2130 HARRISON STREET, QUINCY, IL 62301 · CCN 145773
Composite
53.4 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
203
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 53.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.6 vs natl
BARNES ERIC
8 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
IL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.07
3.13
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.53
0.49
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
4.21
2.93
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.02
3.23
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
102.3
4.07
0.53
0.75
2.80
4.21
10.9%
2025Q3
92
103.8
4.08
0.54
0.69
2.84
4.09
8.3%
2025Q2
91
100.4
4.28
0.56
0.74
2.98
4.26
8.7%
2025Q1
90
97.4
4.55
0.51
0.82
3.23
4.73
8.3%
2024Q4
92
98.6
4.61
0.54
0.77
3.30
4.64
6.2%
2024Q3
92
102.0
4.37
0.52
0.76
3.10
4.41
6.9%
2024Q2
91
103.5
4.11
0.48
0.80
2.82
4.04
9.8%
2024Q1
91
102.9
4.12
0.54
0.81
2.77
4.12
10.6%
2023Q4
92
105.2
4.01
0.52
0.76
2.73
4.02
12.4%
2023Q3
92
104.0
4.08
0.46
0.78
2.83
4.12
14.6%
2023Q2
91
106.1
4.12
0.49
0.75
2.88
3.88
10.8%
2023Q1
90
111.2
3.83
0.53
0.66
2.64
3.71
7.7%
2022Q4
92
112.6
3.97
0.75
0.72
2.50
3.59
0.0%
2022Q3
92
112.3
4.12
0.79
0.81
2.53
3.67
0.0%
2022Q2
91
112.5
4.07
0.79
0.80
2.48
3.61
0.0%
2022Q1
90
113.5
3.76
0.77
0.81
2.18
3.48
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
G
2025-10-09
2025-07-17
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-08-07
2024-10-27
Health · complaint
F0622
Not transfer or discharge a resident without an adequate reason; and must provide documentation and convey specific information when a resident is transferred or discharged.
D
2024-11-21
2024-10-27
Health · complaint
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
D
2024-11-21
2024-10-27
Health · complaint
F0625
Notify the resident or the resident’s representative in writing how long the nursing home will hold the resident’s bed in cases of transfer to a hospital or therapeutic leave.
D
2024-11-21
2024-08-15
Health
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2024-09-06
2024-08-15
Health
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
D
2024-09-06
2024-08-15
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2024-09-06
2024-08-15
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-09-06
2023-11-14
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2023-11-30
2023-08-19
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
J
2023-08-20
2023-08-19
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
D
2023-09-01
2022-09-08
Health
F0805
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs.
D
2022-10-03
2022-09-08
Health
F0867
Set up an ongoing quality assessment and assurance group to review quality deficiencies and develop corrective plans of action.
F
2022-10-03
2022-09-08
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
K
2022-10-03
2022-09-08
Health
F0887
Educate residents and staff on COVID-19 vaccination, offer the COVID-19 vaccine to eligible residents and staff after education, and properly document each resident and staff member's vaccination status.
E
2022-10-03
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
36
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ANDERSON, HALLEY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-06
current
pecos_ownership
ANDERSON, HALLEY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-06-12
current
pecos_ownership
BARNES, ERIC
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
BIGELOW, SHARON
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
BLICKHAN, GARY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
CANFIELD, BRIAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
DANIELS, CHRIS
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2018-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
DORIAN, MATTHEW
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-05-24
current
pecos_ownership
DURANTE, BRIAN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
GABRIEL, MARTIN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2021-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
GIBBS, PATRICIA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
HIGGINS, SHARON
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2016-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
KERN, KELLY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
MCLEOD, EMMA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-02-22
current
pecos_ownership
OTT, JOSEPH
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2019-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
RILEY, RANDY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2015-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
WAVERING, STEVE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
WHITE, TIM
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
BRIAN CANFIELD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRIAN DURANTE
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHRIS DANIELS
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2018-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
EMMA MCLEOD
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-02-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ERIC BARNES
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GARY BLICKHAN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2015-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HALLEY ANDERSON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HALLEY ANDERSON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-06-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSEPH OTT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KELLY KERN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARTIN GABRIEL
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2021-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MATTHEW DORIAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-05-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PATRICIA GIBBS
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2021-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RANDY RILEY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHARON BIGELOW
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHARON HIGGINS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2016-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STEVE WAVERING
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TIM WHITE
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 17001
acs median gross
0
$547
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17001
fmr
0
$734
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17001
acs median gross
1
$662
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17001
fmr
1
$811
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17001
acs median gross
2
$911
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17001
fmr
2
$1,064
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17001
acs median gross
3
$990
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17001
fmr
3
$1,327
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17001
acs median gross
4
$1,319
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17001
fmr
4
$1,500
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17001
acs median gross
5
$950
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17001
acs median gross
$828
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17001
acs recent mover gross
$936
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62301
acs median gross
0
$568
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62301
acs median gross
1
$663
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62301
acs median gross
2
$924
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62301
acs median gross
3
$990
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62301
acs median gross
4
$1,487
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62301
acs median gross
5
$944
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62301
acs median gross
$815
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62301
acs recent mover gross
$943
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 62301
payment standard 110
0
$792
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62301
payment standard 90
0
$648
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62301
safmr
0
$720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62301
payment standard 110
1
$880
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62301
payment standard 90
1
$720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62301
safmr
1
$800
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62301
payment standard 110
2
$1,155
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62301
payment standard 90
2
$945
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62301
safmr
2
$1,050
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62301
payment standard 110
3
$1,441
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62301
payment standard 90
3
$1,179
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62301
safmr
3
$1,310
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62301
payment standard 110
4
$1,628
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62301
payment standard 90
4
$1,332
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62301
safmr
4
$1,480
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.