Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

8,701–8,750

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
8701	PORTAGEVILLE HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	C	MO	PORTAGEVILLE	60	RELIANT CARE MANAGEMENT COMPANY LLC
8702	EXCEL CARE AT DOVER	0.1%	41.8	C	NJ	DOVER	155	—
8703	SNOW HILL REHABILITATION & HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	A	MD	SNOW HILL	69	MOSES STRAUSS FAMILY 2022 TRUST
8704	Harvest Acres Nursing and Rehab	0.1%	41.8	F	IA	Keota	35	SAMARA FAMILY HOLDINGS LLC
8705	Monument Healthcare Canyon Rim	0.1%	41.8	B	UT	Millcreek	90	HEALTH GROUP MANAGEMENT LLC
8706	SIGNATURE HEALTHCARE OF FENTRESS COUNTY	0.1%	41.8	C	TN	JAMESTOWN	140	WHEATEN LLC
8707	QUINCY HEALTHCARE & SR LIVING	0.1%	41.8	C	IL	QUINCY	89	STONEWALL HCG LLC
8708	Accura Healthcare of Bancroft	0.1%	41.8	A	IA	Bancroft	25	AMERICAN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
8709	HAMMOND-HENRY DISTRICT HSP	0.1%	41.8	B	IL	GENESEO	38	—
8710	CHIPOLA HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	41.8	A	FL	MARIANNA	60	LAVIE HOLDCO LLC
8711	CAREONE AT EVESHAM	0.1%	41.8	C	NJ	MARLTON	144	HEALTHBRIDGE MANAGEMENT LLC
8712	DEVONSHIRE CARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	C	CO	STERLING	84	LONG PEAK OPCO LLC
8713	REGALCARE AT HARWICH	0.1%	41.8	B	MA	HARWICH	135	—
8714	THE MANOR AT GREENDALE	0.1%	41.8	A	OH	FINDLAY	77	HCF INC
8715	LAS VEGAS POST ACUTE & REHABILITATION	0.1%	41.8	C	NV	LAS VEGAS	79	MERIDIAN MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
8716	TUCKER OPERATING COMPANY LLC	0.1%	41.8	B	GA	TUCKER	136	—
8717	Harmony Village of Clawson	0.1%	41.8	F	MI	Clawson	120	MISSION POINT METRO HOLDING LLC
8718	Valley View Care and Rehabilitation	0.1%	41.8	D	NC	Andrews	76	SNF MGR LLC
8719	SPRINGFIELD REHABILITATION & HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	B	MO	SPRINGFIELD	146	NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORPORATION
8720	Newcastle Place	0.1%	41.8	C	WI	Mequon	47	LIFESPACE COMMUNITIES INC
8721	Vantage at Lowell LLC	0.1%	41.8	D	MA	LOWELL	115	BEAR MOUNTAIN HEALTHCARE LLC
8722	SAN GABRIEL CONV CENTER	0.1%	41.8	C	CA	ROSEMEAD	151	THE AARON FRIEDMAN GROUP A BUSINESS ASSETS TRUST
8723	PINE VIEW CARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	B	WI	BLACK RIVER FALLS	95	REAL PROPERTY HEALTH FACILITIES CORP
8724	Oasis at Pearland	0.1%	41.8	B	TX	Pearland	0	FRIO HOSPITAL DISTRICT
8725	PALMS CARE CENTER AND REHAB	0.1%	41.8	B	FL	LAUDERDALE LAKES	120	FL SNF TRUST I
8726	CANDLEWOOD REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	D	CT	NEW MILFORD	148	SJJJ LLC
8727	WESTCHESTER GARDENS HEALTH & REHABILITATION	0.1%	41.8	C	FL	CLEARWATER	120	JOHN B GOODMAN 2006 IRRV GRANTOR TR
8728	LEBANON CENTER FOR REHABILITATION AND HEALING, LLC	0.1%	41.8	B	TN	LEBANON	60	MD FRIEDMAN FAMILY 2017 TRUST
8729	MEDICALODGES COLUMBUS	0.1%	41.8	B	KS	COLUMBUS	45	MEDICALODGES INC
8730	AVIR AT DALLAS	0.1%	41.8	C	TX	Dallas	0	FANNIN COUNTY HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
8731	Majestic Care of Livonia	0.1%	41.8	C	MI	Livonia	142	DEM FAMILY TRUST I
8732	The Oaks at Radford Hills Healthcare Center	0.1%	41.8	D	TX	Abilene	0	EASTLAND MEMORIAL HOSPITAL DISTRICT
8733	FOREST PARK HEALTH CAMPUS	0.1%	41.8	C	IN	RICHMOND	70	HENRY COUNTY MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
8734	WESTBURY CENTER OF MCDONOUGH FOR NURSING & HEALING	0.1%	41.8	B	GA	MCDONOUGH	210	EMPIRE CARE CENTERS LLC
8735	Fletcher Rehabilitation and Healthcare Center	0.1%	41.8	B	NC	Fletcher	90	WEST NC HOLDINGS LLC
8736	CRANFORD PARK CARE	0.1%	41.8	C	NJ	CRANFORD	100	—
8737	LIFE CARE CENTER OF FEDERAL WAY	0.1%	41.8	D	WA	FEDERAL WAY	157	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
8738	DELMAR GARDENS OF SMYRNA	0.1%	41.8	B	GA	SMYRNA	120	GOLDBERG NOM LLC
8739	WESTERWOOD REHABILITATION	0.1%	41.8	C	OH	COLUMBUS	75	UNITED CHURCH HOMES MANAGEMENT INC
8740	Chardon Woods	0.1%	41.8	B	OH	CHARDON	161	AJOJ HOLDINGS LLC
8741	Valley View Manor Hcc	0.1%	41.8	D	MN	LAMBERTON	50	—
8742	Nexus at Mascoutah	0.1%	41.8	C	IL	MASCOUTAH	55	SEVEN SPECIES LLC
8743	Eckerd Living Center	0.1%	41.8	B	NC	Highlands	80	HCA HEALTHCARE INC
8744	Hampton Ridge Healthcare and Rehabilitation	0.1%	41.8	C	NJ	TOMS RIVER	204	—
8745	MEADOWBROOK BEHAVIORAL HEALTH CENTER	0.1%	41.8	D	CA	LOS ANGELES	77	—
8746	CHEROKEE CENTER FOR NURSING AND HEALING LLC	0.1%	41.8	D	GA	CANTON	100	EMPIRE CARE CENTERS LLC
8747	ATMORE NURSING CENTER	0.1%	41.8	A	AL	ATMORE	100	CROWNE MANAGEMENT LLC
8748	GREENFIELD HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	C	IN	GREENFIELD	163	HANCOCK REGIONAL HOSPITAL
8749	THE LAURELS OF MIDDLETOWN	0.1%	41.8	A	OH	MIDDLETOWN	109	LAUREL HEALTH CARE HOLDINGS INC
8750	BUFFALO CROSSINGS HEALTHCARE & REHABILITATION CEN	0.1%	41.8	B	FL	THE VILLAGES	120	KR MANAGEMENT LLC

Showing 8,701–8,750 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.