Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

10,601–10,650

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
10601	REGENCY GRESHAM NURSING & REHABILITATION CENTER	0.0%	27.7	A	OR	GRESHAM	128	REGENCY PACIFIC MANAGEMENT LLC
10602	WOODLANDS HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.0%	27.7	A	CA	LOS GATOS	65	ASPEN SKILLED HEALTHCARE INC
10603	Meadow View Nursing and Rehabilitation	0.0%	27.7	B	ID	Nampa	122	—
10604	BROOKSIDE REHAB & NURSING CENTER	0.0%	27.7	D	VA	WARRENTON	130	REG 2018 IRREVOCABLE TRUST U A D 1 1 18
10605	Advanced Health Care of Albuquerque	0.0%	27.7	B	NM	Albuquerque	47	THE GAIL MILLER GST TRUST
10606	HICKORY CREEK AT GREENSBURG	0.0%	27.7	C	IN	GREENSBURG	36	AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
10607	OAKLAND PARK COMMUNITIES, INC.	0.0%	27.7	D	MN	THIEF RIVER FALLS	35	—
10608	ATLANTIC SHORES NURSING AND REHAB CENTER	0.0%	27.7	A	FL	MELBOURNE	120	SOUTHERN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT LLC
10609	VILLAGE PLACE HEALTHCARE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.0%	27.7	F	FL	PORT CHARLOTTE	104	COPPER FL TRUST II
10610	REST HAVEN HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.0%	27.7	D	MO	SEDALIA	86	RELIANT CARE MANAGEMENT COMPANY LLC
10611	Zachary Manor Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	0.0%	27.7	C	LA	Zachary	110	CENTRAL MANAGEMENT COMPANY LLC
10612	MCCREA MANOR NSNG AND REHAB CTR LLC	0.0%	27.7	D	OH	ALLIANCE	84	LIONSTONE HZ OPCO HOLDINGS LLC
10613	Oaklawn Care & Rehabilitation Center	0.0%	27.7	B	MN	MANKATO	60	SPARTAN HEALTHCARE LLC
10614	NSPIRE HEALTHCARE LAUDERHILL	0.0%	27.7	B	FL	LAUDERHILL	109	LAVIE HOLDCO LLC
10615	AUTUMN LAKE HEALTHCARE AT THE WILLOWS	0.0%	27.7	B	CT	WOODBRIDGE	90	AUT CT7 HOLDINGS LLC
10616	VALLEY SPRINGS REHABILITATION AND HEALTH CENTER	0.0%	27.7	B	AR	VAN BUREN	105	JEJ ASSETS LP
10617	AVANTARA LAKE ZURICH	0.0%	27.7	D	IL	LAKE ZURICH	203	CHAIM RAJCHENBACH DESCENDANTS TR UA 04282008
10618	Greentree Health and Rehabilitation Center	0.0%	27.7	A	WI	Clintonville	50	THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
10619	BELLA TERRA BLOOMINGDALE	0.0%	27.7	D	IL	BLOOMINGDALE	166	CHAIM RAJCHENBACH DESCENDANTS TR UA 04282008
10620	HAVEN OF TUCSON	0.0%	27.7	B	AZ	TUCSON	118	HEALTH GROUP MANAGEMENT LLC
10621	DEER MEADOWS REHABILITATION CENTER	0.0%	27.7	C	PA	PHILADELPHIA	206	—
10622	Medilodge of Kalamazoo	0.0%	27.7	A	MI	Kalamazoo	39	B&Y TRUST
10623	COMMUNITY CARE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.0%	27.7	B	CA	RIVERSIDE	162	SUN MAR MANAGEMENT SERVICES
10624	NEW EASTWOOD HEALTHCARE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.0%	27.7	A	PA	EASTON	97	NFR 2020 IRRV TR
10625	VISTA CENTER AT THE RIDGE	0.0%	27.7	C	OH	MINERAL RIDGE	155	CONTINUING HEALTHCARE SOLUTIONS INC
10626	SENECA HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.0%	27.7	C	NY	WEST SENECA	160	VESTRA SPV1 LLC
10627	Rehabilitation Center of Belmond	0.0%	27.7	B	IA	Belmond	44	CHAIM RAJCHENBACH DESCENDANTS TR UA 04282008
10628	TODD-DICKEY NURSING AND REHABILITATION	0.0%	27.7	A	IN	LEAVENWORTH	62	AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
10629	HOME AT TAYLOR'S POINTE	0.0%	27.7	A	OH	CINCINNATI	92	FOUNDATIONS HEALTH LLC
10630	NORTHVINE POSTACUTE CARE	0.0%	27.7	C	CA	SANTA ROSA	62	RMG CAPITAL PARTNERS LLC
10631	Memorial City Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	0.0%	27.7	F	TX	Houston	0	REGENCY INTEGRATED HEALTH SERVICES LLC
10632	Madison Health and Rehabilitation	0.0%	27.7	C	NC	Mars Hill	100	ARDENT HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CO
10633	PRUITTHEALTH - BLUE RIDGE	0.0%	27.7	B	GA	BLUE RIDGE	101	UHS PRUITT HOLDINGS INC
10634	Medilodge of Plymouth	0.0%	27.7	A	MI	Plymouth	39	B&Y TRUST
10635	WINDSOR NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER OF CORPU	0.0%	27.7	C	TX	CORPUS CHRISTI	0	REGENCY INTEGRATED HEALTH SERVICES LLC
10636	The Terrace Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	0.0%	27.7	B	KY	Berea	102	VALLEY STREAM OPERATOR I LLC
10637	ALTERCARE ZANESVILLE INC.	0.0%	27.7	C	OH	ZANESVILLE	99	THE SCHROER GROUP INC
10638	GARDENS AT EASTON, THE	0.0%	27.7	B	PA	EASTON	181	PHILIPSON FAMILY LIMITED LIABILITY COMPANY LLC
10639	COUNTRY VIEW OF SUNBURY	0.0%	27.7	A	OH	SUNBURY	99	FOUNDATIONS HEALTH LLC
10640	Brittany Manor	0.0%	27.7	C	MI	Midland	138	MOHAMMAD A QAZI LIVING TRUST DATED 09 26 97
10641	HANCOCK PARK REHABILIATION AND NURSING CENTER	0.0%	27.7	B	MA	QUINCY	142	BANE CARE MANAGEMENT LLC
10642	THE CLUB AT LAKE GIBSON	0.0%	27.7	C	FL	LAKELAND	120	COPPER FL TRUST II
10643	APPLE REHAB CROMWELL	0.0%	27.7	D	CT	CROMWELL	85	—
10644	COPIAH LIVING CENTER	0.0%	27.7	A	MS	CRYSTAL SPRINGS	60	PROVIDER PROFESSIONAL SERVICES INC
10645	WILLOW PASS HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.0%	27.7	A	CA	CONCORD	81	HYCARE INC
10646	HENRY COUNTY HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.0%	27.7	A	TN	PARIS	136	PHILIPSON FAMILY LIMITED LIABILITY COMPANY LLC
10647	ROYAL SPRINGS HEALTHCARE AND REHAB	0.0%	27.7	C	NV	LAS VEGAS	225	—
10648	ASPIRE SENIOR LIVING JONESBURG	0.0%	27.7	C	MO	JONESBURG	81	CHP SNFCO LLC
10649	PACIFIC COAST MANOR	0.0%	27.7	A	CA	CAPITOLA	99	COVENANT CARE LLC
10650	GEORGE WASHINGTON HEALTH & REHABILITATION	0.0%	27.7	A	VA	ALEXANDRIA	96	SAESSY IRREVOCABLE TRUST

Showing 10,601–10,650 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.