Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

8,951–9,000

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
8951	SPRING LAKE REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	38.3	A	FL	WINTER HAVEN	132	CLEAR CHOICE HEALTH CARE LLC
8952	WESTERN PRAIRIE SENIOR LIVING LLC	0.1%	38.3	C	KS	ULYSSES	60	MIDWEST HEALTH INC 06122001
8953	HOOSIER HEALTH & LIVING COMMUNITY	0.1%	38.3	C	IN	BROWNSTOWN	97	CARDON AND ASSOCIATES INC
8954	VISTA CENTER, THE	0.1%	38.3	A	OH	LISBON	54	CONTINUING HEALTHCARE SOLUTIONS INC
8955	CHARLTON PLACE REHAB AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	C	AL	DEATSVILLE	65	WALNUT CREEK MANAGEMENT COMPANY LLC
8956	Elderwood Of Scallop Shell at Wakefield	0.1%	38.3	D	RI	South Kingstown	80	—
8957	FOLSOM REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	A	AL	CULLMAN	102	M MELB OPCO LLC
8958	TRINITY HOSPITAL SKILLED NURSING FACILITY	0.1%	38.3	A	CA	WEAVERVILLE	13	—
8959	Magnolia Manor - Greenville	0.1%	38.3	A	SC	Greenville	99	HUNT VALLEY HOLDINGS LLC
8960	Granger Nursing & Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	38.3	C	IA	Granger	67	CAMPBELL STREET SERVICES LLC
8961	Pettigrew Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	38.3	A	NC	Durham	96	SOUTHERN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT LLC
8962	ASHBY CARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	C	CA	BERKELEY	31	—
8963	AMBASSADOR HEALTHCARE AT COLLEGE PARK	0.1%	38.3	C	FL	FORT MYERS	107	—
8964	PALM GARDEN OF LARGO	0.1%	38.3	B	FL	LARGO	140	PALM GARDEN HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS LLC
8965	Hammonton Center for Rehabilitation and Healthcare	0.1%	38.3	F	NJ	HAMMONTON	240	—
8966	ALLEGANY HEALTH NURSING AND REHAB	0.1%	38.3	D	MD	CUMBERLAND	153	HUNT VALLEY HOLDINGS LLC
8967	Lake Village Rehabilitation and Care Center	0.1%	38.3	C	AR	Lake Village	82	JEJ ASSETS LP
8968	The Manor at Seagoville	0.1%	38.3	D	TX	Seagoville	0	DALLAS COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
8969	LONG BEACH POST ACUTE	0.1%	38.3	A	CA	LONG BEACH	78	THE BENTZION MANDELBAUM 2021 IRREVOCABLE GIFT TRUST NO 2
8970	Royal of Westerly Nursing Center	0.1%	38.3	B	RI	Westerly	66	—
8971	HICKORY CREEK AT PERU	0.1%	38.3	A	IN	PERU	36	AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
8972	ROCKY RIVER GARDENS REHAB AND NURSING CTR	0.1%	38.3	C	OH	CLEVELAND	120	BRAUNSTEIN BEARS 2016 TRUST
8973	MARIETTA CENTER FOR NURSING AND HEALING	0.1%	38.3	B	GA	MARIETTA	154	EMPIRE CARE CENTERS LLC
8974	WESTLAKE NURSING AND REHAB CENTER	0.1%	38.3	A	FL	DANIA BEACH	88	VRD 10 HLDCO LLC
8975	CARRIER MILLS NSG & REHAB CTR	0.1%	38.3	B	IL	CARRIER MILLS	99	WLC MANAGEMENT FIRM LLC
8976	ALLURE OF MT CARROLL	0.1%	38.3	B	IL	MOUNT CARROLL	72	MN1 MANAGEMENT CORP
8977	Knott County Health & Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	38.3	A	KY	Hindman	92	SEKY HOLDING CO
8978	ST JAMES REHABILITATION & HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	B	NY	ST JAMES	230	—
8979	ACCELA REHAB AND CARE CENTER AT SPRINGFIELD	0.1%	38.3	C	PA	GLENSIDE	129	—
8980	CRESTVIEW REHABILITATION CENTER, LLC	0.1%	38.3	A	FL	CRESTVIEW	180	SOUTHERN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT LLC
8981	CLEAR VIEW SANITARIUM	0.1%	38.3	A	CA	GARDENA	73	—
8982	KETCHIKAN MED CTR NEW HORIZONS TRANSITIONAL CARE	0.1%	38.3	A	AK	KETCHIKAN	29	PEACEHEALTH
8983	Las Estancias by Pure Health	0.1%	38.3	B	NM	Albuquerque	120	KCCJ1 HOLDINGS LLC
8984	PASSAVANT RETIREMENT AND HEALT	0.1%	38.3	B	PA	ZELIENOPLE	102	—
8985	LORD CHAMBERLAIN MANOR	0.1%	38.3	C	CT	STRATFORD	60	—
8986	ROCKY MOUNT HEALTH & REHAB CENTER	0.1%	38.3	B	VA	ROCKY MOUNT	180	BNV DYNASTY LLC
8987	LIFE CARE CENTER OF BROOKFIELD	0.1%	38.3	C	MO	BROOKFIELD	120	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
8988	ARCADIA CARE MORRIS	0.1%	38.3	D	IL	MORRIS	123	YOSEF MEYSTEL DECLARATION OF TR OF YOSEF MEYSTEL TTEE
8989	WEBSTER MANOR REHABILITATION & HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	B	MA	WEBSTER	135	ATHENA HEALTH CARE ASSOCIATES INC
8990	NHC PLACE AT COOL SPRINGS	0.1%	38.3	B	TN	FRANKLIN	121	NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORPORATION
8991	VILLA GEORGETOWN REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CEN	0.1%	38.3	C	OH	GEORGETOWN	100	FEJCC TRUST
8992	CRESTMOOR CARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	F	CO	DENVER	108	LONG PEAK OPCO LLC
8993	COOSA VALLEY HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	A	AL	SYLACAUGA	85	PRIME MANAGEMENT LLC
8994	SIERRA BASIN POST ACUTE	0.1%	38.3	B	NV	CARSON CITY	80	—
8995	SUMMER COMMONS	0.1%	38.3	A	ME	SANFORD	64	—
8996	Green River Trails	0.1%	38.3	B	KY	Greensburg	118	AJOJ HOLDINGS LLC
8997	EDGEWOOD MANOR OF LUCASVILLE II	0.1%	38.3	A	OH	LUCASVILLE	71	AOM HEALTHCARE LLC
8998	YORKTOWN MANOR	0.1%	38.3	B	IN	YORKTOWN	100	ADAMS COUNTY MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
8999	HEALTHWIN HEALTH & REHABILITATION	0.1%	38.3	C	IN	SOUTH BEND	145	SAESSY IRREVOCABLE TRUST
9000	RINGGOLD NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER, LLC	0.1%	38.3	A	LA	RINGGOLD	112	NORBERT A BENNETT IRRV TR FBO CHILDREN

Showing 8,951–9,000 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.