Reads as: riskier than 18.2% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
CA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.77
3.95
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.69
0.38
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.75
3.79
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.78
4.01
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
38.4
3.77
0.69
0.31
2.77
3.75
0.0%
2025Q3
92
36.9
3.74
0.55
0.37
2.81
3.81
0.0%
2025Q2
91
35.3
3.74
0.45
0.42
2.87
3.84
0.0%
2025Q1
90
32.8
3.94
0.42
0.51
3.00
4.10
0.0%
2024Q4
92
35.5
3.83
0.60
0.42
2.81
3.74
0.0%
2024Q3
92
40.7
3.51
0.49
0.31
2.71
3.47
0.0%
2024Q2
91
40.5
3.35
0.32
0.48
2.55
3.21
0.0%
2024Q1
91
40.2
3.08
0.34
0.30
2.44
2.86
0.0%
2023Q4
92
35.7
3.49
0.41
0.17
2.91
3.27
0.0%
2023Q3
92
30.4
3.30
0.34
0.08
2.88
3.10
0.0%
2023Q2
91
29.6
3.29
0.38
0.26
2.64
3.21
0.0%
2023Q1
90
31.9
3.32
0.39
0.15
2.78
3.33
0.0%
2022Q4
92
29.8
3.58
0.46
0.93
2.19
3.37
0.0%
2022Q3
92
31.7
4.27
0.55
0.90
2.83
4.01
0.0%
2022Q2
91
34.2
4.05
0.51
0.72
2.81
3.72
0.0%
2022Q1
90
32.2
4.33
0.45
1.07
2.81
4.36
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2025-05-10
2025-04-17
Health
F0801
Employ sufficient staff with the appropriate competencies and skills sets to carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service, including a qualified dietician.
E
2025-05-10
2025-04-17
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
F
2025-05-10
2025-04-17
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-05-10
2024-04-18
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
G
2024-05-02
2024-01-12
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2024-01-30
2024-01-12
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2024-01-30
2024-01-12
Health
F0676
Ensure residents do not lose the ability to perform activities of daily living unless there is a medical reason.
D
2024-01-30
2024-01-12
Health
F0700
Try different approaches before using a bed rail. If a bed rail is needed, the facility must (1) assess a resident for safety risk; (2) review these risks and benefits with the resident/representative; (3) get informed consent; and (4) Correctly install and maintain the bed rail.
D
2024-01-30
2024-01-12
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2024-01-30
2024-01-12
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2024-01-30
2024-01-12
Health
F0800
Provide each resident with a nourishing, palatable, well-balanced diet that meets his or her daily nutritional and special dietary needs.
D
2024-01-30
2024-01-12
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-01-30
2024-01-12
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-01-30
2022-10-14
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2022-11-03
2022-10-14
Health
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
2022-11-03
2022-10-14
Health
F0574
The resident has the right to receive notices in a format and a language he or she understands.
D
2022-10-24
2022-10-14
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2022-11-03
2022-10-14
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2022-11-03
2022-10-14
Health
F0801
Employ sufficient staff with the appropriate competencies and skills sets to carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service, including a qualified dietician.
F
2022-10-28
2022-10-14
Health
F0802
Provide sufficient support personnel to safely and effectively carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service.
E
2022-10-24
2022-10-14
Health
F0803
Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident.
D
2022-10-14
2022-10-14
Health
F0809
Ensure meals and snacks are served at times in accordance with resident’s needs, preferences, and requests. Suitable and nourishing alternative meals and snacks must be provided for residents who want to eat at non-traditional times or outside of scheduled meal times.
E
2022-10-18
2022-10-14
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2022-10-20
2022-10-14
Health
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
E
2022-10-22
2022-10-14
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2022-11-03
2022-10-14
Health
F0925
Make sure there is a pest control program to prevent/deal with mice, insects, or other pests.
E
2022-10-20
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
48
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
FRONT PORCH COMMUNITIES AND SERVICES
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2006-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
AKOPYAN, GEVORK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-10-12
current
pecos_ownership
BALAAN, MARITES
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2014-04-21
current
pecos_ownership
BURGOYNE, BRADLEY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-11-11
current
pecos_ownership
CAIRNS, DAWN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2006-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
DURANTEAU, NANCY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
FORTE, VINCENT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
HANDY, JOANNE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
HUMPHRIES, SHEILA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2002-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
ICHIEN, CHRISTOPHER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-06-04
current
pecos_ownership
JACOBS, LAURA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
KELLY, SEAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-03-06
current
pecos_ownership
KROEKER, KEVIN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MCGOVERN, MARION
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MCMULLIN, MARY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
MERKIN, NICKOLAS
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-05
current
pecos_ownership
NELSON, HARRY
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-05
current
pecos_ownership
OLSON, KARI
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2001-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
PENNINGTON, PAIGE
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-05
current
pecos_ownership
PROCTOR, DEBORAH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SALVADOR, EDUARDO
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2017-10-03
current
pecos_ownership
SPENCER, PETER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2026-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
TONNU, DIEMLAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
VRANICH, RACHEL
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-06-17
current
pecos_ownership
WESSON, OLIVER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WHITTAKER, SUSAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-23
current
pecos_ownership
PETER SPENCER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2026-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRADLEY BURGOYNE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-11-11
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHRISTOPHER ICHIEN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-06-04
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAWN CAIRNS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2006-09-29
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DEBORAH PROCTOR
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DIEMLAN TONNU
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
EDUARDO SALVADOR
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-10-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GEVORK AKOPYAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-10-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOANNE HANDY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KARI OLSON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2001-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KEVIN KROEKER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LAURA JACOBS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARION MCGOVERN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARITES BALAAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2014-04-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARY MCMULLIN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NANCY DURANTEAU
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
OLIVER WESSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RACHEL VRANICH
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-06-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SEAN KELLY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-03-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHEILA HUMPHRIES
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2002-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SUSAN WHITTAKER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
VINCENT FORTE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2025-03-31
$802,195
—
$802,195
—
—
0
—
2024-03-31
$659,368
—
$659,368
—
—
0
—
2023-03-31
$728,045
—
—
—
—
0
—
2022-03-31
$792,439
—
—
—
—
0
—
2021-03-31
$640,509
—
$640,509
—
—
0
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 06085
acs median gross
0
$2,205
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06085
fmr
0
$2,621
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06085
acs median gross
1
$2,487
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06085
fmr
1
$2,982
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06085
acs median gross
2
$2,950
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06085
fmr
2
$3,483
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06085
acs median gross
3
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06085
fmr
3
$4,602
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06085
acs median gross
4
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06085
fmr
4
$5,010
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06085
acs median gross
5
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06085
acs median gross
$2,857
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06085
acs recent mover gross
$3,016
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95014
acs median gross
0
$3,060
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95014
acs median gross
1
$3,057
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95014
acs median gross
2
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95014
acs median gross
3
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95014
acs median gross
4
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95014
acs median gross
5
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95014
acs median gross
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95014
acs recent mover gross
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 95014
payment standard 110
0
$3,674
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95014
payment standard 90
0
$3,006
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95014
safmr
0
$3,340
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95014
payment standard 110
1
$4,180
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95014
payment standard 90
1
$3,420
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95014
safmr
1
$3,800
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95014
payment standard 110
2
$4,884
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95014
payment standard 90
2
$3,996
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95014
safmr
2
$4,440
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95014
payment standard 110
3
$6,457
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95014
payment standard 90
3
$5,283
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95014
safmr
3
$5,870
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95014
payment standard 110
4
$7,029
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95014
payment standard 90
4
$5,751
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95014
safmr
4
$6,390
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.