Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

6,801–6,850

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
6801	HARMONY POINTE CARE CENTER	0.1%	54.9	B	CO	LAKEWOOD	125	LONG PEAK OPCO LLC
6802	COLUMBINE WEST HEALTH AND REHAB LLC	0.1%	54.9	C	CO	FORT COLLINS	100	COLUMBINE MANAGEMENT SERVICES INC
6803	TIPTON OAK MANOR	0.1%	54.9	B	MO	TIPTON	66	LTC MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
6804	TRUMAN W SMITH CHILDREN'S CARE CENTER	0.1%	54.9	A	TX	GLADEWATER	120	—
6805	VIVO HEALTHCARE LAKELAND	0.1%	54.9	C	FL	LAKELAND	185	ASMSY LLC
6806	FOCUSED CARE AT HAMILTON	0.1%	54.9	A	TX	HAMILTON	0	HAMILTON COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
6807	MATADOR HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	54.9	A	TX	MATADOR	0	CHILDRESS COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
6808	REGEIS CARE CENTER	0.1%	54.9	B	NY	BRONX	236	—
6809	NORTHVIEW HEALTH AND LIVING	0.1%	54.9	B	IN	ANDERSON	94	PUTNAM COUNTY HOSPITAL
6810	THE COURTYARDS AT PASADENA	0.1%	54.9	C	TX	PASADENA	0	LIBERTY COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT NO 1
6811	KIRKSVILLE MANOR CARE CENTER	0.1%	54.9	F	MO	KIRKSVILLE	119	JUCKETTE MANAGEMENT SERVICES INC
6812	LEXINGTON POST ACUTE	0.1%	54.9	F	TN	LEXINGTON	118	AHP ORCHARDS LLC
6813	CRESTVIEW COURT	0.1%	54.9	C	TX	CEDAR HILL	0	DALLAS COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
6814	Treemont Health Care Center	0.1%	54.9	A	TX	Houston	0	FRIO HOSPITAL DISTRICT
6815	WINSTON MANOR CNV & NURSING	0.1%	54.9	D	IL	CHICAGO	180	—
6816	NORTH SHORE HEALTH & REHAB FACILITY	0.1%	54.9	B	CO	LOVELAND	120	QP HEALTH CARE SERVICES LLC
6817	COLONY CENTER FOR HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.1%	54.9	C	MA	ABINGTON	92	AMNH LLC
6818	BONNER SPRINGS NURSING & REHAB CENTER	0.1%	54.9	B	KS	BONNER SPRINGS	45	CGHII INC
6819	ST CATHERINES LIVING CENTER	0.1%	54.9	C	ND	WAHPETON	49	BENEDICTINE HEALTH SYSTEM
6820	PARKSIDE AT BUDD TERRACE OPERATING COMPANY LLC	0.1%	54.9	C	GA	ATLANTA	250	—
6821	MOUNTAIN VIEW CARE CENTER	0.1%	54.9	A	NV	BOULDER CITY	87	—
6822	LEA HILL REHABILITATION AND CARE CENTER	0.1%	54.9	C	WA	AUBURN	36	—
6823	THE CHATEAU AT BROOKLYN REHAB AND NURSING CENTER	0.1%	54.9	A	NY	BROOKLYN	189	—
6824	MID VALLEY NURSING & REHABILITATION	0.1%	54.9	F	TX	MERCEDES	0	UVALDE COUNTY HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
6825	ENVIVE OF SULLIVAN	0.1%	54.9	C	IN	SULLIVAN	77	ADAMS COUNTY MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
6826	THE ELLINGTON	0.1%	54.9	B	LA	RAYNE	120	—
6827	Guest House Nursing and Rehabilitation	0.1%	54.9	C	LA	WEST MONROE	140	—
6828	Good Samaritan Society - Grand Island Village	0.1%	54.9	F	NE	Grand Island	67	SANFORD
6829	ARK HEALTHCARE & REHABILITATION AT ST. CAMILLUS	0.1%	54.9	C	CT	STAMFORD	124	—
6830	OAK HILL REHABILITATION & HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	54.9	B	PA	GREENSBURG	48	RAINTREE CONSULTING GROUP LLC
6831	CARNEGIE POST ACUTE CARE AT PRINCETON LLC	0.1%	54.9	C	NJ	PRINCETON	180	JOES BEACH LLC
6832	Cedar Pine Post Acute	0.1%	54.9	B	CA	PASADENA	99	—
6833	St Joseph of Harahan	0.1%	54.9	B	LA	Harahan	206	MEDICO LLC
6834	SAPPHIRE NURSING AT MEADOW HILL	0.1%	54.9	B	NY	NEWBURGH	190	—
6835	AVAMERE AT THREE FOUNTAINS	0.1%	54.9	C	OR	MEDFORD	117	AVAMERE GROUP LLC
6836	AUBURN VILLAGE	0.1%	54.9	A	IN	AUBURN	111	DECATUR COUNTY MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
6837	CEDAR GROVE RESPIRATORY AND NURSING CENTER	0.1%	54.9	A	NJ	WILLIAMSTOWN	180	—
6838	REHABILITATION & NURSING CENTER AT EVERETT (THE)	0.1%	54.9	B	MA	EVERETT	183	—
6839	GARDEN TERRACE HEALTHCARE CENTER OF FORT WORTH	0.1%	54.9	F	TX	FORT WORTH	0	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
6840	Carmel Manor	0.1%	54.9	C	KY	Fort Thomas	95	THE CARMELITE SYSTEM INC
6841	SUTTER SOLANO MEDICAL CTR SNF	0.1%	54.9	—	CA	VALLEJO	0	SUTTER VALLEY HOSPITALS
6842	BIG SPRING CENTER FOR SKILLED CARE	0.1%	54.9	D	TX	BIG SPRING	0	HONOR X ENTERPRISES LLC
6843	THRIVE OF LAKE COUNTY	0.1%	54.9	F	IL	MUNDELEIN	185	LOCKWOOD INVESTMENTS LLC
6844	PREMIER WASHINGTON REHABILITATION AND NURSING CTR	0.1%	54.9	B	PA	WASHINGTON	288	CRESTVIEW 360 HOLDINGS LLC
6845	LINWOOD NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	54.9	D	PA	SCRANTON	102	PENNSYLVANIA LTC INC
6846	GRAND LAKE VILLA	0.1%	54.9	A	OK	GROVE	100	MARSH POINTE MANAGEMENT LLC
6847	DIVERSICARE OF OAK RIDGE	0.1%	54.9	C	TN	OAK RIDGE	120	DAC ACQUISITION LLC
6848	LEGACY NURSING AND REHABILITATION OF POLLOCK	0.1%	54.9	A	LA	POLLOCK	103	—
6849	WESTMINSTER VILLAGE - WEST LAFAYETTE	0.1%	54.9	A	IN	WEST LAFAYETTE	72	LIFE CARE SERVICES LLC
6850	LAMUN-LUSK-SANCHEZ TEXAS STATE VETERANS HOME	0.1%	54.9	A	TX	BIG SPRING	160	CARE INNS OF TEXAS TEMPLE LTD

Showing 6,801–6,850 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.