Ownership-change pipeline

CHOW Radar

p(change of ownership, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

16,900

active SNFs, scored

Model

p_chow_12m v0.1

deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

49.6%

of actual next-12m sales on holdout

Base rate

2.4%

observed 12m CHOW rate, training panels

Ranked by sale probability

1,901–1,950

#	Facility	p(CHOW 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
1901	BINGER NURSING AND REHABILITATION	4.8%	88.7	A	OK	BINGER	65	ABBOTT FAMILY LLC
1902	HUMPHREYS CO NURSING CENTER	4.8%	88.7	A	MS	BELZONI	60	PROVIDER PROFESSIONAL SERVICES INC
1903	MARQUIS VERMONT HILLS	4.8%	88.7	B	OR	PORTLAND	73	MARQUIS COMPANIES I INC
1904	GLENDORA HEALTH CARE CENTER	4.8%	88.7	D	OH	WOOSTER	49	GOLDSTAR CAPITAL PARTNERS LLC
1905	CONTINENTAL NURSING & REHAB CENTER	4.8%	88.7	F	IL	CHICAGO	208	GUBIN ENTERPRISES LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
1906	BETHLEHEM WOODS NURSING AND REHABILITATION	4.8%	88.7	A	IN	FORT WAYNE	90	AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
1907	SCRANTON HEALTH CARE CENTER	4.8%	88.7	C	PA	SCRANTON	44	BNV DYNASTY LLC
1908	HICKORY CREEK AT HUNTINGTON	4.8%	88.7	A	IN	HUNTINGTON	36	AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
1909	PRUITTHEALTH - ATHENS HERITAGE	4.8%	88.7	B	GA	ATHENS	104	UHS PRUITT HOLDINGS INC
1910	LONGWOOD COMMUNITY LIVING CENTER	4.8%	88.7	B	MS	BOONEVILLE	64	COMMUNITY ELDERCARE SERVICES LLC
1911	TALLMADGE HEALTH & REHAB CENTER	4.8%	88.7	C	OH	TALLMADGE	90	BNV DYNASTY LLC
1912	Marley Neck Rehabilitation and Wellness Center	4.8%	88.7	B	MD	GLEN BURNIE	95	RRW LLC
1913	Crystal Ridge Care Center	4.8%	88.7	B	CA	Grass Valley	99	PACS HOLDINGS LLC
1914	COLUMBIA POST ACUTE	4.8%	88.6	B	MO	COLUMBIA	70	PACS HOLDINGS LLC
1915	South Dallas Nursing & Rehabilitation	4.8%	88.6	F	TX	Dallas	0	—
1916	Southwood Nursing and Retirement	4.8%	88.6	B	NC	Clinton	100	LIBERTY HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
1917	SAN DIEGO POST-ACUTE CENTER	4.8%	88.6	B	CA	EL CAJON	240	PACS HOLDINGS LLC
1918	STEELVILLE SENIOR LIVING	4.8%	88.6	D	MO	STEELVILLE	72	—
1919	GREENE COUNTY NURSING HOME	4.8%	88.6	A	AL	EUTAW	72	—
1920	LAWNDALE HEALTHCARE & WELLNESS CENTRE LLC	4.8%	88.6	C	CA	LAWNDALE	59	ROCKPORT ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES LLC
1921	MUSKINGUM SKILLED NURSING & REHABILITATION	4.8%	88.6	C	OH	BEVERLY	50	CONTINUING HEALTHCARE SOLUTIONS INC
1922	PRUITTHEALTH - FITZGERALD	4.8%	88.6	A	GA	FITZGERALD	78	UHS PRUITT HOLDINGS INC
1923	NEW IBERIA MANOR NORTH	4.8%	88.6	C	LA	NEW IBERIA	101	NEXION HEALTH INC
1924	Piney Grove Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	4.8%	88.6	B	NC	Kernersville	92	PRINCIPLE LONG TERM CARE INC
1925	LONGMEADOW HEALTHCARE CENTER	4.8%	88.6	C	TX	JUSTIN	0	FANNIN COUNTY HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
1926	COLONIAL POPLIN NURSING HOME	4.8%	88.6	B	NH	FREMONT	50	MAD FAMILY HOLDINGS LLC
1927	QUAKER HILL MANOR	4.8%	88.6	B	KS	BAXTER SPRINGS	53	AMERICARE SYSTEMS INC
1928	REHABILITATION CENTER AT SANDALWOOD, THE	4.8%	88.6	F	CO	WHEAT RIDGE	103	COLAVRIA HOSPITALITY INC
1929	RIVERWALK POST ACUTE	4.8%	88.6	A	CA	RIVERSIDE	146	PACS HOLDINGS LLC
1930	HIDDEN VALLEY CENTER	4.8%	88.6	C	WV	OAK HILL	80	HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
1931	MIAMI SPRINGS NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	4.8%	88.6	C	FL	MIAMI SPRINGS	269	PHILIPSON FAMILY LIMITED LIABILITY COMPANY LLC
1932	WILLOWS AT BOWLING GREEN THE	4.8%	88.5	A	OH	BOWLING GREEN	50	TRILOGY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
1933	LIFE CARE CENTER OF ACTON	4.8%	88.5	B	MA	ACTON	155	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
1934	REGENCY AT THE PARK	4.8%	88.5	C	WA	COLLEGE PLACE	106	REGENCY PACIFIC MANAGEMENT LLC
1935	CITADEL CARE CENTER-WILMETTE	4.8%	88.5	B	IL	WILMETTE	80	ISRAEL FAMILY INVESTMENT TRUST
1936	CAMELLIA GARDENS OF LIFE CARE	4.8%	88.5	A	GA	THOMASVILLE	83	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
1937	THE REHABILITATION CENTER OF BAKERSFIELD	4.8%	88.5	F	CA	BAKERSFIELD	160	ROCKPORT ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES LLC
1938	The Villa Rehab	4.8%	88.5	B	VT	St. Albans	30	—
1939	CELINA HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	4.8%	88.5	B	TN	CELINA	78	TWIN RIVERS HEALTH & REHABILITATION LLC
1940	LIFE CARE CENTER AT INVERRARY	4.8%	88.5	A	FL	LAUDERHILL	120	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
1941	PRUITTHEALTH - BLUE RIDGE	4.8%	88.5	B	GA	BLUE RIDGE	101	UHS PRUITT HOLDINGS INC
1942	VILLAGE HEALTH & REHABILITATION	4.8%	88.5	C	MT	MISSOULA	193	JOHN B GOODMAN 2006 IRRV GRANTOR TR
1943	SHAWN MANOR NURSING HOME	4.8%	88.5	A	OK	PONCA CITY	96	—
1944	NEIGHBORS HEALTH CENTER	4.8%	88.5	D	IL	BYRON	131	ATIED ASSOCIATES LLC
1945	Orchards of Cascadia, The	4.8%	88.5	B	ID	Nampa	100	CASCADIA HEALTHCARE LLC
1946	TEMPLE MANOR NURSING HOME	4.8%	88.5	B	OK	TEMPLE	48	QUALITY CARE GIVERS INC
1947	APERION CARE MONROE	4.8%	88.5	A	IN	BLOOMINGTON	38	DAVIESS COUNTY HOSPITAL
1948	STONECREST HEALTHCARE	4.8%	88.5	B	MO	VIBURNUM	60	RELIANT CARE MANAGEMENT COMPANY LLC
1949	THE COURTYARD REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	4.8%	88.5	B	TX	VICTORIA	0	GUADALUPE COUNTY HOSPITAL BOARD
1950	THE BLUFFS REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	4.8%	88.5	F	MS	VICKSBURG	107	NEXION HEALTH INC

Showing 1,901–1,950 of 16,900 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.