Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

10,501–10,550

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
10501	SIGNATURE HEALTHCARE OF CLEVELAND	0.0%	27.7	A	TN	CLEVELAND	100	WHEATEN LLC
10502	AUTUMN LAKE HEALTHCARE AT HOMEWOOD	0.0%	27.7	B	MD	BALTIMORE	112	HATZLACHA RABBAH LLC
10503	MS CARE CENTER OF MORTON	0.0%	27.7	A	MS	MORTON	120	—
10504	LIFE CARE CENTER OF ELIZABETHTON	0.0%	27.7	C	TN	ELIZABETHTON	158	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
10505	VILLASPRING OF ERLANGER	0.0%	27.7	B	KY	ERLANGER	140	CARESPRING HEALTH CARE HOLDINGS LP
10506	WILLOWS AT BELLEVUE	0.0%	27.7	B	OH	BELLEVUE	60	TRILOGY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
10507	OAK HILL CENTER FOR REHABILITATION AND NURSING	0.0%	27.7	D	PA	MIDDLETOWN	136	—
10508	CAPRI GARDENS	0.0%	27.7	B	OH	LEWIS CENTER	82	FOUNDATIONS HEALTH LLC
10509	Rolling Hills Care Center	0.0%	27.7	A	CA	SELMA	34	AJC HEALTHCARE LLC
10510	GALLATIN CENTER FOR REHABILITATION AND HEALING	0.0%	27.7	B	TN	GALLATIN	207	MD FRIEDMAN FAMILY 2017 TRUST
10511	WOODED GLEN	0.0%	27.7	C	OH	SPRINGFIELD	54	TRILOGY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
10512	HERITAGE PLAZA NURSING CENTER	0.0%	27.7	F	TX	TEXARKANA	0	FANNIN COUNTY HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
10513	MOULTRIE CREEK NURSING AND REHAB CENTER	0.0%	27.7	A	FL	SAINT AUGUSTINE	120	SOUTHERN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT LLC
10514	HARRISON'S CROSSING HEALTH CAMPUS	0.0%	27.7	C	IN	TERRE HAUTE	72	TRILOGY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
10515	NEW DAWN REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.0%	27.7	C	OH	DOVER	98	SAM INVESTMENTS LLC
10516	FULTON GARDENS POST ACUTE, LLC	0.0%	27.7	B	CA	STOCKTON	116	ABBY GL LLC
10517	MERRY WOOD LODGE	0.0%	27.7	C	AL	ELMORE	124	HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
10518	Special Tree Neurocare Center	0.0%	27.7	A	MI	Romulus	4	—
10519	GREEN HOUSE HOMES AT MIRASOL, THE	0.0%	27.7	B	CO	LOVELAND	90	QP HEALTH CARE SERVICES LLC
10520	BAYSHORE POINTE NURSING AND REHAB CENTER	0.0%	27.7	B	FL	TAMPA	117	SOUTHERN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT LLC
10521	MOUNDVILLE HEALTH AND REHABILITATION, LLC	0.0%	27.7	A	AL	MOUNDVILLE	68	JAMES NORMAN ESTES JR TR
10522	VANCREST OF UPPER SANDUSKY	0.0%	27.7	C	OH	UPPER SANDUSKY	99	—
10523	MISSOULA HEALTH & REHABILITATION CENTER	0.0%	27.7	B	MT	MISSOULA	53	COUVE FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC
10524	BRICKYARD HEALTHCARE -SYCAMORE VILLAGE CARE CENTER	0.0%	27.7	B	IN	KOKOMO	110	HENDRICKS COUNTY HOSPITAL
10525	GOOD SAMARITAN SOCIETY - BOTTINEAU	0.0%	27.7	A	ND	BOTTINEAU	52	SANFORD
10526	Buffalo Center For Rehabilitation And Nursing	0.0%	27.7	A	NY	BUFFALO	200	—
10527	HARRISON TRAIL HEALTH CAMPUS	0.0%	27.7	C	OH	HARRISON	54	TRILOGY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
10528	PRUITTHEALTH - LANIER	0.0%	27.7	B	GA	BUFORD	117	UHS PRUITT HOLDINGS INC
10529	Heritage Healthcare of Euclid	0.0%	27.7	B	OH	EUCLID	75	EMBASSY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
10530	MANILA HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.0%	27.7	B	AR	MANILA	84	BWDV HOLDINGS LLC
10531	BAYSIDE CARE CENTER	0.0%	27.7	B	FL	SAINT PETERSBURG	92	FL SNF TRUST I
10532	LIBERTY STATION HEALTH CAMPUS	0.0%	27.7	A	OH	LIBERTY TWP	54	TRILOGY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
10533	CYPRESS COVE CARE CENTER	0.0%	27.7	B	AL	MUSCLE SHOALS	90	HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
10534	LIFE CARE CENTER OF GRANDVIEW	0.0%	27.7	D	MO	GRANDVIEW	172	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
10535	DISCOVERY VILLAGE AT SOUTHLAKE	0.0%	27.7	C	TX	SOUTHLAKE	0	WELLTOWER INC
10536	BLUEBONNET POINT WELLNESS	0.0%	27.7	C	TX	BULLARD	0	FANNIN COUNTY HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
10537	Lynwood Nursing and Rehabilitation	0.0%	27.7	C	TX	Levelland	0	SLP OPERATIONS LLC
10538	PALMS CARE CENTER	0.0%	27.7	A	CA	CHOWCHILLA	65	AJC HEALTHCARE LLC
10539	GULF POINTE PLAZA	0.0%	27.7	B	TX	ROCKPORT	0	WINNIE STOWELL HOSPITAL DISTRICT
10540	OAKS AT BETHESDA THE	0.0%	27.7	C	OH	ZANESVILLE	55	TRILOGY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
10541	CROSSVILLE HEALTH AND REHABILITATION, LLC	0.0%	27.7	A	AL	CROSSVILLE	143	JAMES NORMAN ESTES JR TR
10542	Bywood East Health Care	0.0%	27.7	D	MN	MINNEAPOLIS	96	—
10543	Medilodge of Sterling Heights	0.0%	27.7	B	MI	Sterling Heights	248	B&Y TRUST
10544	CANTERBURY VILLA OF ALLIANCE	0.0%	27.7	A	OH	ALLIANCE	82	FOUNDATIONS HEALTH LLC
10545	BEACHSIDE POST ACUTE	0.0%	27.7	A	CA	TORRANCE	110	—
10546	LAURELHURST POST ACUTE & REHABILITATION	0.0%	27.7	B	OR	PORTLAND	159	SAESSY IRREVOCABLE TRUST
10547	Ahoskie Health and Rehabilitation Center	0.0%	27.7	D	NC	Ahoskie	151	AUGUSTNC HOLDCO LLC
10548	Accura Healthcare of Le Mars	0.0%	27.7	A	IA	Le Mars	46	AMERICAN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
10549	NHC HEALTHCARE, ANNISTON	0.0%	27.7	B	AL	ANNISTON	151	NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORPORATION
10550	ADVINIA CARE AT VENICE	0.0%	27.7	B	FL	VENICE	45	YOSEF MEYSTEL DECLARATION OF TR OF YOSEF MEYSTEL TTEE

Showing 10,501–10,550 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.