140 MAIN STREET, POUGHKEEPSIE, NY 12601 · CCN 335827 · chain STRAUSS VENTURES LLC
Composite
57.5 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
160
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 57.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
4
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.6 vs natl
ROGERS ERIC
9 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
56% fined
ROGERS ERIC
9 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
47% fined
STRAUSS JONATHAN
19 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
47% fined
STRAUSS JEREMY
15 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NY median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.08
3.33
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.24
0.43
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.70
3.03
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.24
3.44
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
155.6
3.08
0.24
0.95
1.89
2.70
0.0%
2025Q3
92
153.9
3.03
0.19
0.95
1.89
2.61
0.0%
2025Q2
91
153.0
3.07
0.22
0.95
1.90
2.72
0.0%
2025Q1
90
155.3
3.07
0.27
0.91
1.89
2.61
0.0%
2024Q4
92
150.4
3.14
0.28
0.95
1.91
2.75
0.0%
2024Q3
92
154.3
3.00
0.31
0.86
1.83
2.54
0.0%
2024Q2
91
147.7
3.19
0.28
0.99
1.93
2.68
0.0%
2024Q1
91
150.8
3.07
0.26
1.00
1.82
2.55
0.0%
2023Q4
92
146.7
3.19
0.21
1.05
1.94
2.71
0.0%
2023Q3
92
151.0
3.04
0.19
1.00
1.84
2.48
0.5%
2023Q2
91
152.6
3.13
0.25
1.07
1.81
2.54
5.1%
2023Q1
90
154.2
3.08
0.27
1.04
1.77
2.52
6.4%
2022Q4
92
152.8
3.02
0.20
1.06
1.76
2.53
4.3%
2022Q3
92
155.0
3.02
0.27
0.95
1.80
2.32
5.0%
2022Q2
91
152.5
3.08
0.27
0.91
1.90
2.43
3.9%
2022Q1
90
152.3
2.88
0.28
0.79
1.80
2.35
1.2%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2026-04-30
2026-03-18
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2026-04-30
2026-01-28
Health
F0568
Properly hold, secure, and manage each resident's personal money which is deposited with the nursing home.
E
2026-03-06
2026-01-28
Health
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
D
2026-03-06
2026-01-28
Health · complaint
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
B
2026-03-06
2026-01-28
Health
F0645
PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities
D
2026-03-06
2026-01-28
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2026-03-06
2026-01-28
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2026-03-06
2026-01-28
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2026-03-06
2026-01-28
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
E
2026-03-06
2026-01-28
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2026-03-06
2026-01-28
Health
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
E
2026-03-06
2025-02-19
Health · complaint
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2025-04-28
2025-02-19
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2025-04-28
2025-02-19
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2025-04-28
2025-02-19
Health · complaint
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2025-04-28
2025-02-19
Health · complaint
F0730
Observe each nurse aide's job performance and give regular training.
E
2025-04-28
2023-10-03
Health
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2023-11-09
2023-10-03
Health · complaint
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2023-11-09
2023-10-03
Health · complaint
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2023-11-09
2023-10-03
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2023-11-09
2023-06-09
Health · complaint
F0625
Notify the resident or the resident’s representative in writing how long the nursing home will hold the resident’s bed in cases of transfer to a hospital or therapeutic leave.
D
2023-06-30
2020-02-13
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2020-04-09
2020-02-13
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2020-04-09
2020-02-13
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2020-04-09
2020-02-13
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2020-04-09
2020-02-13
Health
F0726
Ensure that nurses and nurse aides have the appropriate competencies to care for every resident in a way that maximizes each resident's well being.
D
2020-04-09
2020-02-13
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2020-04-09
2020-02-13
Health
F0803
Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident.
D
2020-04-09
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
12
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
STRAUSS VENTURES LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
94%
2016-07-22
current
pecos_ownership
STRAUSS, JEREMY
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
89%
2016-07-22
current
pecos_ownership
RIVER VALLEY REALTY CO. LP
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
43%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
RIVER VALLEY REALTY CO. LP
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
25%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
ROGERS, ERIC
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2018-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
STRAUSS, JONATHAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2016-07-22
current
pecos_ownership
JEREMY STRAUSS
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
89%
2016-07-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JONATHAN STRAUSS
CORPORATE OFFICER
50%
2016-07-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RIVER VALLEY REALTY CO. LP
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
45%
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
RIVER VALLEY REALTY CO. LP
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
43%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
RIVER VALLEY REALTY CO.
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
40%
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
ERIC ROGERS
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
10%
2018-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
4
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$2,055,547
—
—
—
—
10
propco
2023-12-31
$3,314,846
—
—
—
—
4
propco
2022-12-31
$2,670,431
—
—
—
—
4
propco
2021-12-31
$2,181,689
—
—
—
—
3
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 36027
acs median gross
0
$1,078
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36027
fmr
0
$1,364
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36027
acs median gross
1
$1,364
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36027
fmr
1
$1,549
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36027
acs median gross
2
$1,740
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36027
fmr
2
$1,979
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36027
acs median gross
3
$1,984
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36027
fmr
3
$2,511
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36027
acs median gross
4
$2,211
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36027
fmr
4
$2,694
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36027
acs median gross
5
$1,648
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36027
acs median gross
$1,582
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36027
acs recent mover gross
$1,745
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 12601
acs median gross
0
$985
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 12601
acs median gross
1
$1,246
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 12601
acs median gross
2
$1,573
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 12601
acs median gross
3
$1,889
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 12601
acs median gross
4
$2,330
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 12601
acs median gross
5
$1,213
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 12601
acs median gross
$1,418
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 12601
acs recent mover gross
$1,629
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 12601
payment standard 110
0
$1,353
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 12601
payment standard 90
0
$1,107
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 12601
safmr
0
$1,230
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 12601
payment standard 110
1
$1,529
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 12601
payment standard 90
1
$1,251
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 12601
safmr
1
$1,390
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 12601
payment standard 110
2
$1,958
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 12601
payment standard 90
2
$1,602
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 12601
safmr
2
$1,780
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 12601
payment standard 110
3
$2,486
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 12601
payment standard 90
3
$2,034
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 12601
safmr
3
$2,260
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 12601
payment standard 110
4
$2,662
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 12601
payment standard 90
4
$2,178
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 12601
safmr
4
$2,420
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.