Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

9,301–9,350

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
9301	BARFIELD HEALTH CARE	0.1%	38.3	A	AL	GUNTERSVILLE	113	SCHMIDT WALLACE HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT COMPANY INC
9302	GREENWOOD HEALTH AND LIVING COMMUNITY	0.1%	38.3	C	IN	GREENWOOD	111	RIVERVIEW HOSPITAL
9303	ORINDA CARE CENTER, LLC	0.1%	38.3	B	CA	ORINDA	47	RENEW HEALTH CONSULTING SERVICES LLC
9304	VILLAGES AT HISTORIC SILVERCREST THE	0.1%	38.3	C	IN	NEW ALBANY	56	WITHAM MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
9305	WYNWOOD REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	C	NJ	CINNAMINSON	114	—
9306	HILLTOP MANOR HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	38.3	A	MS	UNION	60	SNF MGR LLC
9307	JACKSON HEALTH CARE FACILITY	0.1%	38.3	A	AL	JACKSON	91	CROWNE MANAGEMENT LLC
9308	FOUNTAINVIEW CTR FOR ALZHEIMER	0.1%	38.3	C	GA	ATLANTA	120	—
9309	The Citadel Mooresville	0.1%	38.3	D	NC	Mooresville	130	ZANZIPER FAMILY TRUST
9310	MEDICALODGES IOLA	0.1%	38.3	B	KS	IOLA	45	MEDICALODGES INC
9311	Hertford Rehabilitation and Healthcare Center	0.1%	38.3	B	NC	Hertford	78	ZANZIPER FAMILY TRUST
9312	PINE TRAIL NURSING AND REHAB CENTER	0.1%	38.3	C	FL	LAKE WORTH	52	VRD 10 HLDCO LLC
9313	Azria Health Rose Vista	0.1%	38.3	B	IA	Woodbine	76	AZRIA VENTURES LLC
9314	SEDONA TRACE HEALTH AND WELLNESS CENTER	0.1%	38.3	B	TX	AUSTIN	0	GUADALUPE COUNTY HOSPITAL BOARD
9315	PARKVIEW CARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	B	CO	DENVER	73	LONG PEAK OPCO LLC
9316	LAKEWOOD POST ACUTE AND REHABILITATION	0.1%	38.3	D	CO	LAKEWOOD	108	PACS HOLDINGS LLC
9317	Maywood Acres Healthcare	0.1%	38.3	B	CA	Oxnard	98	—
9318	HAVERHILL REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	F	MA	HAVERHILL	128	JMH FAMILY LLC
9319	RIVER CITY LIVING COMMUNITY	0.1%	38.3	D	MO	JEFFERSON CITY	87	LTC MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
9320	SCENIC POINTE NURSING AND REHAB CTR	0.1%	38.3	A	OH	MILLERSBURG	150	FOUNDATIONS HEALTH LLC
9321	ST BERNARD NURSING & REHAB	0.1%	38.3	B	LA	NEW ORLEANS	127	LA10 HOLDINGS LLC
9322	Greenville Operations RI LLC DBA Greenville Skille	0.1%	38.3	D	RI	Greenville	131	MAYFLOWER HEALTHCARE LLC
9323	NORTHBROOK CENTER FOR REHABILITATION AND HEALING	0.1%	38.3	B	FL	BROOKSVILLE	120	SUMMIT CARE II INC
9324	COMPLETE CARE AT ARBORS	0.1%	38.3	C	NJ	TOMS RIVER	120	EEF CAPITAL LLC
9325	Life Care Center of Sandpoint	0.1%	38.3	D	ID	Sandpoint	124	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
9326	CALIFORNIA POST ACUTE	0.1%	38.3	A	CA	LOS ANGELES	66	—
9327	ASPIRE SENIOR LIVING NEW FLORENCE	0.1%	38.3	C	MO	NEW FLORENCE	87	CHP SNFCO LLC
9328	Complete Care at Grande Prairie	0.1%	38.3	D	WI	Pleasant Prairie	118	SMS 2021 TRUST
9329	Knolls West Post Acute LLC	0.1%	38.3	B	CA	Victorville	118	MERIDIAN MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
9330	MIDDLETON VILLAGE NURSING AND REHAB	0.1%	38.3	C	WI	MIDDLETON	97	—
9331	SUMTER HEALTH AND REHABILITATION, L L C	0.1%	38.3	A	AL	YORK	125	JAMES NORMAN ESTES JR TR
9332	MILL CREEK	0.1%	38.3	C	TX	SILSBEE	0	TYLER COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
9333	Evercare of Calhoun	0.1%	38.3	D	IL	HARDIN	80	NORBERT A BENNETT IRRV TR FBO CHILDREN
9334	LANFAIR CENTER FOR REHAB & NSG CARE INC	0.1%	38.3	A	OH	LANCASTER	84	THE SCHROER GROUP INC
9335	OPP HEALTH AND REHABILITATION, LLC	0.1%	38.3	A	AL	OPP	197	JAMES NORMAN ESTES JR TR
9336	Spring Creek Healthcare Center	0.1%	38.3	D	UT	Salt Lake City	92	BEAVER VALLEY HOSPITAL
9337	DIVERSICARE OF MONTGOMERY	0.1%	38.3	A	AL	MONTGOMERY	138	DAC ACQUISITION LLC
9338	LYNWOOD REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	A	AL	MOBILE	127	M MELB OPCO LLC
9339	HEMPHILL CARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	C	TX	HEMPHILL	0	WINNIE STOWELL HOSPITAL DISTRICT
9340	WILLOWBROOK NURSING CENTER	0.1%	38.3	C	TX	NACOGDOCHES	0	WINNIE STOWELL HOSPITAL DISTRICT
9341	BROOKWOOD CARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	C	OH	CINCINNATI	125	—
9342	ARBOR VIEW CARE CENTER	0.1%	38.3	B	CO	ARVADA	110	LONG PEAK OPCO LLC
9343	HAMMOND HEALTH SERVICES	0.1%	38.3	A	WI	HAMMOND	50	NORTH SHORE HEALTHCARE LLC
9344	WHITE HOUSE HEALTHCARE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	38.3	A	NJ	ORANGE	176	—
9345	THE BLOSSOMS AT MOUNTAIN VIEW REHAB & NURSING CEN	0.1%	38.3	B	AR	MOUNTAIN VIEW	97	ZCS AR OPCO LLC
9346	FRANKLIN WELLNESS AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	38.3	D	TN	FRANKLIN	88	PHILIPSON FAMILY LIMITED LIABILITY COMPANY LLC
9347	SUNRISE NURSING & REHABILITATION	0.1%	38.3	C	MO	RAYMORE	152	FIRST SWEETZER HOLDINGS LLC
9348	PARAMOUNT NURSING AND REHAB AT FAYETTEVILLE, LLC	0.1%	38.3	A	PA	FAYETTEVILLE	92	—
9349	PINNACLE POINT WELLNESS & REHABILITATION	0.1%	38.3	C	MO	RIVERSIDE	180	NORBERT A BENNETT IRRV TR FBO CHILDREN
9350	AUTUMN LAKE HEALTHCARE AT CALVERT MANOR	0.1%	38.3	B	MD	RISING SUN	144	M MEISELS FAMILY HOLDINGS LLC

Showing 9,301–9,350 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.