Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

6,451–6,500

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
6451	AVIATA AT VENICE	0.1%	57.2	C	FL	VENICE	120	—
6452	RED BOILING SPRINGS TN OPCO LLC	0.1%	57.2	A	TN	RED BOILING SPRINGS	119	ZANZIPER FAMILY TRUST
6453	BUCHANAN PLACE	0.1%	57.2	B	TN	NEW TAZEWELL	134	MEDICAL REHABILITATION CENTERS LLC
6454	SHERBROOKE VILLAGE	0.1%	57.2	B	MO	SAINT LOUIS	149	10 26 NATIONWIDE TR
6455	Green Meadow Haven	0.1%	57.2	A	LA	Coushatta	157	—
6456	Bayside Care Center	0.1%	57.2	B	CA	Morro Bay	145	COMPASS HEALTH INC
6457	FOUNTAINBLEAU NURSING CENTER	0.1%	57.2	B	MO	FESTUS	116	—
6458	McAllen Transitional Care Center	0.1%	57.2	C	TX	Mc Allen	0	FANNIN COUNTY HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
6459	MCCRITE PLAZA AT BRIARCLIFF SKILLED FACILITY	0.1%	57.2	C	MO	KANSAS CITY	56	—
6460	Home of the Innocents	0.1%	57.2	A	KY	Louisville	76	—
6461	ATHENS NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	57.2	C	PA	ATHENS	90	SUMMATION FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC
6462	Mclean Care Center	0.1%	57.2	B	TX	Mclean	0	HONOR X ENTERPRISES LLC
6463	OAK RIDGE HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.1%	57.2	C	AR	EL DORADO	180	RHC OPERATIONS INC
6464	RIVERSIDE MANOR NRSG & REHAB CTR	0.1%	57.2	B	OH	NEWCOMERSTOWN	80	—
6465	WATERS OF COLUMBIA CITY SKILLED NURSING FACILITY	0.1%	57.2	C	IN	COLUMBIA CITY	84	JOHNSON MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
6466	Brookside Care Center	0.1%	57.2	B	WI	KENOSHA	154	—
6467	WELLSVILLE MANOR CARE CENTER	0.1%	57.2	A	NY	WELLSVILLE	120	LUBA SCHULSINGER ESTATE
6468	Westpark Rehabilitation and Living	0.1%	57.2	F	TX	Euless	0	EASTLAND MEMORIAL HOSPITAL DISTRICT
6469	THE GRAND REHABILITATION AND NRSG AT CHITTENANGO	0.1%	57.2	C	NY	CHITTENANGO	80	—
6470	PEARL AT KRUSE WAY, The	0.1%	57.2	B	OR	LAKE OSWEGO	74	AVAMERE GROUP LLC
6471	GLADES WEST REHABILITATION AND NURSING C	0.1%	57.2	A	FL	PEMBROKE PINES	120	—
6472	EXCEPTIONAL CARE FOR CHILDREN	0.1%	57.2	A	DE	NEWARK	46	—
6473	Scenery Hills Rehabilitation and Healthcare Center	0.1%	57.2	A	PA	INDIANA	56	—
6474	Inman Healthcare	0.1%	57.2	A	SC	Inman	40	YAKAR HOLDINGS LLC
6475	DYERSBURG HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	57.2	B	TN	DYERSBURG	123	CHAMPION CARE LLC
6476	MOZAIC SENIOR LIFE	0.1%	57.2	C	CT	BRIDGEPORT	294	—
6477	O'NEILL HEALTHCARE FAIRVIEW PARK	0.1%	57.2	A	OH	FAIRVIEW PARK	118	O NEILL MANAGEMENT LLC
6478	Stanton Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	57.2	A	KY	Stanton	81	—
6479	NORTHWOOD SKILLED NURSING AND REHABILITATION	0.1%	57.2	D	OH	SPRINGFIELD	85	—
6480	SHORESIDE HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	57.2	A	FL	MIAMI	150	—
6481	WILLIAM PENN CARE CENTER	0.1%	57.2	C	PA	JEANNETTE	145	—
6482	Monument Healthcare Pioneer Trail	0.1%	57.2	B	UT	Brigham City	72	HEALTH GROUP MANAGEMENT LLC
6483	MAJESTIC CARE OF BEDFORD	0.1%	57.2	C	IN	BEDFORD	142	COLUMBUS REGIONAL HOSPITAL
6484	DARWAY HEALTHCARE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	57.2	A	PA	FORKSVILLE	67	—
6485	AUTUMN LAKE HEALTHCARE AT CRYSTAL SPRINGS	0.1%	57.2	D	WV	ELKINS	84	NELLAS OPCO HOLDCO LLC
6486	RENAISSANCE REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	57.2	B	TX	ITALY	0	WEST WHARTON COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
6487	Pine Knoll Path of Journey LLC	0.1%	57.2	B	GA	CARROLLTON	122	CYPRESS OPERATING LLC
6488	ATRIUM HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	57.2	F	IL	CHICAGO	160	—
6489	CLERMONT HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	57.2	A	FL	CLERMONT	182	CONSULTING SUPPORT SERVICES LLC
6490	Waterbury Center For Nursing & Rehabilitation Llc	0.1%	57.2	B	CT	WATERBURY	120	—
6491	Windmill Manor	0.1%	57.2	A	IA	Coralville	120	RESIDENTIAL ALTERNATIVES OF ILLINOIS INC
6492	CHARLOTTE BAY REHAB AND CARE CENTER	0.1%	57.2	D	FL	PORT CHARLOTTE	164	—
6493	OCEAN VIEW POST ACUTE	0.1%	57.2	B	CA	ESCONDIDO	120	—
6494	FORT GIBSON CARE & REHAB CENTER	0.1%	57.2	C	OK	FORT GIBSON	66	JFB OK TRUST
6495	Presbyterian Homes-Presby	0.1%	57.2	C	PA	HOLLIDAYSBURG	67	PHI
6496	PARKVIEW HEALTHCARE	0.1%	57.2	D	MO	KANSAS CITY	120	—
6497	ANDERSONVILLE TN OPCO LLC	0.1%	57.2	A	TN	ANDERSONVILLE	103	—
6498	REGENCY CARE OF COPLEY	0.1%	57.2	A	OH	AKRON	70	—
6499	THE FIVE TOWNS PREMIER REHAB & NURSING CENTER	0.1%	57.2	C	NY	WOODMERE	336	—
6500	STONEGATES	0.1%	57.2	A	DE	GREENVILLE	49	—

Showing 6,451–6,500 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.