Reads as: riskier than 4.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
ME median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
5.36
3.66
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
1.21
0.79
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
5.32
3.50
3.11
—
Weekday total
5.38
3.71
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
102.1
5.36
1.21
0.27
3.88
5.32
0.0%
2025Q3
92
103.7
5.30
1.08
0.31
3.91
5.24
0.0%
2025Q2
91
103.7
5.36
1.07
0.36
3.93
5.20
0.0%
2025Q1
90
102.6
5.34
1.30
0.35
3.69
5.03
0.0%
2024Q4
92
99.9
5.36
1.28
0.31
3.77
4.92
0.0%
2024Q3
92
103.8
5.06
1.11
0.31
3.64
4.57
0.0%
2024Q2
91
101.5
5.15
1.18
0.37
3.61
4.70
0.0%
2024Q1
91
103.9
5.03
1.18
0.31
3.53
4.60
0.0%
2023Q4
92
99.2
5.25
1.23
0.35
3.67
5.02
0.0%
2023Q3
92
93.1
5.51
1.29
0.38
3.84
5.17
0.0%
2023Q2
91
90.2
5.35
1.33
0.33
3.69
4.88
0.0%
2023Q1
90
89.5
4.98
1.23
0.31
3.44
4.69
0.1%
2022Q4
92
88.1
4.98
1.21
0.34
3.43
4.56
4.1%
2022Q3
92
83.1
4.90
1.17
0.34
3.39
4.48
2.1%
2022Q2
91
83.6
4.96
1.36
0.34
3.27
4.67
0.0%
2022Q1
90
77.0
5.11
1.42
0.32
3.38
4.74
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
12
B × 1D × 6E × 5
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-11-18
Health
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
E
2025-12-19
2025-11-18
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2025-12-19
2025-11-18
Health
F0605
Prevent the use of unnecessary psychotropic medications or use medications that may restrain a resident's ability to function.
D
2025-12-19
2025-11-18
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-12-19
2025-11-18
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-12-19
2025-11-18
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-12-19
2024-10-23
Health
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
E
2025-01-07
2024-10-23
Health
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
D
2025-01-07
2024-10-23
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-01-07
2024-10-23
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2025-01-07
2023-01-26
Health
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
D
2023-03-03
2023-01-26
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
B
2023-03-02
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
45
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ANDERSON, JACOB
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2016-12-15
current
pecos_ownership
ANDERSON, JACOB
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-24
current
pecos_ownership
ARMSTRONG, ANGELA
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2024-04-20
current
pecos_ownership
BRAWN, CHRISTINE
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2024-04-20
current
pecos_ownership
BROOKS, KEVIN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
BURR, HEATHER
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2021-02-18
current
pecos_ownership
COLLINS, SAMUEL
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2022-06-06
current
pecos_ownership
GAGNON, REBECCA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-07-18
current
pecos_ownership
GARDNER, CHRISTOPHER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-06-06
current
pecos_ownership
GENEST, EMIL
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2020-10-27
current
pecos_ownership
HEERSINK, DEIRDRE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-01-03
current
pecos_ownership
HEERSINK, DEIRDRE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-06
current
pecos_ownership
JACKSON, DIANE
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2022-07-09
current
pecos_ownership
KLAWITTER, BRAD
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-12-16
current
pecos_ownership
LAGACE, DONALD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-10-13
current
pecos_ownership
MAINE VETERANS' HOME
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2009-03-31
current
pecos_ownership
MEADER, MELANIE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-01-30
current
pecos_ownership
MILLER, BRIDGET
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-04-20
current
pecos_ownership
POOLER, MICHAEL
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2024-04-20
current
pecos_ownership
RICHMOND, DAVID
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2018-09-26
current
pecos_ownership
SANPEDRO, STEVEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SCHWETZ, JULIE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-10-13
current
pecos_ownership
WELCH, KATHERINE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2014-11-14
current
pecos_ownership
ANGELA ARMSTRONG
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2024-04-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRAD KLAWITTER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-12-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRIDGET MILLER
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2024-04-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHRISTINE BRAWN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-04-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHRISTOPHER GARDNER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-06-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID RICHMOND
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-09-26
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DEIRDRE HEERSINK
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DEIRDRE HEERSINK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-01-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DIANE JACKSON
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2022-07-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DONALD LAGACE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-10-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
EMIL GENEST
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-10-27
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HEATHER BURR
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-02-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JACOB ANDERSON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JACOB ANDERSON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2016-12-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JULIE SCHWETZ
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-10-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KATHERINE WELCH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2014-11-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KEVIN BROOKS
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MELANIE MEADER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-01-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHAEL POOLER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-04-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
REBECCA GAGNON
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-07-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SAMUEL COLLINS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-06-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STEVEN SANPEDRO
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2015-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2025-06-30
$294,229
—
—
—
—
0
—
2024-06-30
$276,900
—
—
—
—
0
—
2023-06-30
$248,584
—
—
—
—
0
—
2022-06-30
$131,551
—
—
—
—
0
—
2021-06-30
$155,478
—
—
—
—
0
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
30
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 23011
acs median gross
0
$861
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 23011
acs median gross
1
$778
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 23011
acs median gross
2
$1,102
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 23011
acs median gross
3
$1,258
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 23011
acs median gross
4
$1,307
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 23011
acs median gross
5
$834
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 23011
acs median gross
$992
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 23011
acs recent mover gross
$1,275
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 04330
acs median gross
0
$856
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 04330
acs median gross
1
$725
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 04330
acs median gross
2
$1,106
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 04330
acs median gross
3
$1,281
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 04330
acs median gross
4
$938
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 04330
acs median gross
$950
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 04330
acs recent mover gross
$1,291
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 04330
payment standard 110
0
$1,155
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 04330
payment standard 90
0
$945
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 04330
safmr
0
$1,050
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 04330
payment standard 110
1
$1,166
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 04330
payment standard 90
1
$954
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 04330
safmr
1
$1,060
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 04330
payment standard 110
2
$1,518
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 04330
payment standard 90
2
$1,242
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 04330
safmr
2
$1,380
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 04330
payment standard 110
3
$1,947
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 04330
payment standard 90
3
$1,593
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 04330
safmr
3
$1,770
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 04330
payment standard 110
4
$2,310
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 04330
payment standard 90
4
$1,890
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 04330
safmr
4
$2,100
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.