Ownership-change pipeline

CHOW Radar

p(change of ownership, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

16,900

active SNFs, scored

Model

p_chow_12m v0.1

deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

49.6%

of actual next-12m sales on holdout

Base rate

2.4%

observed 12m CHOW rate, training panels

Ranked by sale probability

651–700

#	Facility	p(CHOW 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
651	Ignite Medical Resort El Paso, LLC	8.1%	96.1	F	TX	El Paso	60	ISRAEL FAMILY INVESTMENT TRUST
652	ARBORS AT STREETSBORO	8.1%	96.1	B	OH	STREETSBORO	88	B&Y TRUST
653	GROVE NURSING CENTER	8.1%	96.1	B	OK	GROVE	133	PHOENIX HEALTHCARE LLC
654	Avir at Camp Wood	8.1%	96.1	B	TX	Camp Wood	0	UVALDE COUNTY HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
655	CENTERVILLE POST ACUTE	8.1%	96.1	C	OH	CENTERVILLE	129	PACS HOLDINGS LLC
656	DEVLIN MANOR NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	8.1%	96.1	C	MD	CUMBERLAND	124	HUNT VALLEY HOLDINGS LLC
657	CIVITA SHERIDEN WOODS	8.1%	96.1	F	CT	BRISTOL	146	ATHENA HEALTH CARE ASSOCIATES INC
658	Desoto Retirement & Rehab Ctr, LLC	8.1%	96.1	A	LA	MANSFIELD	135	RIGHTCARE HEALTH SERVICES LLC
659	LIFE CARE CENTER OF BROOKFIELD	8.1%	96.1	C	MO	BROOKFIELD	120	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
660	WINCHESTER TERRACE	8.1%	96.1	C	OH	MANSFIELD	83	LEVERING MANAGEMENT INC
661	MESA VERDE POST ACUTE CARE CENTER	8.1%	96.1	F	CA	COSTA MESA	80	ROCKPORT ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES LLC
662	Falls City Care Center	8.1%	96.1	C	NE	Falls City	101	LANTIS ENTERPRISES INC
663	Claremore Skilled Nursing and Therapy	8.1%	96.1	C	OK	Claremore	118	BRIDGES ESOP INC
664	KEENE CENTER, GENESIS HEALTHCARE	8.1%	96.1	B	NH	KEENE	106	HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
665	Notting Hill of West Bloomfield	8.1%	96.1	D	MI	West Bloomfield	118	MOHAMMAD A QAZI LIVING TRUST DATED 09 26 97
666	Belen Meadows Healthcare and Rehabilitation Center	8.1%	96.1	B	NM	Belen	120	HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
667	ORCHARD VIEW POST-ACUTE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	8.1%	96.1	F	TN	KINGSPORT	180	—
668	SIGNATURE HEALTHCARE OF ROGERSVILLE	8.1%	96.0	D	TN	ROGERSVILLE	150	WHEATEN LLC
669	Gladwin Nursing and Rehabilitation Community	8.1%	96.0	B	MI	Gladwin	60	ATRIUM CENTERS MANAGEMENT LLC
670	SOUTHERN OAKS CARE CENTER	8.1%	96.0	C	OK	PAWNEE	82	PHOENIX HEALTHCARE LLC
671	Resolve at West Allis Respiratory and Rehab	8.1%	96.0	B	WI	WEST ALLIS	152	MEDICAL REHABILITATION CENTERS LLC
672	LOYALHANNA CARE CENTER	8.1%	96.0	B	PA	LATROBE	143	—
673	EUREKA NURSING CENTER	8.1%	96.0	B	KS	EUREKA	65	AMERICARE SYSTEMS INC
674	SPRING VALLEY HEALTH & REHABILITATION CENTER	8.0%	96.0	D	MO	SPRINGFIELD	194	10 26 NATIONWIDE TR
675	EVERGREEN NURSING & REHAB CENTER	8.0%	96.0	F	IL	EFFINGHAM	120	—
676	COMPLETE CARE AT KIMBERLY HALL-SOUTH	8.0%	96.0	C	CT	WINDSOR	180	SMS 2021 TRUST
677	The Lodge At Brookline	8.0%	96.0	F	OK	Oklahoma City	132	—
678	PIONEER SKILLED NURSING CENTER	8.0%	96.0	B	MO	MARCELINE	96	AMERICARE SYSTEMS INC
679	LAKESIDE REHABILITATION AND CARE CENTER	8.0%	96.0	C	TX	LUBBOCK	0	STRATFORD HOSPITAL DISTRICT
680	MIDDLETOWN NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	8.0%	96.0	B	IN	MIDDLETOWN	45	—
681	WOODLANDS HEALTH AND REHAB CENTER	8.0%	96.0	C	OH	RAVENNA	95	BNV DYNASTY LLC
682	Signature Healthcare of Roanoke Rapids	8.0%	96.0	D	NC	Roanoke Rapids	108	WHEATEN LLC
683	Accura HealthCare of Kenesaw	8.0%	96.0	D	NE	Kenesaw	76	ARBORETA HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTERS LLC
684	LAKEVIEW POST ACUTE	8.0%	96.0	F	MO	FLORISSANT	120	PACS HOLDINGS LLC
685	Fayette Health and Rehabilitation Center	8.0%	96.0	C	MD	BALTIMORE	156	RRW LLC
686	O'NEILL HEALTHCARE BAY VILLAGE	8.0%	95.9	D	OH	BAY VILLAGE	138	O NEILL MANAGEMENT LLC
687	AMBERWOOD MANOR	8.0%	95.9	B	OH	NEW PHILADELPHIA	48	BNV DYNASTY LLC
688	LIFE CARE CENTER OF OOLTEWAH	8.0%	95.9	C	TN	OOLTEWAH	120	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
689	AVAMERE CRESTVIEW OF PORTLAND	8.0%	95.9	B	OR	PORTLAND	127	AVAMERE GROUP LLC
690	DELMAR GARDENS ON THE GREEN	8.0%	95.9	C	MO	CHESTERFIELD	138	GOLDBERG NOM LLC
691	GARDENS AT MILLVILLE, THE	8.0%	95.9	B	PA	MILLVILLE	110	PHILIPSON FAMILY LIMITED LIABILITY COMPANY LLC
692	FOCUSED CARE AT LAMESA	8.0%	95.9	C	TX	LAMESA	0	STRATFORD HOSPITAL DISTRICT
693	GALLATIN MANOR	7.9%	95.9	B	IL	RIDGWAY	71	E NEWHOUSE FAMILY TRUST
694	CENTER AT ARROWHEAD, LLC	7.9%	95.9	A	AZ	GLENDALE	96	VERITAS MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC
695	WALDRON REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	7.9%	95.9	C	IN	WALDRON	71	MAJOR HOSPITAL
696	NHC HEALTHCARE, LEWISBURG	7.9%	95.9	D	TN	LEWISBURG	100	NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORPORATION
697	AVAMERE OLYMPIC REHABILITATION OF SEQUIM	7.9%	95.9	C	WA	SEQUIM	90	AVAMERE GROUP LLC
698	OAK VILLAGE	7.9%	95.9	C	IN	OAKTOWN	50	ADAMS COUNTY MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
699	HEARTLAND CARE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	7.9%	95.9	B	MO	CAPE GIRARDEAU	102	SOVEREIGN HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
700	CareOne At Teaneck	7.9%	95.9	C	NJ	TEANECK	128	HEALTHBRIDGE MANAGEMENT LLC

Showing 651–700 of 16,900 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.