Reads as: riskier than 26.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NJ median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.37
3.31
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.79
0.35
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
4.10
3.21
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.48
3.37
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
38.3
4.37
0.79
1.22
2.36
4.10
6.5%
2025Q3
92
37.6
4.59
0.79
1.27
2.54
4.29
6.6%
2025Q2
91
37.1
4.43
0.77
1.19
2.47
4.29
8.2%
2025Q1
90
38.8
4.15
0.77
1.04
2.35
3.97
7.2%
2024Q4
92
38.7
4.06
0.71
0.98
2.37
4.00
10.0%
2024Q3
92
39.4
4.17
0.75
0.90
2.52
4.06
14.8%
2024Q2
91
40.6
4.37
0.88
1.05
2.43
4.15
9.1%
2024Q1
91
37.1
4.54
1.15
0.83
2.56
4.46
4.0%
2023Q4
92
33.8
4.77
1.17
0.71
2.90
4.71
5.4%
2023Q3
92
33.1
4.94
1.18
0.91
2.85
4.74
6.6%
2023Q2
91
34.6
4.77
1.07
0.99
2.71
4.63
8.1%
2023Q1
90
36.2
4.34
0.99
0.87
2.48
4.34
4.7%
2022Q4
92
38.3
4.25
0.79
0.93
2.52
4.20
10.1%
2022Q3
92
38.3
3.95
0.61
0.93
2.40
3.98
16.7%
2022Q2
91
39.3
3.74
0.54
0.95
2.25
3.71
16.7%
2022Q1
90
31.6
4.03
0.50
1.19
2.35
4.10
13.1%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
E
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
D
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0607
Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft.
E
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
E
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
E
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0726
Ensure that nurses and nurse aides have the appropriate competencies to care for every resident in a way that maximizes each resident's well being.
E
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0802
Provide sufficient support personnel to safely and effectively carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service.
F
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
F
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0805
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs.
E
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
F
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0838
Conduct and document a facility-wide assessment to determine what resources are necessary to care for residents competently during both day-to-day operations (including nights and weekends) and emergencies.
F
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0849
Arrange for the provision of hospice services or assist the resident in transferring to a facility that will arrange for the provision of hospice services.
D
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0865
Have a plan that describes the process for conducting QAPI and QAA activities.
F
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0882
Designate a qualified infection preventionist to be responsible for the infection prevent and control program in the nursing home.
F
2026-04-08
2026-02-25
Health
F0925
Make sure there is a pest control program to prevent/deal with mice, insects, or other pests.
F
2026-04-08
2024-09-19
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2024-10-18
2024-09-19
Health
F0607
Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft.
D
2024-10-14
2024-09-19
Health
F0678
Provide basic life support, including CPR, prior to the arrival of emergency medical personnel , subject to physician orders and the resident’s advance directives.
E
2024-10-14
2024-09-19
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2024-10-18
2024-09-19
Health
F0697
Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services.
D
2024-10-18
2024-09-19
Health
F0757
Ensure each resident’s drug regimen must be free from unnecessary drugs.
D
2024-10-18
2024-09-19
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-10-07
2024-09-19
Health
F0883
Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations.
E
2024-10-02
2023-07-07
Health
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
D
2023-08-18
2023-07-07
Health
F0655
Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted
D
2023-07-10
2023-07-07
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
G
2023-08-21
2023-07-07
Health
F0710
Obtain a doctor's order to admit a resident and ensure the resident is under a doctor's care.
D
2023-08-18
2023-07-07
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2023-08-18
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
17
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ARGONDIZZA, ANTHONY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2012-08-16
current
pecos_ownership
ARGONDIZZA, ANTHONY
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2006-07-19
current
pecos_ownership
CAFFERTY, MAUREEN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2000-02-10
current
pecos_ownership
CAFFERTY, MAUREEN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2006-07-19
current
pecos_ownership
CAFFERTY, MAUREEN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2006-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
KOPEC, MARYBETH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2006-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MIDGETT, GARRETT
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2006-07-19
current
pecos_ownership
MIDGETT, GARRETT
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2008-08-21
current
pecos_ownership
SPRINGPOINT SENIOR LIVING INC
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2006-07-19
current
pecos_ownership
ANTHONY ARGONDIZZA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2012-08-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANTHONY ARGONDIZZA
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2006-07-19
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GARRETT MIDGETT
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2008-08-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GARRETT MIDGETT
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2006-07-19
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARYBETH KOPEC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2006-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MAUREEN CAFFERTY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2006-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MAUREEN CAFFERTY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2000-02-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MAUREEN CAFFERTY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2006-07-19
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,266,397
—
$1,266,488
—
—
1
—
2023-12-31
$1,180,919
—
$1,181,296
—
—
1
—
2022-12-31
$1,005,732
—
$956,731
—
—
1
—
2021-12-31
$1,085,584
—
$1,035,261
—
—
1
—
2020-12-31
$1,227,986
—
$1,208,057
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 34025
acs median gross
0
$1,439
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34025
fmr
0
$1,676
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34025
acs median gross
1
$1,497
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34025
fmr
1
$1,889
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34025
acs median gross
2
$2,057
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34025
fmr
2
$2,328
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34025
acs median gross
3
$2,485
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34025
fmr
3
$3,043
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34025
acs median gross
4
$2,753
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34025
fmr
4
$3,371
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34025
acs median gross
5
$2,261
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34025
acs median gross
$1,827
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34025
acs recent mover gross
$2,294
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07701
acs median gross
0
$1,391
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07701
acs median gross
1
$1,597
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07701
acs median gross
2
$2,116
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07701
acs median gross
3
$3,116
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07701
acs median gross
4
$2,381
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07701
acs median gross
$2,019
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07701
acs recent mover gross
$1,572
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 07701
payment standard 110
0
$2,112
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07701
payment standard 90
0
$1,728
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07701
safmr
0
$1,920
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07701
payment standard 110
1
$2,376
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07701
payment standard 90
1
$1,944
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07701
safmr
1
$2,160
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07701
payment standard 110
2
$2,926
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07701
payment standard 90
2
$2,394
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07701
safmr
2
$2,660
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07701
payment standard 110
3
$3,828
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07701
payment standard 90
3
$3,132
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07701
safmr
3
$3,480
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07701
payment standard 110
4
$4,235
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07701
payment standard 90
4
$3,465
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07701
safmr
4
$3,850
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.