Ownership-change pipeline

CHOW Radar

p(change of ownership, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

16,900

active SNFs, scored

Model

p_chow_12m v0.1

deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

49.6%

of actual next-12m sales on holdout

Base rate

2.4%

observed 12m CHOW rate, training panels

Ranked by sale probability

2,201–2,250

#	Facility	p(CHOW 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
2201	CENTRO MEDICO WILMA N VAZQUEZ SNF	4.5%	87.0	A	PR	VEGA BAJA	45	—
2202	VALLEY VIEW SENIOR LIFE	4.5%	87.0	B	KS	JUNCTION CITY	100	—
2203	Royal Middletown Nursing Center	4.5%	87.0	F	RI	Middletown	50	—
2204	Ambassador Health of Lincoln	4.5%	87.0	B	NE	Lincoln	122	AMBASSADOR HOLDING COMPANY
2205	BRICKYARD HEALTHCARE - MERRILLVILLE CARE CENTER	4.5%	87.0	B	IN	MERRILLVILLE	164	HENDRICKS COUNTY HOSPITAL
2206	LAKE POINTE VILLAGE	4.5%	87.0	A	IN	SCOTTSBURG	68	AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
2207	OSBORN HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	4.5%	87.0	A	AZ	SCOTTSDALE	130	THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
2208	WADSWORTH GLEN HEALTH CARE AND REHABILITATION CENT	4.5%	86.9	C	CT	MIDDLETOWN	102	ATHENA HEALTH CARE ASSOCIATES INC
2209	Signature Healthcare of McCreary County Rehab and	4.5%	86.9	C	KY	Pine Knot	60	WHEATEN LLC
2210	RIVERSIDE LANDING NURSING AND REHABILITATION	4.5%	86.9	D	OH	MCCONNELSVILLE	50	CONTINUING HEALTHCARE SOLUTIONS INC
2211	The Bartlett Skilled Nursing and Assisted Living	4.5%	86.9	C	TX	El Paso	0	PENAN RETIREMENT CENTERS LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
2212	ARBORS AT GALLIPOLIS	4.5%	86.9	A	OH	GALLIPOLIS	99	B&Y TRUST
2213	OXFORD HEALTH & REHAB CENTER	4.5%	86.9	A	MS	OXFORD	120	ADVANCED HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT INC
2214	MARQUIS CENTENNIAL POST ACUTE REHAB	4.5%	86.9	B	OR	PORTLAND	80	MARQUIS COMPANIES I INC
2215	Las Alturas Nursing & Transitional Care Brownsvill	4.5%	86.9	C	TX	Brownsville	0	TOUCHSTONE COMMUNITIES, INC
2216	ATTALA COUNTY NURSING CENTER	4.5%	86.9	A	MS	KOSCIUSKO	120	PROVIDER PROFESSIONAL SERVICES INC
2217	THE SPRINGS SKILLED NURSING AND THERAPY	4.5%	86.9	A	OK	MUSKOGEE	105	BRIDGES ESOP INC
2218	Sheffield Manor Nursing & Rehabilitation Center	4.5%	86.9	A	MI	Detroit	106	MOHAMMAD A QAZI LIVING TRUST DATED 09 26 97
2219	Richmond Pines Healthcare and Rehabilitation Cente	4.5%	86.9	B	NC	Hamlet	105	PRINCIPLE LONG TERM CARE INC
2220	SALEM CARE CENTER	4.5%	86.9	D	MO	SALEM	60	KRISLEY PROPERTIES LLC
2221	Cedar Pine Post Acute	4.5%	86.9	B	CA	PASADENA	99	—
2222	ASPIRE SENIOR LIVING CARTHAGE	4.5%	86.9	B	MO	CARTHAGE	120	JAMES NORMAN ESTES JR TR
2223	EAGLECREST NURSING AND REHAB	4.5%	86.9	B	AR	ASH FLAT	100	EAGLE HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
2224	Evergreen House Health Center	4.5%	86.9	C	RI	East Providence	160	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
2225	GRANITE HILLS HEALTHCARE & WELLNESS CENTRE, LLC	4.4%	86.8	D	CA	EL CAJON	99	ROCKPORT ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES LLC
2226	The Oaks	4.4%	86.8	B	NC	Winston-Salem	131	LIBERTY HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
2227	BROOKDALE ROSEHILL	4.4%	86.8	B	KS	SHAWNEE	92	BROOKDALE SENIOR LIVING INC
2228	INN AT FREEDOM VILLAGE,THE	4.4%	86.8	A	PA	WEST BRANDYWINE	60	LIFE CARE SERVICES LLC
2229	Aria Nursing and Rehabilitation	4.4%	86.8	C	MI	Lansing	110	CIENA HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT INC
2230	SIGNATURE HEALTHCARE OF PUTNAM COUNTY	4.4%	86.8	B	TN	COOKEVILLE	175	WHEATEN LLC
2231	BROOKDALE PALMER RANCH SNF	4.4%	86.8	B	FL	SARASOTA	60	BROOKDALE SENIOR LIVING INC
2232	PLEASANT HILLS COMMUNITY LIVING CENTER	4.4%	86.8	B	MS	JACKSON	100	COMMUNITY ELDERCARE SERVICES LLC
2233	SAINT JOSEPH TRANSITIONAL REHABILITATION CENTER	4.4%	86.7	B	NV	LAS VEGAS	100	HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
2234	HAVEN OF DOUGLAS	4.4%	86.7	A	AZ	DOUGLAS	60	HEALTH GROUP MANAGEMENT LLC
2235	RAINTREE VILLAGE	4.4%	86.7	A	MO	LEES SUMMIT	40	WSG LLC
2236	Valley Vista Post Acute	4.4%	86.7	C	CA	ESCONDIDO	59	COVENANT CARE LLC
2237	Barbour Court Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	4.4%	86.7	C	NC	Smithfield	165	PRINCIPLE LONG TERM CARE INC
2238	Pruitthealth-Durham	4.4%	86.7	B	NC	Durham	125	UHS PRUITT HOLDINGS INC
2239	SPIRO NURSING HOME, INC.	4.4%	86.7	A	OK	SPIRO	95	—
2240	LIFE CARE CENTER OF PUNTA GORDA	4.4%	86.7	B	FL	PUNTA GORDA	180	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
2241	GATEWAY POST ACUTE	4.4%	86.7	B	CA	PORTERVILLE	62	PACS HOLDINGS LLC
2242	SAN FRANCISCO HEALTH CARE	4.4%	86.7	C	CA	SAN FRANCISCO	168	—
2243	Accura Healthcare of Ames, LLC	4.4%	86.7	C	IA	Ames	75	AMERICAN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
2244	San Luis Transitional Care	4.4%	86.7	A	CA	San Luis Obispo	23	COMPASS HEALTH INC
2245	THE MAPLES AT HAR-BER MEADOWS	4.4%	86.7	B	AR	SPRINGDALE	140	RHC OPERATIONS INC
2246	STONEBRIDGE CHILLICOTHE	4.4%	86.7	C	MO	CHILLICOTHE	75	BRIDGE REHABILITATION INC
2247	ANDOVER VILLAGE RETIREMENT COMMUNITY	4.4%	86.7	A	OH	ANDOVER	99	VRC MANAGEMENT INC
2248	Heritage Healthcare of Hammond	4.4%	86.7	B	LA	HAMMOND	108	QSST TRUST FOR MARSHALL TODD QUIRK
2249	Signature Healthcare at Hillcrest	4.4%	86.7	C	KY	Owensboro	156	WHEATEN LLC
2250	NHC HEALTHCARE, MOULTON	4.4%	86.7	B	AL	MOULTON	136	NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORPORATION

Showing 2,201–2,250 of 16,900 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.