Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

7,151–7,200

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
7151	Lake City Scranton Healthcare Center	0.1%	52.1	A	SC	Scranton	88	PALMETTO HEALTH CARE LLC
7152	EDGEWOOD CENTRE (THE)	0.1%	52.1	B	NH	PORTSMOUTH	156	SJ HEALTHCARE CAPITAL LLC
7153	White Oak Manor - Newberry	0.1%	52.1	A	SC	Newberry	140	WHITE OAK MANAGEMENT INC
7154	LUTHERAN CENTER AT POUGHKEEPSIE INC	0.1%	52.1	B	NY	POUGHKEEPSIE	160	—
7155	RIVIERA HEALTH RESORT	0.1%	52.1	A	FL	CORAL GABLES	223	—
7156	GREENVILLE NURSING & REHAB	0.1%	52.1	B	IL	GREENVILLE	90	WLC MANAGEMENT FIRM LLC
7157	EDENBROOK OF GREENWOOD HILL	0.1%	52.1	C	PA	POTTSVILLE	160	—
7158	HOMESTEAD MANOR A PALACE COMMUNITY	0.1%	52.1	A	FL	HOMESTEAD	88	PROFESSIONAL CARE I INC
7159	DEVON GABLES REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	52.1	B	AZ	TUCSON	312	ATIED ASSOCIATES LLC
7160	GRANADA POST ACUTE	0.1%	52.1	B	CA	LYNWOOD	98	—
7161	East Carolina Health and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	52.1	F	NC	Greenville	130	—
7162	Bridgeview Estates	0.1%	52.1	B	ID	Twin Falls	116	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
7163	WHITTIER BRADFORD TRANSITIONAL CARE UNIT	0.1%	52.1	C	MA	BRADFORD	20	WHITTIER HEALTHCARE TRUST
7164	Hillsdale County Medical Care Facility	0.1%	52.1	A	MI	Hillsdale	170	—
7165	WESTPARK HEALTHCARE CAMPUS	0.1%	52.1	A	OH	CLEVELAND	99	BHP MANAGEMENT CORPORATION
7166	LARKSPUR	0.1%	52.1	D	TX	LUFKIN	0	TYLER COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
7167	WOODWAY REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	52.1	F	TX	WACO	0	CORYELL COUNTY MEMORIAL HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
7168	CHAMBERS HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.1%	52.1	C	AR	CARLISLE	90	RHC OPERATIONS INC
7169	Carver Living Center	0.1%	52.1	C	NC	Durham	232	CCH HEALTHCARE LLC
7170	HOOVERWOOD	0.1%	52.1	A	IN	INDIANAPOLIS	155	HANCOCK REGIONAL HOSPITAL
7171	Franklin Restorative Care Center	0.1%	52.1	A	MN	FRANKLIN	40	—
7172	Trinity Hill Care Center	0.1%	52.1	B	CT	HARTFORD	134	GLOBAL WORLD INVESTORS
7173	VILLA MARINA HEALTH AND REHAB CTR	0.1%	52.1	B	WI	SUPERIOR	72	—
7174	King Health and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	52.1	B	NC	King	96	CHOICE HEALTH MANAGEMENT SERV LLC
7175	WOODLAWN HEALTHCARE CENTER LLC	0.1%	52.1	A	NH	NEWPORT	53	—
7176	Mt Ogden Health and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	52.1	C	UT	Washington Terrace	108	BEAVER VALLEY HOSPITAL
7177	THE BLOSSOMS AT CUMBERLAND REHAB & NURSING CENTER	0.1%	52.1	C	AR	LITTLE ROCK	120	ZCS AR OPCO LLC
7178	KINDRED HOSPITAL SOUTH FLORIDA HOLLYWOOD	0.1%	52.1	A	FL	HOLLYWOOD	30	KNIGHT HEALTH LLC
7179	Trotwood Health & Rehab LLC	0.1%	52.1	F	OH	DAYTON	67	HILLSTONE HEALTHCARE INC
7180	Crest Manor Living and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	52.1	C	NY	Fairport	80	AJB LLC
7181	KENSINGTON AT ANNA MARIA	0.1%	52.1	A	OH	AURORA	99	NORTON BROS HOLDING COMPANY
7182	LAKERIDGE VILLA HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	52.1	A	OH	CINCINNATI	99	CARECORE HEALTH LLC
7183	THE OAKS CARE CENTER	0.1%	52.1	A	LA	PINEVILLE	136	QSST TRUST FOR MARSHALL TODD QUIRK
7184	MEDICALODGES ARKANSAS CITY	0.1%	52.1	C	KS	ARKANSAS CITY	45	MEDICALODGES INC
7185	PINNACLE MULTICARE NURSING AND REHAB CENTER	0.1%	52.1	B	NY	BRONX	480	—
7186	Advanced Health Care of St. George	0.1%	52.1	C	UT	St George	100	THE GAIL MILLER GST TRUST
7187	ELWOOD HEALTH AND LIVING	0.1%	52.1	C	IN	ELWOOD	85	PUTNAM COUNTY HOSPITAL
7188	LINCOLN CRAWFORD CARE CENTER	0.1%	52.1	A	OH	CINCINNATI	96	—
7189	WESTVIEW NURSING HOME	0.1%	52.1	F	MO	CENTER	60	RELIANT CARE MANAGEMENT COMPANY LLC
7190	DOLPHIN POINTE HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	52.1	B	FL	JACKSONVILLE	146	—
7191	VANCREST OF URBANA, INC	0.1%	52.1	A	OH	URBANA	75	VANCREST MANAGEMENT CORP
7192	CAREONE AT MIDDLETOWN	0.1%	52.1	D	NJ	ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS	127	HEALTHBRIDGE MANAGEMENT LLC
7193	MEMORY LANE OF DEXTER	0.1%	52.1	C	MO	DEXTER	73	PARADIGM REHAB SERVICES LLC
7194	HOPE SPRINGS CARE CENTER	0.1%	52.1	F	CO	MONTROSE	74	MAD FAMILY HOLDINGS LLC
7195	MORADA TEMPLE	0.1%	52.1	C	TX	TEMPLE	0	QUALITY CARE REHAB INC
7196	Cornerstone Post Acute Care Of Bossier	0.1%	52.1	B	LA	BOSSIER CITY	7	—
7197	MAJESTIC CARE OF NEWBURGH	0.1%	52.1	C	IN	NEWBURGH	104	JACKSON COUNTY SCHNECK MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
7198	Focused Care at Cedar Bayou	0.1%	52.1	C	TX	Baytown	125	FOCUSED POST ACUTE CARE PARTNERS LLC
7199	AMARILLO MEDICAL LODGE	0.1%	52.1	A	TX	AMARILLO	0	BOOKER HOSPITAL DISTRICT
7200	Heartland Villa Nursing And Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	52.1	B	KY	Lewisport	45	ENCORE INVESTORS LLC

Showing 7,151–7,200 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.