Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

8,801–8,850

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
8801	Longleaf Neuro-Medical Treatment Center	0.1%	41.8	C	NC	Wilson	248	—
8802	ASBURY PLACE AT MARYVILLE	0.1%	41.8	C	TN	MARYVILLE	181	ASBURY COMMUNITIES INC
8803	OAKVIEW NURSING & REHAB	0.1%	41.8	B	IL	MOUNT CARMEL	90	WLC MANAGEMENT FIRM LLC
8804	MS CARE CENTER OF ALCORN COUNTY, INC-SNF	0.1%	41.8	B	MS	CORINTH	119	—
8805	BRICKYARD HEALTHCARE - VALPARAISO CARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	A	IN	VALPARAISO	85	HENDRICKS COUNTY HOSPITAL
8806	BELLA TERRA ELMHURST	0.1%	41.8	C	IL	ELMHURST	142	CHAIM RAJCHENBACH DESCENDANTS TR UA 04282008
8807	PORTSMOUTH HEALTH AND REHAB	0.1%	41.8	B	OH	PORTSMOUTH	95	NPNH1 LLC
8808	MOBILE NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	41.8	B	AL	MOBILE	120	NORBERT A BENNETT IRRV TR FBO CHILDREN
8809	The Orchards at Big Rapids	0.1%	41.8	C	MI	Big Rapids	100	WHITE LAKE HEALTHCARE LLC
8810	Union House Nursing Home	0.1%	41.8	A	VT	Glover	44	FRANCIS E CHENEY JR ESTATE
8811	CALHOUN CROSSING OF JOURNEY LLC	0.1%	41.8	D	GA	CALHOUN	100	AJOJ HOLDINGS LLC
8812	WINDSOR GARDENS	0.1%	41.8	C	TX	LANCASTER	0	DALLAS COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
8813	ROYAL OAK NURSING & REHAB CTR	0.1%	41.8	A	OH	MIDDLEBURG HEIGHTS	99	EMBASSY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
8814	Avir at Woodlands	0.1%	41.8	C	TX	EASTLAND	0	EASTLAND MEMORIAL HOSPITAL DISTRICT
8815	ALDEN ESTATES OF EVANSTON	0.1%	41.8	C	IL	EVANSTON	99	ALDEN MANAGEMENT SERVICES INC
8816	SLEEPY EYE REHABILITATI CENTER	0.1%	41.8	A	MN	SLEEPY EYE	61	SPARTAN HEALTHCARE LLC
8817	Karcher Post Acute	0.1%	41.8	D	ID	Nampa	66	—
8818	MAPLE LEAF HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	C	NH	MANCHESTER	114	ESNH LLC
8819	Eastman Trails of Journey LLC	0.1%	41.8	B	GA	EASTMAN	100	SELECTIS HEALTH INC
8820	MCRAE MANOR NURSING HOME	0.1%	41.8	C	GA	MC RAE	133	PEACH HEALTH GROUP LLC
8821	FREDERIC NURSING AND REHAB COMMUNITY	0.1%	41.8	A	WI	FREDERIC	60	ATRIUM CENTERS MANAGEMENT LLC
8822	HEALTH CENTER AT BLOOMINGDALE	0.1%	41.8	B	NJ	BLOOMINGDALE	120	TWOMAGNETS LLC
8823	HARBOR HEALTH & REHAB	0.1%	41.8	D	IN	EAST CHICAGO	106	MAJOR HOSPITAL
8824	GOOD SAMARITAN SOCIETY AUGUSTA PLACE A PROSPERA CO	0.1%	41.8	B	ND	BISMARCK	48	SANFORD
8825	RIDGEVIEW SKILLED NURSING FACILITY	0.1%	41.8	B	CA	SAN DIEGO	45	SPIEKER CLC LLC
8826	BIRCHWOOD HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	41.8	C	FL	SARASOTA	87	BP BIRCHWOOD TRUST
8827	HERITAGE MANOR	0.1%	41.8	B	OK	OKLAHOMA CITY	55	EMPIRE CAPITAL INVESTMENT LLC
8828	The Blossoms at White Hall Rehab & Nursing Center	0.1%	41.8	B	AR	White Hall	120	ZCS AR OPCO LLC
8829	The Grand Rehabilitation and Nursing At Rome	0.1%	41.8	D	NY	ROME	160	—
8830	GOOD SAMARITAN SOCIETY CANISTOTA	0.1%	41.8	C	SD	CANISTOTA	55	SANFORD
8831	Care Connection Rahway	0.1%	41.8	B	NJ	RAHWAY	24	—
8832	WESTMINSTER VILLAGE HEALTH	0.1%	41.8	A	DE	DOVER	75	PHI
8833	HERITAGE NURSING CENTER - SKILLED NURSING BY AMERI	0.1%	41.8	B	MO	KENNETT	72	AMERICARE SYSTEMS INC
8834	LOCKPORT REHAB & HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	A	NY	LOCKPORT	82	—
8835	BROWN COUNTY HEALTH AND LIVING COMMUNITY	0.1%	41.8	B	IN	NASHVILLE	117	RIVERVIEW HOSPITAL
8836	Greenville Nursing and Rehabilitation	0.1%	41.8	B	KY	Greenville	60	BLUEGRASS CONSULTING GROUP LLC
8837	Cherry Point Bay Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	41.8	C	NC	Havelock	70	PRINCIPLE LONG TERM CARE INC
8838	Crescent Manor Care Ctrs	0.1%	41.8	B	VT	Bennington	90	—
8839	RIVER RIDGE REHABILITATION AND CARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	C	AR	WYNNE	100	JEJ ASSETS LP
8840	FOREST HILL HEALTH & REHABILITATION	0.1%	41.8	C	VA	RICHMOND	174	SAESSY IRREVOCABLE TRUST
8841	PEACE CARE ST ANN'S	0.1%	41.8	A	NJ	JERSEY CITY	120	PEACE CARE INC
8842	Potomac Falls Health & Rehab Center	0.1%	41.8	B	VA	STERLING	150	DJ PETRINE LLC
8843	MOMENTOUS HEALTH AT VANDALIA	0.1%	41.8	A	OH	VANDALIA	118	—
8844	SHADY LAWN HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.1%	41.8	A	MS	VICKSBURG	100	ORAND LP
8845	MIAMI SPRINGS NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	41.8	C	FL	MIAMI SPRINGS	269	PHILIPSON FAMILY LIMITED LIABILITY COMPANY LLC
8846	AUTUMN LAKE HEALTHCARE AT BRADDOCK HEIGHTS	0.1%	41.8	C	MD	FREDERICK	65	M MEISELS FAMILY HOLDINGS LLC
8847	LAKEVIEW HEALTH CARE & REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	41.8	C	MO	BOONVILLE	59	SOVEREIGN HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
8848	APPLE REHAB LAUREL WOODS	0.1%	41.8	B	CT	EAST HAVEN	120	—
8849	CEDAR LAKE NURSING HOME	0.1%	41.8	B	TX	MALAKOFF	0	FANNIN COUNTY HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
8850	White Oak Manor - Lancaster	0.1%	41.8	A	SC	Lancaster	132	WHITE OAK MANAGEMENT INC

Showing 8,801–8,850 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.