Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

9,151–9,200

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
9151	BETHEL HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	C	CT	BETHEL	161	MARVIN OSTREICHER FAMILY TRUST 2012
9152	New Iberia Manor South	0.1%	38.3	C	LA	NEW IBERIA	100	NEXION HEALTH INC
9153	Village House Nursing & Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	38.3	C	RI	Newport	95	HEALTH CONCEPTS LTD
9154	Riverside Health and Rehab	0.1%	38.3	C	SC	Charleston	160	HUNT VALLEY HOLDINGS LLC
9155	ST ELIZABETH'S PLACE	0.1%	38.3	B	AR	JONESBORO	110	RHC OPERATIONS INC
9156	MAPLEWOOD NURSING AND REHAB CENTER	0.1%	38.3	C	PA	PHILADELPHIA	180	PA OPS HOLDINGS LLC
9157	THE TERRACES AT SKYLINE	0.1%	38.3	C	WA	SEATTLE	34	PRESBYTERIAN RETIREMENT COMMUNITIES NORTHWEST
9158	STONESPRING OF VANDALIA	0.1%	38.3	B	OH	DAYTON	144	CARESPRING HEALTH CARE HOLDINGS LP
9159	OSSIAN HEALTH CARE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	38.3	B	IN	OSSIAN	100	RIVERVIEW HOSPITAL
9160	SUNSET DRIVE - A PROSPERA COMMUNITY	0.1%	38.3	B	ND	MANDAN	128	SANFORD
9161	THE ROYAL HOME	0.1%	38.3	B	CA	EL CAJON	19	—
9162	LINCOLN PARK RENAISSANCE	0.1%	38.3	B	NJ	LINCOLN PARK	189	—
9163	Graham Healthcare and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	38.3	C	NC	Robbinsville	80	PRINCIPLE LONG TERM CARE INC
9164	GRIDLEY POST ACUTE	0.1%	38.3	A	CA	GRIDLEY	82	WEST HARBOR HEALTHCARE LLC
9165	GREEN OAKS NURSING & REHABILITATION	0.1%	38.3	C	TX	ARLINGTON	0	WINNIE STOWELL HOSPITAL DISTRICT
9166	Center at Zaragoza, LLC	0.1%	38.3	D	TX	El Paso	80	VERITAS MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC
9167	Silas Creek Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	38.3	A	NC	Winston Salem	90	SOUTHERN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT LLC
9168	RESTHAVEN LIVING CENTER	0.1%	38.3	C	LA	BOGALUSA	145	PRIORITY MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC
9169	MOUNTAINSIDE SKILLED NURSING AND REHAB	0.1%	38.3	C	NJ	MOUNTAINSIDE	151	M MEISELS FAMILY HOLDINGS LLC
9170	CAROLINE NURSING AND REHAB	0.1%	38.3	D	MD	DENTON	87	MD2 INVESTORS LLC
9171	HERMITAGE NURSING & REHAB	0.1%	38.3	C	MO	HERMITAGE	120	LTC MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
9172	HUNTINGDON HEALTH & REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	38.3	B	TN	HUNTINGDON	120	B&Y TRUST
9173	CARLISLE MANOR HEALTH CARE INC	0.1%	38.3	A	OH	CARLISLE	48	EMBASSY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
9174	SHUKSAN REHABILITATION AND HEALTH CARE	0.1%	38.3	F	WA	BELLINGHAM	52	HYATT FAMILY FACILITIES LLC
9175	GULFPORT CARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	B	MS	GULFPORT	90	PROVIDER PROFESSIONAL SERVICES INC
9176	Parkview Health and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	38.3	B	NC	Chapel Hill	108	LIBERTY HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
9177	COMMUNITY HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	38.3	A	FL	PANAMA CITY	120	CLEAR CHOICE HEALTH CARE LLC
9178	Piedmont Hills Center for Nursing and Rehab	0.1%	38.3	D	NC	Greensboro	126	—
9179	PAVILION OF SOUTH SHORE	0.1%	38.3	C	IL	CHICAGO	118	STERN FAMILY INVESTMENT TR
9180	Lincolnton Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	38.3	B	NC	Lincolnton	120	SOUTHERN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT LLC
9181	Serenity Transitional Care	0.1%	38.3	A	ID	Twin Falls	60	TANABELL HEALTH SERVICES INC
9182	BROOKDALE PLAZA LISLE SNF	0.1%	38.3	B	IL	LISLE	55	BROOKDALE SENIOR LIVING INC
9183	ENGLEWOOD HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	A	AL	MONROEVILLE	87	CROWNE MANAGEMENT LLC
9184	Accordius Health at Gastonia	0.1%	38.3	C	NC	Gastonia	118	ZANZIPER FAMILY TRUST
9185	YBOR CITY CENTER FOR REHABILITATION AND HEALING	0.1%	38.3	A	FL	TAMPA	80	SUMMIT CARE II INC
9186	WILDWOOD HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	C	IN	INDIANAPOLIS	160	HANCOCK REGIONAL HOSPITAL
9187	WATERS OF LAGRANGE SKILLED NURSING FACILITY, THE	0.1%	38.3	B	IN	LAGRANGE	100	JOHNSON MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
9188	THE BRADFORD AT BROOKSIDE	0.1%	38.3	C	TX	LIVINGSTON	0	TYLER COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
9189	NOTTINGHAM HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.1%	38.3	A	KS	OLATHE	80	AXIOM CONSULTING LLC
9190	Waterview Lodge Llc, Rehabilitation & Healthcare	0.1%	38.3	A	MA	ASHLAND	103	—
9191	Generations at Rock Island	0.1%	38.3	D	IL	ROCK ISLAND	177	ATIED ASSOCIATES LLC
9192	Twin Falls Transitional Care of Cascadia	0.1%	38.3	B	ID	Twin Falls	116	CASCADIA HEALTHCARE LLC
9193	HAWTHORNE HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	B	IN	INDIANAPOLIS	88	ADAMS COUNTY MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
9194	ARBOR OAKS HEALTHCARE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	38.3	D	AR	MALVERN	94	JEJ ASSETS LP
9195	PARKVIEW REHABILITATION CENTER AT WINTER PARK	0.1%	38.3	A	FL	WINTER PARK	138	SOUTHERN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT LLC
9196	Carlyle Senior Care of Fork	0.1%	38.3	A	SC	Fork	111	NEW DAY HEALTH VENTURES LLC
9197	SANDGATE GARDENS REHAB AND NURSING CENTER	0.1%	38.3	B	FL	FORT PIERCE	107	CITADEL CARE GROUP LLC
9198	The Estates at St Louis Park LLC	0.1%	38.3	C	MN	SAINT LOUIS PARK	145	SPARTAN HEALTHCARE LLC
9199	WATERS OF DUNKIRK SKILLED NURSING FACILITY, THE	0.1%	38.3	B	IN	DUNKIRK	46	JOHNSON MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
9200	AVENUE AT MEDINA	0.1%	38.3	B	OH	MEDINA	70	PROGRESSIVE QUALITY CARE INC

Showing 9,151–9,200 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.