Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

8,351–8,400

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
8351	DICKSON HEALTH AND REHAB	0.1%	44.6	B	TN	DICKSON	70	BARRES LLC
8352	Audubon Health and Rehab	0.1%	44.6	A	LA	THIBODAUX	172	PROVIDER PROFESSIONAL SERVICES INC
8353	WESTCHESTER HOUSE, THE	0.1%	44.6	D	MO	CHESTERFIELD	159	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
8354	REGENCY CARE OF SILVER SPRING, LLC	0.1%	44.6	C	MD	SILVER SPRING	92	WW HEALTHCARE CONSULTANTS LLC
8355	LAKE FOREST SENIOR LIVING AT HOT SPRINGS VILLAGE	0.1%	44.6	C	AR	HOT SPRINGS VILLAGE	50	CONTINUUM HEALTHCARE I INC
8356	Degraff Memorial Hospital-Skilled Nursing Facility	0.1%	44.6	A	NY	NORTH TONAWANDA	80	KALEIDA HEALTH
8357	ALIYA OF PALATINE	0.1%	44.6	B	IL	PALATINE	69	ALIYA OPERATIONS HOLDINGS LLC
8358	THE MONARCH AT BROOKLYN REHAB AND NURSING CENTER	0.1%	44.6	C	NY	BROOKLYN	200	—
8359	Tierra Pines Center	0.1%	44.6	A	FL	LARGO	120	LCE PARTNERS LLC
8360	CORAL REEF SUBACUTE CARE CENTER LLC	0.1%	44.6	B	FL	MIAMI	180	MD FRIEDMAN FAMILY 2017 TRUST
8361	Corbin Health and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	44.6	A	KY	Corbin	100	SEKY HOLDING CO
8362	PILGRIM REHABILITATION & SKILLED NURSING CENTER	0.1%	44.6	A	MA	PEABODY	152	INTEGRITUS HEALTHCARE INC
8363	Rich Square Nursing & Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	44.6	C	NC	Rich Square	69	LBS CAPITAL HOLDINGS LLC
8364	PARK FOREST CARE CENTER LLC	0.1%	44.6	D	CO	WESTMINSTER	103	—
8365	ALTA VISTA HEALTHCARE & WELLNESS CENTRE	0.1%	44.6	D	CA	RIVERSIDE	99	—
8366	North Hills Life Care and Rehab	0.1%	44.6	B	AR	FAYETTEVILLE	92	RHC OPERATIONS INC
8367	The Highlands at Owasso	0.1%	44.6	A	OK	Owasso	105	—
8368	APPLE RIDGE CARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	A	MO	WAVERLY	60	SOVEREIGN HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
8369	COPPER KNOLL HEALTH & REHAB LLC	0.1%	44.6	B	OH	WASHINGTN C H	75	TENDER LOVING CARE MANAGEMENT INC
8370	PARK VISTA NURSING AND REHAB	0.1%	44.6	D	OH	YOUNGSTOWN	114	—
8371	SHORE ACRES CARE CENTER AND REHAB	0.1%	44.6	A	FL	SAINT PETERSBURG	109	FL MASTER OPCO HOLDCO LLC
8372	Creston Specialty Care	0.1%	44.6	C	IA	Creston	74	CARE INITIATIVES
8373	Plymouth Health Services	0.1%	44.6	B	WI	Plymouth	50	NORTH SHORE HEALTHCARE LLC
8374	Adams Lane Healthcare and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	44.6	F	OH	ZANESVILLE	114	OHIO CARE SKLD LLC
8375	GREYSTONE HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	C	TN	BLOUNTVILLE	160	B&Y TRUST
8376	HARBOURWOOD POST-ACUTE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	44.6	C	FL	CLEARWATER	120	TAMPA 5 FL HOLDCO LLC
8377	MEDICALODGES INDEPENDENCE	0.1%	44.6	A	KS	INDEPENDENCE	45	MEDICALODGES INC
8378	CHATSWORTH AT PGA NATIONAL	0.1%	44.6	A	FL	PALM BEACH GARDENS	62	OAK INVESTMENT TRUST II
8379	HESSMER NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	44.6	A	LA	HESSMER	92	RIGHTCARE HEALTH SERVICES LLC
8380	Colville Health and Rehabilitation of Cascadia	0.1%	44.6	D	WA	COLVILLE	92	CASCADIA HEALTHCARE LLC
8381	LOFT REHAB OF PEORIA, THE	0.1%	44.6	F	IL	PEORIA	120	LOFT PEORIA HOLDINGS LLC
8382	OTTERBEIN NEW ALBANY	0.1%	44.6	B	OH	NEW ALBANY	60	OTTERBEIN HOME
8383	Heritage Healthcare of Hammond	0.1%	44.6	B	LA	HAMMOND	108	QSST TRUST FOR MARSHALL TODD QUIRK
8384	COLONIAL OAKS HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	B	IN	MARION	127	RIVERVIEW HOSPITAL
8385	THREE RIVERS CARE	0.1%	44.6	A	WA	CENTRALIA	83	KH7 HH CDW
8386	LAFAYETTE REHABILITATION & SKILLED NURSING	0.1%	44.6	A	MA	MARBLEHEAD	65	LME FAMILY HOLDINGS LLC
8387	LINCOLN SQUARE POST ACUTE CARE	0.1%	44.6	B	CA	STOCKTON	68	NAHS HOLDING INC
8388	Pathstone Living	0.1%	44.6	A	MN	MANKATO	69	—
8389	SOUTH HEALTH AND REHABILITATION, LLC	0.1%	44.6	A	AL	BIRMINGHAM	83	JAMES NORMAN ESTES JR TR
8390	BRICKYARD HEALTHCARE - WOODLANDS CARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	A	IN	NEWBURGH	120	HENDRICKS COUNTY HOSPITAL
8391	PEARL OF ELGIN, THE	0.1%	44.6	C	IL	ELGIN	139	REG 2018 IRREVOCABLE TRUST U A D 1 1 18
8392	COLBY OPERATOR, LLC	0.1%	44.6	C	KS	COLBY	40	BARRES LLC
8393	NIXA NURSING & REHAB	0.1%	44.6	C	MO	NIXA	82	LTC MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
8394	MERRIAM GARDENS HEALTHCARE & REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	44.6	C	KS	MERRIAM	120	MAD FAMILY HOLDINGS LLC
8395	AVALON VIEW HEALTH AND WELLNESS	0.1%	44.6	F	MO	LIBERTY	140	VHS MO OPCO HOLDINGS LLC
8396	ORCHARD PARK HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	A	CO	LITTLETON	133	CLEAR CHOICE HEALTH CARE LLC
8397	HERITAGE HALL WISE	0.1%	44.6	A	VA	WISE	97	AMERICAN HEALTHCARE LLC
8398	OZARK NURSING AND REHAB	0.1%	44.6	A	AR	OZARK	135	JEJ ASSETS LP
8399	CARMEL HILLS WELLNESS & REHABILITATION	0.1%	44.6	D	MO	INDEPENDENCE	194	FIRST SWEETZER HOLDINGS LLC
8400	VISTA MANOR HEALTHCARE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	44.6	D	FL	TITUSVILLE	120	FDZ CONSULTING LLC

Showing 8,351–8,400 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.