Reads as: riskier than 63.1% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later lease_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NY median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.42
3.33
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
1.26
0.43
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.87
3.03
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.64
3.44
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
304.0
4.42
1.26
0.33
2.84
3.87
1.1%
2025Q3
92
310.1
4.25
1.20
0.33
2.72
3.62
1.8%
2025Q2
91
312.6
4.45
1.42
0.32
2.71
3.82
2.5%
2025Q1
90
308.8
4.41
1.41
0.32
2.68
3.81
3.6%
2024Q4
92
308.6
4.45
1.35
0.35
2.74
3.63
5.3%
2024Q3
92
302.0
4.30
1.23
0.29
2.78
3.53
6.5%
2024Q2
91
310.9
4.29
1.21
0.32
2.76
3.50
9.4%
2024Q1
91
301.7
4.24
1.29
0.26
2.69
3.49
11.5%
2023Q4
92
305.7
4.39
1.36
0.25
2.78
3.53
18.4%
2023Q3
92
310.1
4.06
1.17
0.34
2.55
3.29
19.2%
2023Q2
91
310.4
4.12
0.93
0.40
2.79
3.36
11.8%
2023Q1
90
308.5
4.53
1.20
0.38
2.95
3.71
17.7%
2022Q4
92
293.3
4.68
1.26
0.41
3.01
3.83
18.5%
2022Q3
92
299.5
4.57
1.03
0.44
3.09
3.60
15.5%
2022Q2
91
310.0
4.50
1.10
0.42
2.98
3.61
15.1%
2022Q1
90
298.7
4.47
1.00
0.43
3.04
3.58
12.8%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
2
D × 2
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2024-10-03
Health
F0803
Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident.
D
2024-12-02
2024-10-03
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2024-12-02
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
41
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BASQUEZ, FLORENCIO
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-07-02
current
pecos_ownership
CALAMIA, VINCENT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2012-01-13
current
pecos_ownership
DRYDEN, JASON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-12-05
current
pecos_ownership
HERNANDEZ-PINERO, SALLY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
KARLIN, MARJORY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
KATZ, MITCHELL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-08
current
pecos_ownership
KAWATRA, ANITA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
KHUNDKAR, KITY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-01-20
current
pecos_ownership
LOWE, BARBARA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-05-18
current
pecos_ownership
LUONG, KHOI
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-11-27
current
pecos_ownership
MARTHONE, PATRICIA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
NEW YORK CITY HEALTH AND HOSPITALS CORPORATION
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
1997-12-08
current
pecos_ownership
PAGAN, JOSE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
RODRIGUES, LUCAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-05
current
pecos_ownership
RODRIGUES, LUCAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-05-06
current
pecos_ownership
ULBERG, JOHN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-12-19
current
pecos_ownership
WANG, FREDA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WASOW-PARK, MOLLY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-03-06
current
pecos_ownership
WEINSTEIN, DAVID
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-02-17
current
pecos_ownership
WEINSTEIN, DAVID
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-05
current
pecos_ownership
WILLIAMS-ISOM, ANNE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ANITA KAWATRA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2019-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANNE WILLIAMS-ISOM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BARBARA LOWE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2015-05-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FREDA WANG
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2019-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN ULBERG
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2018-12-19
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSE PAGAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2019-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KHOI LUONG
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2017-11-27
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARJORY KARLIN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
0%
2024-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MOLLY WASOW-PARK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2023-03-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PATRICIA MARTHONE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2021-12-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SALLY HERNANDEZ-PINERO
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2019-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
VINCENT CALAMIA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2012-01-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID WEINSTEIN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-02-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID WEINSTEIN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-05
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FLORENCIO BASQUEZ
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-07-02
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JASON DRYDEN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-12-05
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KITY KHUNDKAR
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-01-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LUCAN RODRIGUES
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-05
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LUCAN RODRIGUES
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-05-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MITCHELL KATZ
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-08
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2025-06-30
$7,780,388
—
$7,780,388
—
—
1
—
2024-06-30
$8,707,928
—
$8,707,928
—
—
1
—
2023-06-30
$7,260,920
—
$7,260,920
—
—
1
—
2022-06-30
$8,143,459
—
$8,143,459
—
—
1
—
2021-06-30
$17,735,786
—
$17,735,786
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 36047
acs median gross
0
$1,643
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36047
fmr
0
$2,529
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36047
acs median gross
1
$1,727
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36047
fmr
1
$2,655
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36047
acs median gross
2
$1,849
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36047
fmr
2
$2,910
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36047
acs median gross
3
$2,157
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36047
fmr
3
$3,644
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36047
acs median gross
4
$2,341
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36047
fmr
4
$3,959
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36047
acs median gross
5
$1,999
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36047
acs median gross
$1,833
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36047
acs recent mover gross
$2,624
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 11203
acs median gross
0
$1,271
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 11203
acs median gross
1
$1,411
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 11203
acs median gross
2
$1,809
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 11203
acs median gross
3
$1,774
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 11203
acs median gross
4
$2,454
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 11203
acs median gross
5
$2,266
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 11203
acs median gross
$1,581
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 11203
acs recent mover gross
$1,888
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 11203
payment standard 110
0
$2,585
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11203
payment standard 90
0
$2,115
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11203
safmr
0
$2,350
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11203
payment standard 110
1
$2,706
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11203
payment standard 90
1
$2,214
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11203
safmr
1
$2,460
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11203
payment standard 110
2
$2,970
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11203
payment standard 90
2
$2,430
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11203
safmr
2
$2,700
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11203
payment standard 110
3
$3,718
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11203
payment standard 90
3
$3,042
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11203
safmr
3
$3,380
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11203
payment standard 110
4
$4,037
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11203
payment standard 90
4
$3,303
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11203
safmr
4
$3,670
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.