Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

7,701–7,750

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
7701	COUNTRYSIDE MANOR HEALTH & LIVING COMMUNITY	0.1%	49.0	C	IN	ANDERSON	109	RIVERVIEW HOSPITAL
7702	North Shore Healthcare at Marshfield	0.1%	49.0	B	WI	Marshfield	120	NORTH SHORE HEALTHCARE LLC
7703	THE PAVILION AT QUEENS FOR REHABILITATION & NRSING	0.1%	49.0	B	NY	FLUSHING	302	—
7704	COOK WILLOW HEALTH & REHABILITATION CENTER, INC.	0.1%	49.0	A	CT	PLYMOUTH	60	—
7705	Pavilion at Glacier Valley	0.1%	49.0	C	WI	Slinger	106	HUNT VALLEY HOLDINGS LLC
7706	Aria Nursing and Rehabilitation	0.1%	49.0	C	MI	Lansing	110	CIENA HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT INC
7707	CIVITA CARE CENTER AT WEST RIVER	0.1%	49.0	A	CT	MILFORD	120	ESNH LLC
7708	STONEBRIDGE HEALTH CAMPUS	0.1%	49.0	B	IN	BEDFORD	68	JACKSON COUNTY SCHNECK MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
7709	HERITAGE HALL - BROOKNEAL	0.1%	49.0	A	VA	BROOKNEAL	60	AMERICAN HEALTHCARE LLC
7710	BETHESDA CARE CENTER	0.1%	49.0	C	OH	FREMONT	89	YFR EQUITIES LLC
7711	CARECORE AT MENTOR	0.1%	49.0	C	OH	MENTOR	124	CARECORE HEALTH LLC
7712	Park Grove Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	49.0	C	KY	Madisonville	71	ENCORE INVESTORS LLC
7713	MONTGOMERYVILLE SKILLED NURSING AND REHABILITATI	0.1%	49.0	C	PA	MONTGOMERYVILLE	155	HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
7714	HAVEN OF COTTONWOOD	0.1%	49.0	F	AZ	COTTONWOOD	80	HEALTH GROUP MANAGEMENT LLC
7715	ROCK CREEK REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	49.0	C	CO	MONTE VISTA	60	CENTENNIAL MS TRUST I
7716	CARRIAGE HOUSE MANOR	0.1%	49.0	A	TX	SULPHUR SPRINGS	0	UVALDE COUNTY HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
7717	TRENTON HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER, LLC	0.1%	49.0	B	TN	TRENTON	50	TWIN RIVERS HEALTH & REHABILITATION LLC
7718	LEXINGTON PARK NURSING & POST ACUTE CENTER	0.1%	49.0	A	KS	TOPEKA	90	MIDWEST HEALTH INC 06122001
7719	DUNBAR VILLAGE TERRACE	0.1%	49.0	B	MS	BAY SAINT LOUIS	60	SENTRYCARE INC
7720	VETERANS HOME OF CALIFORNIA - FRESNO	0.1%	49.0	B	CA	FRESNO	120	DEPARTMENT OF VETERANS AFFAIRS OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA
7721	Hidalgo Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	49.0	D	TX	Edinburg	0	REGENCY INTEGRATED HEALTH SERVICES LLC
7722	BAYSHIRE TORREY PINES POST-ACUTE	0.1%	49.0	B	CA	SAN DIEGO	45	BAYSHIRE CONTINUING CARE LLC
7723	College Pines Health and Rehabilitation	0.1%	49.0	B	NC	Connelly Springs	100	—
7724	WELLBROOKE OF AVON	0.1%	49.0	D	IN	INDIANAPOLIS	70	PUTNAM COUNTY HOSPITAL
7725	DOYLESTOWN HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	49.0	B	OH	DOYLESTOWN	78	WINDSOR HOUSE INC
7726	Farmington Wellness & Rehabilitation	0.1%	49.0	D	NM	Farmington	50	—
7727	MILLER'S MERRY MANOR	0.1%	49.0	B	IN	WARSAW	137	JOHNSON MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
7728	NEW MADRID LIVING CENTER	0.1%	49.0	C	MO	NEW MADRID	112	LTC MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
7729	Monument Healthcare Brigham City	0.1%	49.0	D	UT	Brigham City	84	HEALTH GROUP MANAGEMENT LLC
7730	CADIA REHABILITATION CAPITOL	0.1%	49.0	C	DE	DOVER	120	LONG TERM CARE CORP
7731	THE BLOSSOMS AT OAKDALE REHAB & NURSING CENTER	0.1%	49.0	D	AR	JUDSONIA	154	ZCS AR OPCO LLC
7732	RIVERBEND NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER, INC	0.1%	49.0	A	LA	BELLE CHASSE	120	INSPIRED HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT LLC
7733	Ellen Memorial Rehabilitation and Healthcare Cente	0.1%	49.0	C	PA	HONESDALE	128	—
7734	SEAVIEW REHABILITATION & WELLNESS CENTER, LP	0.1%	49.0	C	CA	EUREKA	99	ROCKPORT ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES LLC
7735	Centerville Care and Rehab Center Inc	0.1%	49.0	C	SD	CENTERVILLE	42	CARING PROFESSIONALS INC
7736	GREENBRIER NURSING & REHABILITATION CENTER OF PALE	0.1%	49.0	B	TX	PALESTINE	0	FANNIN COUNTY HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
7737	Peak Resources - Pinelake	0.1%	49.0	B	NC	Carthage	108	PEAK RESOURCES INC
7738	ARISTACARE AT WHITING	0.1%	49.0	C	NJ	WHITING	180	—
7739	BONTERRA TRANSITIONAL CARE & REHABILITATION	0.1%	49.0	C	GA	EAST POINT	118	ANDWELL INVESTMENTS LLC
7740	Hibriten Mountain Nursing and Rehabilitation	0.1%	49.0	C	NC	Lenoir	100	SNF MGR LLC
7741	ARC AT BRADLEY	0.1%	49.0	C	IL	BRADLEY	120	YOSEF MEYSTEL DELTA TRUST
7742	THE GROVE POST ACUTE	0.1%	49.0	B	CA	GARDEN GROVE	97	—
7743	SOLARIS HEALTHCARE PARKWAY	0.1%	49.0	A	FL	STUART	177	SOLARIS FOUNDATION INC
7744	PINE VIEW NURSING AND REHAB CENTER	0.1%	49.0	C	GA	SYLVANIA	128	SHORE HEALTH MANAGEMENT TRUST
7745	HOLDEN REHABILITATION & NURSING CENTER	0.1%	49.0	A	MA	HOLDEN	123	ORIOL HOLDING INC
7746	PARADIGM AT KOUNTZE	0.1%	49.0	C	TX	KOUNTZE	0	OAKBEND MEDICAL CENTER
7747	REGENTS PARK OF JACKSONVILLE	0.1%	49.0	D	FL	JACKSONVILLE	120	FL HC INSTITUTE OPCO LLC
7748	Arbor Care Centers - Ord, LLC	0.1%	49.0	C	NE	Ord	60	—
7749	Somerwoods Rehabilitation and Healthcare Center	0.1%	49.0	C	KY	Somerset	166	PRINCIPLE LONG TERM CARE INC
7750	NHC HEALTHCARE, MURFREESBORO	0.1%	49.0	B	TN	MURFREESBORO	181	NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORPORATION

Showing 7,701–7,750 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.