Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

8,551–8,600

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
8551	HANCEVILLE NURSING & REHAB CENTER, INC	0.1%	41.8	A	AL	HANCEVILLE	208	—
8552	PALM GARDEN OF PINELLAS	0.1%	41.8	B	FL	LARGO	120	PALM GARDEN HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS LLC
8553	SWAN LAKE NURSING & REHABILITATION	0.1%	41.8	C	NY	PATCHOGUE	120	—
8554	ALLURE OF KNOX COUNTY	0.1%	41.8	C	IL	GALESBURG	84	MN1 MANAGEMENT CORP
8555	INDIANSPRING OF OAKLEY	0.1%	41.8	D	OH	CINCINNATI	144	CARESPRING HEALTH CARE HOLDINGS LP
8556	SAVANNAH POST ACUTE LLC	0.1%	41.8	C	GA	SAVANNAH	120	KMOM LLC
8557	Autumn View Health Care Facility L L C	0.1%	41.8	B	NY	HAMBURG	230	VESTRA SPV1 LLC
8558	BURLINGTON CONVALESCENT HOSPITAL	0.1%	41.8	C	CA	LOS ANGELES	124	THE AARON FRIEDMAN GROUP A BUSINESS ASSETS TRUST
8559	HAMPTON OAKS HEALTH CAMPUS	0.1%	41.8	B	IN	SCOTTSBURG	71	DAVIESS COUNTY HOSPITAL
8560	Pheasant Ridge Nursing and Rehabilitation	0.1%	41.8	B	VA	ROANOKE	101	SNF MGR LLC
8561	TREND HEALTH AND REHAB OF BROOKHAVEN	0.1%	41.8	A	MS	BROOKHAVEN	60	—
8562	Life Care Center of Paradise Valley	0.1%	41.8	D	AZ	PHOENIX	210	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
8563	PEARL OF JOLIET, THE	0.1%	41.8	F	IL	JOLIET	214	REG 2018 IRREVOCABLE TRUST U A D 1 1 18
8564	TUCKER HOUSE NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	41.8	D	PA	PHILADELPHIA	180	—
8565	TAMPA LAKES HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	41.8	B	FL	LUTZ	179	SEAM NY 2020 TRUST
8566	KINGWOOD SKILLED NURSING AND THERAPY	0.1%	41.8	F	OK	OKLAHOMA CITY	105	BRIDGES ESOP INC
8567	Surry Community Health Center by Harborview	0.1%	41.8	D	NC	Mount Airy	120	CL 2022 IRRV TR
8568	Thibodaux Healthcare and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	41.8	C	LA	THIBODAUX	78	NEXION HEALTH INC
8569	PATASKALA OAKS CARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	C	OH	PATASKALA	86	NURSING CARE MANAGEMENT OF AMERICA
8570	Mountain Ridge Center, Genesis HealthCare	0.1%	41.8	B	NH	FRANKLIN	86	HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
8571	Creekside at the Springs	0.1%	41.8	B	AR	Yellville	96	BLACK RIVER HEALTHCARE LLC
8572	The Blossoms at the Village Rehab & Nursing Center	0.1%	41.8	C	AR	HOT SPRINGS	120	ZCS AR OPCO LLC
8573	Complete Care at the Boulevard	0.1%	41.8	F	IL	CHICAGO	156	NJ CHICAGO OPCO HOLDCO LLC
8574	NOBLE HORIZONS	0.1%	41.8	F	CT	SALISBURY	91	—
8575	PINE HAVEN REHABILITATION AND WELLNESS CENTER	0.1%	41.8	A	AL	EIGHT MILE	172	NORBERT A BENNETT IRRV TR FBO CHILDREN
8576	BEACH GARDENS REHAB AND NURSING CENTER	0.1%	41.8	A	NY	FAR ROCKAWAY	163	—
8577	ALLURE OF MENDOTA	0.1%	41.8	C	IL	MENDOTA	85	MN1 MANAGEMENT CORP
8578	HEARTLAND NURSING & REHAB CENTER	0.1%	41.8	B	FL	BOYNTON BEACH	120	PALM BEACH HEALTH PARTNERS LLC
8579	Paradise Creek Health and Rehab of Cascadia	0.1%	41.8	F	ID	Moscow	63	CASCADIA HEALTHCARE LLC
8580	Carlyle House	0.1%	41.8	A	MA	FRAMINGHAM	55	—
8581	Lakeside Health and Rehab	0.1%	41.8	B	AR	Lake City	85	BWDV HOLDINGS LLC
8582	BAYA POINTE NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	41.8	B	FL	LAKE CITY	90	ASTON HEALTHCARE LLC
8583	CEDARWOOD POST ACUTE	0.1%	41.8	A	CA	SACRAMENTO	51	SPYGLASS HEALTHCARE LLC
8584	LIFE CARE CENTER OF MORRISTOWN	0.1%	41.8	B	TN	MORRISTOWN	161	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
8585	PILOT BUTTE REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	41.8	C	OR	BEND	74	REGENCY PACIFIC MANAGEMENT LLC
8586	ASHLAND HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.1%	41.8	A	MS	ASHLAND	60	ORAND LP
8587	THE WATERS OF SMYRNA, LLC	0.1%	41.8	B	TN	SMYRNA	91	GUBIN ENTERPRISES LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
8588	SIGNATURE HEALTHCARE OF ELIZABETHON REHAB & WELLNE	0.1%	41.8	B	TN	ELIZABETHTON	94	WHEATEN LLC
8589	HERITAGE CENTER, THE	0.1%	41.8	C	TN	MORRISTOWN	197	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
8590	Winnie L Nursing & Rehabilitation	0.1%	41.8	C	TX	Cameron	0	WINNIE STOWELL HOSPITAL DISTRICT
8591	HERITAGE RIDGE SENIOR LIVING AT WINDY HILL	0.1%	41.8	D	PA	PHILIPSBURG	90	CONTINUUM HEALTHCARE I INC
8592	MAJESTIC CARE OF SOUTHPORT	0.1%	41.8	C	IN	INDIANAPOLIS	122	PULASKI MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
8593	VINEYARD COURT NURSING CENTER	0.1%	41.8	B	MS	COLUMBUS	55	BRIAR HILL MANAGEMENT LLC
8594	University Place Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	41.8	B	NC	Charlotte	207	PRINCIPLE LONG TERM CARE INC
8595	Monroe Springs Skilled Nursing and Rehab	0.1%	41.8	A	MI	Monroe	89	SPRINGS BAY OP HOLDCO LLC
8596	Pinnacle Care of Battle Creek	0.1%	41.8	D	MI	Battle Creek	82	ZENITH CARE LLC
8597	Hillcrest Millard LLC	0.1%	41.8	B	NE	Omaha	76	HILLCREST HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
8598	STERLING CARE ROCKVILLE NURSING	0.1%	41.8	B	MD	ROCKVILLE	100	—
8599	ALLAIRE REHAB & NURSING	0.1%	41.8	A	NJ	FREEHOLD	174	—
8600	VISTA REAL POST ACUTE	0.1%	41.8	A	CA	BEAUMONT	57	CHARIS TR DTD 12 22 2016

Showing 8,551–8,600 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.