ONE PERRYMAN STREET, LEBANON, IL 62254 · CCN 145571 · chain FEJCC TRUST
Composite
91.1 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
116
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 91.1% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
7
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+32.2 vs natl
FLICK JOHN
9 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+28.0 vs natl
LICHTMAN SHALOM
20 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+25.3 vs natl
LIGHT MAN LLC
17 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
12 chains
CAPITAL FINANCE LLC
33 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
10 chains
LTC CONSULTING SERVICES LLC
18 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
55% fined
LICHTMAN SHALOM
20 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
47% fined
LIGHT MAN LLC
17 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
IL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.97
3.13
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.64
0.49
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.55
2.93
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.13
3.23
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
104.7
2.97
0.64
0.40
1.92
2.55
7.4%
2025Q3
92
102.5
2.79
0.53
0.46
1.81
2.39
11.0%
2025Q2
91
98.0
2.92
0.54
0.47
1.91
2.47
11.9%
2025Q1
90
97.2
2.93
0.55
0.51
1.88
2.50
11.9%
2024Q4
92
102.7
2.75
0.41
0.40
1.95
2.54
12.0%
2024Q3
92
102.8
2.88
0.36
0.47
2.05
2.66
11.7%
2024Q2
91
104.8
2.89
0.36
0.47
2.06
2.60
11.5%
2024Q1
91
101.9
2.85
0.43
0.45
1.97
2.56
13.8%
2023Q4
92
102.5
3.00
0.46
0.52
2.01
2.75
13.5%
2023Q3
92
100.8
3.20
0.54
0.57
2.09
2.79
13.0%
2023Q2
91
96.1
3.16
0.67
0.49
2.00
2.65
15.9%
2023Q1
90
94.3
2.95
0.49
0.59
1.87
2.53
13.9%
2022Q4
92
96.8
3.05
0.35
0.73
1.97
2.46
4.9%
2022Q3
92
94.5
3.29
0.19
0.88
2.22
2.81
0.5%
2022Q2
91
103.1
3.32
0.13
0.93
2.26
3.02
0.0%
2022Q1
90
99.1
3.52
0.17
1.01
2.34
3.13
0.2%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
E
2026-03-31
2026-03-12
Health · complaint
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2026-03-31
2026-03-12
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
F
2026-03-31
2026-03-12
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
E
2026-03-31
2026-03-12
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2026-03-31
2025-01-30
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
E
2025-01-31
2025-01-30
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2025-01-31
2025-01-30
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-01-31
2025-01-30
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2025-01-31
2025-01-30
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
E
2025-01-31
2025-01-30
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
E
2025-01-31
2025-01-30
Health
F0697
Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services.
G
2025-01-31
2025-01-30
Health
F0760
Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors.
D
2025-01-31
2025-01-30
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
E
2025-01-31
2025-01-30
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2025-01-31
2025-01-30
Health
F0881
Implement a program that monitors antibiotic use.
E
2025-01-31
2024-02-15
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2024-02-16
2024-01-05
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-01-17
2024-01-05
Health
F0881
Implement a program that monitors antibiotic use.
D
2024-01-17
2023-08-11
Health · complaint
F0698
Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.
G
2023-08-23
2023-06-20
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
G
2023-07-01
2023-06-20
Health · complaint
F0725
Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift.
E
2023-07-01
2023-06-20
Health · complaint
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2023-08-02
2023-06-20
Health · complaint
F0760
Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors.
D
2023-07-01
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
31
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
CAPITAL FINANCE LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
CEDAR RIDGE REALTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
CEDAR RIDGE REALTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
CREST CRJS HOLDCO LLC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-03-14
current
pecos_ownership
FLICK, JOHN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-01-06
current
pecos_ownership
IL M TRUST
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
IL M TRUST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-03-14
current
pecos_ownership
LICHTMAN, SHALOM
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
LIGHT MAN LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-03-14
current
pecos_ownership
LTC CONSULTING SERVICES LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
MRS WINDY CITY STATE TRUST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-03-14
current
pecos_ownership
O'NEAL, KENYA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-07-31
current
pecos_ownership
CREST CRJS TBD HOLDCO LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2025-03-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CREST ILLINOIS HOLDCO LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
95%
2019-09-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
ECFJC TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
21%
2025-03-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TSDAMA TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
21%
2025-03-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHALOM LICHTMAN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
20%
2025-03-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHALOM LICHTMAN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
19%
2019-09-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
FEJCC TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
18%
2019-09-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
MDATAS TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
18%
2019-09-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
MRS FAMILY TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
18%
2019-09-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
ERIC CLARK
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
10%
2019-09-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
MOSHE WEINTRAUB
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
7%
2019-09-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
MICHAEL ALTOBELLA
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2019-09-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
MEIR SINGER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
1%
2019-09-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
YISRAEL FRIEDMAN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
1%
2019-09-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
CAPITAL FINANCE LLC
5% OR GREATER SECURITY INTEREST
—
2019-09-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
CEDAR RIDGE REALTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
CEDAR RIDGE REALTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
JOHN FLICK
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-01-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KENYA O'NEAL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-07-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$2,023,395
—
—
—
—
2
propco
2023-12-31
$2,153,702
—
—
—
—
2
propco
2022-12-31
$1,838,129
—
—
—
—
2
propco
2021-12-31
$1,242,525
—
—
—
—
2
propco
2020-12-31
$552,807
—
—
—
$81,303
2
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
33
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 17163
acs median gross
0
$864
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17163
fmr
0
$955
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17163
acs median gross
1
$836
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17163
fmr
1
$995
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17163
acs median gross
2
$1,070
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17163
fmr
2
$1,218
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17163
acs median gross
3
$1,285
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17163
fmr
3
$1,568
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17163
acs median gross
4
$1,611
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17163
fmr
4
$1,812
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17163
acs median gross
5
$1,317
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17163
acs median gross
$1,090
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17163
acs recent mover gross
$1,247
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62254
acs median gross
1
$524
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62254
acs median gross
2
$1,150
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62254
acs median gross
3
$1,264
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62254
acs median gross
$1,063
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62254
acs recent mover gross
$951
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 62254
payment standard 110
0
$1,155
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62254
payment standard 90
0
$945
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62254
safmr
0
$1,050
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62254
payment standard 110
1
$1,199
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62254
payment standard 90
1
$981
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62254
safmr
1
$1,090
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62254
payment standard 110
2
$1,474
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62254
payment standard 90
2
$1,206
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62254
safmr
2
$1,340
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62254
payment standard 110
3
$1,892
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62254
payment standard 90
3
$1,548
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62254
safmr
3
$1,720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62254
payment standard 110
4
$2,189
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62254
payment standard 90
4
$1,791
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62254
safmr
4
$1,990
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.