Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

4,851–4,900

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
4851	MEDICALODGES LEAVENWORTH	0.3%	68.1	B	KS	LEAVENWORTH	45	MEDICALODGES INC
4852	GOOD SAMARITAN SOCIETY - ELLSWORTH VILLAGE	0.3%	68.1	F	KS	ELLSWORTH	43	SANFORD
4853	PARAMOUNT COMMUNITY LIVING AND REHAB INC	0.3%	68.1	B	KS	NEWTON	101	—
4854	CRESTWOOD MANOR - FREMONT	0.3%	68.1	A	CA	FREMONT	126	—
4855	MEADOWS PARK HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.3%	68.1	A	GA	VIDALIA	75	COMMUNITY HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
4856	Warsaw Rehabilitation and Healthcare Center	0.3%	68.1	B	NC	Warsaw	100	—
4857	VALLEY HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.3%	68.1	—	KS	VALLEY FALLS	40	—
4858	STARR COUNTY NURSING AND TRANSITIONAL CARE	0.3%	68.1	D	TX	RIO GRANDE CITY	0	REGENCY INTEGRATED HEALTH SERVICES LLC
4859	State Center Specialty Care	0.3%	68.1	B	IA	State Center	39	CARE INITIATIVES
4860	APPLE CREEK HEALTH AND REHAB, LLC	0.3%	68.1	C	AR	CENTERTON	114	—
4861	HAMPTON PLACE HEALTHCARE, LLC	0.3%	68.1	B	AR	ROGERS	140	—
4862	IRVING PARK LIVING & REHAB CTR	0.3%	68.1	D	IL	CHICAGO	117	—
4863	SAINT MARY HOME	0.3%	68.1	B	CT	WEST HARTFORD	256	TRINITY HEALTH CORPORATION
4864	MALTA HOME	0.3%	68.1	—	PA	GRANVILLE	40	—
4865	AVIATA AT EMERALD SHORES	0.3%	68.1	B	FL	CALLAWAY	77	—
4866	MARSHALL MANOR NURSING HOME	0.3%	68.1	A	AL	GUNTERSVILLE	91	—
4867	VICTORIAN VILLAGE HLTH & WELL	0.3%	68.1	A	IL	HOMER GLEN	50	REST HAVEN ILLIANA CHRISTIAN CONVALESCENT HOME
4868	LEDGECREST HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.3%	68.1	B	CT	KENSINGTON	60	—
4869	Anamosa Care Center	0.3%	68.1	A	IA	Anamosa	64	JOHN W GRUBB TRUST
4870	RIDGEVIEW REHABILITATION AND SKILLED NURSING	0.3%	68.1	B	TX	CLEBURNE	0	DALLAS COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
4871	La Vida Llena	0.3%	68.1	B	NM	Albuquerque	50	HAVERLAND CARTER LIFESTYLE GROUP OPERATING LLC
4872	JOHNSON COUNTY HEALTH AND REHAB, LLC	0.3%	68.1	C	AR	CLARKSVILLE	140	—
4873	A.G. RHODES HOME, INC, THE	0.3%	68.1	A	GA	ATLANTA	138	UNIDINE CORPORATION
4874	WORKMENS CIRCLE MULTICARE CENTER	0.3%	68.1	A	NY	BRONX	524	—
4875	MANOR AT BLUE WATER BAY, THE	0.3%	68.1	A	FL	NICEVILLE	120	—
4876	SUN TERRACE HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.3%	68.1	A	FL	SUN CITY CENTER	130	—
4877	FOX SUBACUTE AT SOUTH PHILADELPHIA	0.3%	68.1	A	PA	PHILADELPHIA	53	FOX SUBACUTE MANAGEMENT INC
4878	KENSINGTON HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.3%	68.1	A	AL	MOBILE	120	—
4879	STATEN ISLAND CARE CENTER	0.3%	68.1	B	NY	STATEN ISLAND	300	—
4880	VANCREST OF ADA	0.3%	68.1	A	OH	ADA	60	—
4881	OUR LADY OF WISDOM COMMUNITY CARE CENTER	0.3%	68.1	A	LA	NEW ORLEANS	138	COMMCARE MANAGEMENT CORPORATION
4882	SOLARIS HEALTHCARE DAYTONA	0.3%	68.1	A	FL	DAYTONA BEACH	73	SOLARIS FOUNDATION INC
4883	BAPTIST HOMES OF ARCADIA VALLEY	0.3%	68.1	A	MO	IRONTON	36	—
4884	STILLWATER SKILLED NURSING AND REHABILITATION	0.3%	68.1	C	OH	COVINGTON	75	—
4885	River Oaks Health & Rehabilitation	0.3%	68.1	C	KY	Louisville	122	—
4886	Golden Age Operations	0.3%	68.1	B	SC	Inman	44	YAKAR HOLDINGS LLC
4887	EVERCARE OF BREESE	0.3%	68.1	C	IL	BREESE	112	—
4888	TRANQUILITY OF RICHMOND HEIGHTS	0.3%	68.1	B	OH	RICHMOND HEIGHTS	60	—
4889	AVIATA AT PALM BAY	0.3%	68.1	D	FL	PALM BAY	120	—
4890	HERITAGE INN OF SANDERSVILLE HEALTH AND REHAB	0.3%	68.1	A	GA	SANDERSVILLE	60	COMMUNITY HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
4891	WILLOWBROOKE COURT-GRANITE	0.3%	68.1	A	PA	MEDIA	10	ACTS MANAGEMENT SERVICES INC
4892	CLINTON HEALTHCARE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.3%	68.1	D	MO	CLINTON	120	SOVEREIGN HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
4893	RENNES HEALTH AND REHAB CENTER-RHINELANDER	0.3%	68.1	C	WI	RHINELANDER	122	—
4894	NEW YORK CENTER FOR REHABILITATION & NURSING	0.3%	68.1	A	NY	ASTORIA	280	—
4895	Emerald Nursing & Rehab Brookside LLC	0.3%	68.1	D	NE	Lincoln	173	—
4896	ASBURY PLACE KINGSPORT	0.3%	68.1	D	TN	KINGSPORT	67	ASBURY COMMUNITIES INC
4897	LUTHERAN COMMUNITY HOME	0.3%	67.6	A	IN	SEYMOUR	95	JACKSON COUNTY SCHNECK MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
4898	APPLEWOOD REHABILITATION INC	0.3%	67.6	—	KS	CHANUTE	45	—
4899	WINDSOR PARK REHAB & NURSING CENTER	0.3%	67.6	B	NY	QUEENS VILLAGE	70	—
4900	CENTER AT ARROWHEAD, LLC	0.3%	67.6	A	AZ	GLENDALE	96	VERITAS MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC

Showing 4,851–4,900 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.