Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

10,201–10,250

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
10201	CITADEL AT SAINT BENEDICT	0.0%	27.7	C	IL	NILES	99	ISRAEL FAMILY INVESTMENT TRUST
10202	WHITING GARDENS REHABILITATION AND NURSING CENTER	0.0%	27.7	F	NJ	WHITING	200	—
10203	Village Creek Rehabilitation and Nursing Center	0.0%	27.7	F	TX	Lumberton	0	SWEENY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
10204	AMARILLO CENTER FOR SKILLED CARE	0.0%	27.7	D	TX	AMARILLO	0	WEST WHARTON COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
10205	LIFE CARE CENTER OF COLUMBIA	0.0%	27.7	B	TN	COLUMBIA	123	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
10206	E.A. HAWSE HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.0%	27.7	A	WV	BAKER	60	RRW LLC
10207	CENTER AT PARK WEST LLC, THE	0.0%	27.7	B	CO	PUEBLO	80	VERITAS MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC
10208	CENTERVILLE POST ACUTE	0.0%	27.7	C	OH	CENTERVILLE	129	PACS HOLDINGS LLC
10209	HOLBROOK HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.0%	27.7	A	WV	BUCKHANNON	120	RRW LLC
10210	LAURELS OF BLANCHESTER, THE	0.0%	27.7	C	OH	BLANCHESTER	50	MOHAMMAD A QAZI LIVING TRUST DATED 09 26 97
10211	SIGNATURE HEALTHCARE OF MEMPHIS	0.0%	27.7	B	TN	MEMPHIS	140	WHEATEN LLC
10212	Copper Ridge Health Care	0.0%	27.7	A	UT	West Jordan	120	BEAVER VALLEY HOSPITAL
10213	West Oaks Senior Care & Rehab Center	0.0%	27.7	A	MI	Detroit	102	NEXCARE HEALTH SYSTEMS LLC
10214	PEARL OF ROLLING MEADOWS,THE	0.0%	27.7	B	IL	ROLLING MEADOWS	155	REG 2018 IRREVOCABLE TRUST U A D 1 1 18
10215	GRAND THE	0.0%	27.7	C	OH	DUBLIN	128	OPTUM MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS INC
10216	BRIA OF BELLEVILLE	0.0%	27.7	C	IL	BELLEVILLE	140	—
10217	Prestonsburg Health Care Center	0.0%	27.7	B	KY	Prestonsburg	56	WHEATEN LLC
10218	GRANDE LAKE HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.0%	27.7	C	OH	ST MARYS	45	RRW LLC
10219	GOOD SAMARITAN SOCIETY MILLER POINTE A PROSPERA CO	0.0%	27.7	B	ND	MANDAN	120	SANFORD
10220	AVANTARA PARK RIDGE	0.0%	27.7	C	IL	PARK RIDGE	154	CHAIM RAJCHENBACH DESCENDANTS TR UA 04282008
10221	PRUITTHEALTH - FITZGERALD	0.0%	27.7	A	GA	FITZGERALD	78	UHS PRUITT HOLDINGS INC
10222	Magnolia Manor - Inman	0.0%	27.7	B	SC	Inman	176	HUNT VALLEY HOLDINGS LLC
10223	THE LAURELS OF CHARLOTTESVILLE	0.0%	27.7	B	VA	CHARLOTTESVILLE	120	MOHAMMAD A QAZI LIVING TRUST DATED 09 26 97
10224	EDEN HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.0%	27.7	B	CA	HAYWARD	121	SPYGLASS HEALTHCARE LLC
10225	Southpointe Healthcare and Rehabilitation	0.0%	27.7	B	SC	Greenville	120	HUNT VALLEY HOLDINGS LLC
10226	Paradigm at Westbury	0.0%	27.7	F	TX	Houston	0	OAKBEND MEDICAL CENTER
10227	DOWNS CARE AND REHAB	0.0%	27.7	B	KS	DOWNS	45	BARRES LLC
10228	LANGDON PLACE OF KEENE	0.0%	27.7	B	NH	KEENE	25	603 HEALTHCARE LLC
10229	STONEMERE REHABILITATION CENTER	0.0%	27.7	C	TX	FRISCO	0	HAMILTON COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
10230	PARKWAY HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.0%	27.7	D	TN	MEMPHIS	120	ANDWELL INVESTMENTS LLC
10231	LAKE POINTE HEALTH CARE	0.0%	27.7	A	OH	LORAIN	99	RRW LLC
10232	DELMAR GARDENS SOUTH	0.0%	27.7	A	MO	SAINT LOUIS	184	GOLDBERG NOM LLC
10233	MONTECITO HEIGHTS HEALTHCARE & WELLNESS CENTRE, LP	0.0%	27.7	C	CA	LOS ANGELES	90	ROCKPORT ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES LLC
10234	Sabine Retirement and Rehab Center	0.0%	27.7	B	LA	MANY	116	RIGHTCARE HEALTH SERVICES LLC
10235	ASHLAND PLACE HEALTH AND REHABILITATION, LLC	0.0%	27.7	A	AL	MOBILE	164	JAMES NORMAN ESTES JR TR
10236	WELLBROOKE OF KOKOMO	0.0%	27.7	D	IN	KOKOMO	70	TRILOGY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
10237	CEDAR RIDGE REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.0%	27.7	D	TX	PILOT POINT	0	NEXION HEALTH INC
10238	REGENCY CARE OF CENTRAL OREGON	0.0%	27.7	A	OR	BEND	46	REGENCY PACIFIC MANAGEMENT LLC
10239	Matagorda Nursing & Rehabilitation Center	0.0%	27.7	D	TX	Bay City	0	WEST WHARTON COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
10240	REGENTS PARK OF SUNRISE	0.0%	27.7	C	FL	SUNRISE	120	FL HC INSTITUTE OPCO LLC
10241	EMERALD POINTE HEALTH AND REHAB CTR	0.0%	27.7	C	OH	BARNESVILLE	64	FOUNDATIONS HEALTH LLC
10242	HUNTINGTON PARK NURSING CENTER	0.0%	27.7	B	CA	HUNTINGTON PARK	99	COVENANT CARE LLC
10243	AVIATA AT BIG BEND	0.0%	27.7	F	FL	PERRY	120	—
10244	HILLTOP AT BLUE RIVER, THE	0.0%	27.7	C	MO	KANSAS CITY	160	FIRST SWEETZER HOLDINGS LLC
10245	BAYSIDE HEALTH & REHABILITATION CENTER	0.0%	27.7	C	VA	VIRGINIA BEACH	60	CHARLES 1994 FAMILY GRANTOR TRUST
10246	Norwalk Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	0.0%	27.7	C	IA	Norwalk	45	CAMPBELL STREET SERVICES LLC
10247	CADIA REHABILITATION SILVERSIDE	0.0%	27.7	B	DE	WILMINGTON	116	LONG TERM CARE CORP
10248	GORHAM HOUSE	0.0%	27.7	B	ME	GORHAM	69	CONTINUUM HOME SERVICES INC
10249	LAKESIDE HEALTH & REHABILITATION	0.0%	27.7	B	VA	RICHMOND	194	SAESSY IRREVOCABLE TRUST
10250	ABBEY REHABILITATION AND NURSING CENTER	0.0%	27.7	F	FL	SAINT PETERSBURG	132	CONSULTING SUPPORT SERVICES LLC

Showing 10,201–10,250 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.