Screener / 065292

REHABILITATION CENTER AT SANDALWOOD, THE

snfCO

3835 HARLAN ST, WHEAT RIDGE, CO 80033 · CCN 065292 · chain COLAVRIA HOSPITALITY INC

Composite

97.0 / 100 percentile

Peer group

snf n = 14,684

Evidence depth

deep

Certified beds

103

Model

v1.2

Reads as: riskier than 97.0% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.

Score model5 Components16 CHOW radar1 Distress radar1 Staffing16 Penalties1 Deficiencies23 Licensure0 Ownership11 Related party6 Transactions0 Comps12 Market rent35

Composite explanation

Component	Percentile	Raw	Weight	Weight share	Contribution	Counts
staffing risk	97.2	97.2	0.25	0.1923	18.69	in index
billing conduct	76.8	51.0	0.30	0.2308	17.72	in index
regulatory risk	72.2	67.7	0.30	0.2308	16.66	in index
financial risk	63.7	54.8	0.30	0.2308	14.70	in index
chow risk	57.5	39.3	0.15	0.1154	6.63	in index

weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.

Component scores and registry models

Score type	Score	Grade	Model	Status	Registry model notes
billing conduct	51.0	C	v0.1-pacpuf-snf	default · in composite	R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup.
chow risk	54.4	C	v0.1-pos	default · in composite	Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
chow risk	24.2	A	v0.6	default · in composite
financial risk	54.8	C	v0.5	default · in composite	R18.
p adverse action 12m	0.2	—	v0.1	default · in composite	R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
p chow 12m	4.8	—	v0.1	default · in composite	R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
regulatory risk	67.7	D	v0.3	default · in composite	Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos.
staffing risk	97.2	F	v0.3	default · in composite	Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS.
financial risk	71.6	D	v0.1	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
financial risk	51.6	C	v0.2	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
financial risk	62.4	C	v0.3	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
financial risk	56.1	C	v0.4	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
regulatory risk	67.5	D	v0.1	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
regulatory risk	67.5	D	v0.2	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
staffing risk	97.2	F	v0.1	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
staffing risk	97.2	F	v0.2	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.

Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.

CHOW radar — 12-month sale probability

full board →

p(CHOW, 12m)

4.8%

model v0.1 · computed 2026-07-29

Percentile among SNFs

88.6

100 = most likely to sell

Holdout AUC

0.874

evaluated before shipping, never refit

Driver	Value	Pull on odds
For-profit ownership	1.00	+0.69
Never sold on record	1.00	+0.62
Current owner tenure (years)	25.00	+0.57
No PBJ staffing report	0.00	+0.42
Occupancy	0.79	-0.26
Ownership changes, last 5 years	0.00	+0.20
Contract staffing share	0.19	+0.19
Total nurse staffing (HPRD)	2.08	+0.19

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.

Distress radar — 12-month termination probability

full board →

p(termination, 12m)

0.2%

model v0.1 · computed 2026-07-29

Percentile among SNFs

58.2

100 = most likely to lose certification

Holdout AUC

0.971

top decile caught 95% of actual exits

Driver	Value	Pull on odds
For-profit ownership	1.00	-0.69
Deficiencies, last 12 months	4.00	+0.69
Staffing trend, last 4 quarters	-1.21	-0.59
Chain size (log)	1.10	+0.56
Total nurse staffing (HPRD)	2.08	+0.48
No PBJ staffing report	0.00	+0.39
Fine amount, 12m (log)	0.00	+0.18
Occupancy	0.79	-0.16

Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.

Staffing vs peers

2025Q4 HPRD	This facility	CO median	National median	National p25–p75
Total nurse	2.08	3.19	3.28	2.90–3.77
RN	0.31	0.57	0.39	0.25–0.58
Weekend total	2.17	3.02	3.11	—
Weekday total	2.04	3.27	3.35	—

Quarter	Days	Avg census	Total HPRD	RN	LPN	CNA	Weekend	Contract %
2025Q4	92	81.0	2.08	0.31	0.39	1.37	2.17	18.7%
2025Q3	92	84.9	3.33	0.56	0.63	2.14	3.22	18.8%
2025Q2	91	86.0	3.27	0.53	0.61	2.13	3.27	23.0%
2025Q1	90	87.3	3.13	0.56	0.56	2.01	3.10	30.5%
2024Q4	92	82.5	3.28	0.59	0.66	2.04	3.27	21.6%
2024Q3	92	80.0	3.36	0.54	0.70	2.11	3.34	29.2%
2024Q2	91	84.4	3.33	0.57	0.71	2.06	3.36	35.2%
2024Q1	91	86.9	3.29	0.54	0.71	2.05	3.31	34.2%
2023Q4	92	80.7	3.43	0.55	0.75	2.13	3.36	22.8%
2023Q3	92	81.3	3.38	0.53	0.76	2.09	3.32	26.7%
2023Q2	91	83.1	3.39	0.55	0.71	2.12	3.26	38.6%
2023Q1	90	78.7	3.45	0.55	0.75	2.15	3.40	46.6%
2022Q4	92	83.6	3.34	0.49	0.77	2.08	3.25	37.6%
2022Q3	92	87.0	3.21	0.45	0.76	1.99	3.02	32.1%
2022Q2	91	86.2	3.26	0.46	0.76	2.04	3.10	36.9%
2022Q1	90	84.3	3.00	0.50	0.66	1.84	2.95	32.8%

HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.

Penalties

Date	Type	Fine	Source
2024-04-26	Fine	$46,150	CMS provider data

Total fines on record: $46,150

Deficiencies

D × 18E × 2F × 1G × 1L × 1

deficiencies by survey year

Survey	Type	Tag	Deficiency	Scope	Corrected
2026-02-11	Health	F0567	Honor the resident's right to manage his or her financial affairs.	D	2026-03-11
2026-02-11	Health	F0659	Provide care by qualified persons according to each resident's written plan of care.	D	2026-03-11
2026-02-11	Health	F0676	Ensure residents do not lose the ability to perform activities of daily living unless there is a medical reason.	D	2026-03-11
2026-02-11	Health	F0880	Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.	E	2026-03-11
2024-04-26	Health	F0676	Ensure residents do not lose the ability to perform activities of daily living unless there is a medical reason.	D	2024-05-24
2024-04-26	Health	F0684	Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.	D	2024-05-24
2024-04-26	Health	F0688	Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.	D	2024-05-24
2024-04-26	Health	F0689	Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.	D	2024-05-24
2024-04-26	Health	F0692	Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.	G	2024-05-24
2024-04-26	Health	F0698	Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.	D	2024-05-24
2024-04-26	Health	F0756	Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.	L	2024-05-24
2024-04-26	Health	F0791	Provide or obtain dental services for each resident.	D	2024-05-24
2024-04-26	Health	F0867	Set up an ongoing quality assessment and assurance group to review quality deficiencies and develop corrective plans of action.	F	2024-05-24
2024-01-31	Health · complaint	F0686	Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.	D	2024-03-07
2023-01-11	Health	F0561	Honor the resident's right to and the facility must promote and facilitate resident self-determination through support of resident choice.	D	2023-02-24
2023-01-11	Health	F0600	Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.	D	2023-02-24
2023-01-11	Health	F0656	Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.	D	2023-02-24
2023-01-11	Health	F0677	Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.	D	2023-02-24
2023-01-11	Health	F0684	Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.	D	2023-02-24
2023-01-11	Health	F0689	Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.	E	2023-02-24
2023-01-11	Health	F0692	Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.	D	2023-02-24
2023-01-11	Health	F0697	Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services.	D	2023-02-24
2023-01-11	Health	F0880	Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.	D	2023-02-24

scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.

Licensure actions

No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.

Ownership

Owner	Role	Pct	From	Status	Source
SANDALWOOD PARTNERSHIP	Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider	100%	2023-01-01	current	hcris_a_8_1
SANDALWOOD PARTNERSHIP	Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider	100%	2023-08-01	current	hcris_a_8_1
SWREC LLC	Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider	100%	2024-01-01	current	hcris_a_8_1
MARK BEDINGER	5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST	100%	2024-08-01	ended 2026-05-18	pecos_ownership
SANDALWOOD PARTNERSHIP	Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider	100%	2020-01-01	ended 2020-12-31	hcris_a_8_1
SANDALWOOD PARTNERSHIP	Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider	100%	2021-01-01	ended 2021-12-31	hcris_a_8_1
SANDALWOOD PARTNERSHIP	Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider	100%	2022-01-01	ended 2022-12-31	hcris_a_8_1
COLAVRIA HOSPITALITY, INC	OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL	—	2024-08-01	ended 2026-05-18	pecos_ownership
COLAVRIA HOSPITALITY, INC	ADP OF THE SNF	—	2024-11-11	ended 2026-05-18	pecos_ownership
IAN CHARTIER	OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL	—	2024-08-01	ended 2026-05-18	pecos_ownership
REZA ESFAHANI	ADP OF THE SNF	—	2024-08-01	ended 2026-05-18	pecos_ownership

PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.

Related-party costs

FY end	Total allowable	Rent	Home office	Therapy	Staffing	Counterparties	PropCo
2024-12-31	$1,024,979	$312,519	—	$275,364	—	10	propco
2024-07-31	$218,618	—	—	—	—	2	propco
2023-12-31	$368,662	—	—	—	—	2	propco
2022-12-31	$378,799	—	—	—	—	2	propco
2021-12-31	$432,859	—	—	—	—	2	propco
2020-12-31	$446,006	—	—	—	—	2	propco

Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.

Transactions

No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.

Comparable trades — CO snf

Close	Facility	Price	$/bed	Cap rate	Beds	Buyer
2025-09-01	FALCON HEIGHTS REHABILITATION AND NURSING LLC	—	—	—	107	FALCON HEIGHTS REHABILITATION AND NURSING LLC
2025-07-11	Pueblo Heights Nursing and Rehabilitation	—	—	—	120	CONSTITUTION OPERATIONS LLC
2025-05-16	CITY SCAPE REHABILITATION & CARE CENTER LLC	—	—	—	60	CITY SCAPE REHABILITATION & CARE CENTER LLC
2024-10-16	STORYBROOK CARE & REHABILITATION	—	—	—	60	STORYBROOK CARE & REHABILITATION LLC
2024-10-01	CASEY'S POND SENIOR LIVING	—	—	—	66	NORTHWEST COLORADO VISITING NURSE ASSOCIATION
2024-09-01	POUDRE CANYON REHABILITATION AND NURSING, LLC	—	—	—	83	POUDRE CANYON REHABILITATION AND NURSING LLC
2024-09-01	WELLSPRINGS CARE CENTER	—	—	—	81	WELLSPRINGS CARE CENTER LLC
2024-09-01	SOUTH PLATTE REHABILITATION AND NURSING LLC	—	—	—	78	SOUTH PLATTE REHABILITATION AND NURSING LLC
2024-09-01	WESTLAKE HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	—	—	—	107	LATHAM RIVER HEALTHCARE, INC.
2024-09-01	THORNTON CARE CENTER	—	—	—	101	THORNTON CARE CENTER LLC
2024-09-01	DURANGO HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	—	—	—	133	CHIMNEY ROCK HEALTHCARE INC
2024-09-01	STERLING REHABILITATION AND NURSING, LLC	—	—	—	63	STERLING REHABILITATION AND NURSING LLC

Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.

Market rent context

Geo	Kind	BR	Amount	As of	Source
county 08059	acs median gross	0	$1,624	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 08059	fmr	0	$1,643	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_FMR
county 08059	acs median gross	1	$1,653	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 08059	fmr	1	$1,754	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_FMR
county 08059	acs median gross	2	$1,863	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 08059	fmr	2	$2,089	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_FMR
county 08059	acs median gross	3	$2,301	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 08059	fmr	3	$2,734	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_FMR
county 08059	acs median gross	4	$2,560	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 08059	fmr	4	$3,049	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_FMR
county 08059	acs median gross	5	$2,753	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 08059	acs median gross		$1,861	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 08059	acs recent mover gross		$1,996	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80033	acs median gross	0	$1,909	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80033	acs median gross	1	$1,258	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80033	acs median gross	2	$1,618	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80033	acs median gross	3	$2,279	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80033	acs median gross	4	$1,788	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80033	acs median gross		$1,587	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80033	acs recent mover gross		$2,193	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zip 80033	payment standard 110	0	$1,628	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033	payment standard 90	0	$1,332	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033	safmr	0	$1,480	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033	payment standard 110	1	$1,782	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033	payment standard 90	1	$1,458	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033	safmr	1	$1,620	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033	payment standard 110	2	$2,123	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033	payment standard 90	2	$1,737	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033	safmr	2	$1,930	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033	payment standard 110	3	$2,772	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033	payment standard 90	3	$2,268	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033	safmr	3	$2,520	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033	payment standard 110	4	$3,102	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033	payment standard 90	4	$2,538	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033	safmr	4	$2,820	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR

ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.