0%
2025Q2
91
52.8
2.23
0.19
0.67
1.37
2.01
0.0%
2025Q1
90
49.1
2.51
0.17
0.87
1.46
2.39
0.0%
2024Q4
92
47.6
2.31
0.22
0.76
1.32
2.18
0.0%
2024Q3
92
46.7
2.27
0.34
0.69
1.24
2.17
0.0%
2024Q2
91
48.6
2.36
0.32
0.76
1.28
2.17
0.0%
2024Q1
91
47.2
2.26
0.29
0.74
1.23
2.12
0.0%
2023Q4
92
46.2
2.24
0.28
0.78
1.18
2.15
0.0%
2023Q3
92
45.6
2.38
0.24
0.88
1.26
2.17
0.0%
2023Q2
91
49.9
2.01
0.30
0.67
1.05
1.74
0.0%
2023Q1
90
55.1
2.08
0.22
0.68
1.18
1.76
3.4%
2022Q4
92
54.7
2.23
0.17
0.69
1.37
2.10
15.8%
2022Q3
92
56.6
1.97
0.12
0.66
1.19
1.90
16.9%
2022Q2
91
53.4
2.03
0.20
0.77
1.06
2.00
12.9%
2022Q1
90
51.2
2.22
0.24
0.61
1.36
2.04
0.1%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
12
D × 10E × 1F × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-04-30
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2026-05-01
2026-03-04
Health · complaint
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2026-03-05
2026-03-04
Health · complaint
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2026-03-05
2026-01-29
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2026-01-30
2025-09-10
Health · complaint
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2025-09-11
2025-09-10
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-09-11
2025-06-10
Health · complaint
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2025-06-11
2025-03-12
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-03-13
2023-09-20
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2023-09-26
2023-09-20
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-09-26
2023-09-20
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2023-10-06
2023-09-20
Health
F0908
Keep all essential equipment working safely.
F
2023-10-12
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
32
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
FANNIN COUNTY HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
BLAKE, GARY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
BLAKE, MALISA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
FANNIN COUNTY HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
—
—
2024-10-01
current
tx_hhsc_directory
HEKIMIAN, KHOREN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
HOLT, ERIN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
HONOR X ENTERPRISES, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
HONOR X ENTERPRISES, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
HUGGINS, LINDA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
HUGGINS, LINDA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-10-04
current
pecos_ownership
JOHNSON, JUANITA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
KEETON, WENDY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
KISSLING, MONICA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
MCBEAN, PATRICIA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
PALESTINE I ENTERPRISES, LLC
—
—
2024-10-01
current
tx_hhsc_directory
PALESTINE I ENTERPRISES, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
SANDERSON, CLARK
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
TROMPLER, KELLY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
WILLIG, ZACHARY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
CLARK SANDERSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ERIN HOLT
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GARY BLAKE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JUANITA JOHNSON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KELLY TROMPLER
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KHOREN HEKIMIAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LINDA HUGGINS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-10-04
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LINDA HUGGINS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MALISA BLAKE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MONICA KISSLING
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PATRICIA MCBEAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WENDY KEETON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ZACHARY WILLIG
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 48001
acs median gross
0
$1,008
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48001
fmr
0
$895
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48001
acs median gross
1
$849
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48001
fmr
1
$901
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48001
acs median gross
2
$953
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48001
fmr
2
$1,117
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48001
acs median gross
3
$1,179
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48001
fmr
3
$1,339
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48001
acs median gross
4
$1,407
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48001
fmr
4
$1,686
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48001
acs median gross
$1,041
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48001
acs recent mover gross
$881
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75803
acs median gross
0
$1,050
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75803
acs median gross
1
$767
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75803
acs median gross
2
$920
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75803
acs median gross
3
$1,222
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75803
acs median gross
4
$1,372
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75803
acs median gross
$1,113
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75803
acs recent mover gross
$1,102
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 75803
payment standard 110
0
$1,001
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75803
payment standard 90
0
$819
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75803
safmr
0
$910
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75803
payment standard 110
1
$1,012
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75803
payment standard 90
1
$828
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75803
safmr
1
$920
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75803
payment standard 110
2
$1,254
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75803
payment standard 90
2
$1,026
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75803
safmr
2
$1,140
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75803
payment standard 110
3
$1,507
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75803
payment standard 90
3
$1,233
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75803
safmr
3
$1,370
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75803
payment standard 110
4
$1,892
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75803
payment standard 90
4
$1,548
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75803
safmr
4
$1,720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.