Ownership-change pipeline

CHOW Radar

p(change of ownership, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

16,900

active SNFs, scored

Model

p_chow_12m v0.1

deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

49.6%

of actual next-12m sales on holdout

Base rate

2.4%

observed 12m CHOW rate, training panels

Ranked by sale probability

7,451–7,500

#	Facility	p(CHOW 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
7451	SOUTHLAND HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.6%	55.8	B	GA	PEACHTREE CITY	155	COMMUNITY HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
7452	MEADOW LANE RESTORATIVE CARE CENTER	0.6%	55.8	B	MN	BENSON	63	—
7453	ROLLING MEADOWS HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.6%	55.8	B	IN	LA FONTAINE	115	RIVERVIEW HOSPITAL
7454	MEADOWVIEW NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.6%	55.8	C	NJ	NORTHFIELD	180	—
7455	HOLIDAY HEIGHTS HEALTHCARE	0.6%	55.8	A	OK	NORMAN	51	BRIDGES ESOP INC
7456	ST. ANNE'S HOME	0.6%	55.8	A	CA	SAN FRANCISCO	46	—
7457	CLARA CITY CARE CENTER	0.6%	55.8	B	MN	CLARA CITY	48	—
7458	MAYERS MEMORIAL HOSPITAL	0.6%	55.8	A	CA	FALL RIVER MILLS	99	MAYERS MEMORIAL HOSPITAL DISTRICT
7459	SKAALEN NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.6%	55.8	B	WI	STOUGHTON	70	—
7460	VISTA VIEW CARE CENTER	0.6%	55.8	—	CO	THORNTON	25	—
7461	SAINT VINCENT REHABILITATION & NURSING CENTER	0.6%	55.8	B	NH	BERLIN	80	NH CATHOLIC CHARITIES INC
7462	Harrington Park Health And Rehabilitation	0.6%	55.8	B	GA	AUGUSTA	58	COMMUNITY HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
7463	Sutton Community Home, Inc.	0.6%	55.8	A	NE	Sutton	31	—
7464	LECOM AT PRESQUE ISLE, INC	0.6%	55.6	C	PA	ERIE	135	MILLCREEK HEALTH SYSTEM
7465	Little Falls Care Center	0.6%	55.6	C	MN	LITTLE FALLS	64	ST FRANCIS HEALTH SERVICES OF MORRIS INC
7466	TOUCHMARK ON SOUTH HILL NURSING	0.6%	55.6	D	WA	SPOKANE	57	—
7467	Mirabella	0.6%	55.6	C	WA	SEATTLE	46	PACIFIC RETIREMENT SERVICES INC
7468	MIRABELLA AT ASU	0.6%	55.6	B	AZ	TEMPE	21	PACIFIC RETIREMENT SERVICES INC
7469	SETTLERS RIDGE CARE CENTER	0.6%	55.6	C	TX	CELINA	0	SOUTH LIMESTONE HOSPITAL DISTRICT
7470	Good Samaritan - Forest City	0.6%	55.6	C	IA	Forest City	43	THE EVANGELICAL LUTHERAN GOOD SAMARITAN SOCIETY
7471	Good Samaritan Society - Comforcare	0.6%	55.6	B	MN	AUSTIN	45	SANFORD
7472	NATIONAL CHURCH RESIDENCES BRISTOL VILLAGE	0.6%	55.6	B	OH	WAVERLY	40	NATIONAL CHURCH RESIDENCES HEALTH CARE
7473	SALEM VILLAGE NURSING & REHAB	0.6%	55.6	D	IL	JOLIET	266	—
7474	BERKELEY SQUARE RETIREMENT CEN	0.6%	55.6	B	OH	HAMILTON	33	SELECT REHABILITATION LLC
7475	St William's Care Center	0.6%	55.6	C	SD	MILBANK	60	—
7476	Flaget Memorial Hospital NF	0.6%	55.6	—	KY	Bardstown	12	—
7477	Westhaven Community	0.6%	55.6	B	IA	Boone	100	—
7478	LAKESIDE NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.6%	55.6	B	TX	SAN ANTONIO	0	WEST WHARTON COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
7479	Brookdale Anderson	0.6%	55.6	C	SC	Anderson	44	—
7480	BETHESDA HOME	0.6%	55.6	B	KS	GOESSEL	57	—
7481	The Preston Health Center	0.6%	55.6	A	SC	Hilton Head Island	62	LIFE CARE SERVICES LLC
7482	ENMOTION RECOVERY CARE	0.6%	55.6	C	IN	DANVILLE	26	—
7483	Sanford Senior Care Sheldon	0.6%	55.6	D	IA	Sheldon	70	—
7484	MATTATUCK HEALTH CARE FACILITY, INC.	0.6%	55.6	—	CT	WATERBURY	43	—
7485	ROCHESTER RESIDENCE AND CARE CENTER	0.6%	55.6	F	PA	ROCHESTER	119	POLLAK HOLDINGS LLC
7486	CHRISTIAN NURSING HOME	0.6%	55.6	D	IL	LINCOLN	124	—
7487	Samaritan Bethany Home On Eighth	0.6%	55.6	B	MN	ROCHESTER	128	—
7488	Mount St Rita Health Centre	0.6%	55.6	C	RI	Cumberland	98	COVENANT HEALTH
7489	WYNFIELD PARK HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.6%	55.6	B	GA	ALBANY	186	COMMUNITY HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
7490	THE TERRACE AT CANNON FALLS	0.6%	55.6	F	MN	CANNON FALLS	64	—
7491	Platte Care Center	0.6%	55.6	B	SD	PLATTE	48	—
7492	HEALTH CENTER AT GLENBURN HOME	0.6%	55.6	B	IN	LINTON	133	GREENE COUNTY GENERAL HOSPITAL
7493	Northern Westchester Hospital T C U	0.6%	55.6	—	NY	Mount Kisco	12	Northern Westchester Hosp Assoc Inc
7494	BROOKSVILLE HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.6%	55.6	C	FL	BROOKSVILLE	180	HEALTH SERVICES MANAGEMENT INC
7495	GUADALUPE VALLEY NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.6%	55.6	C	TX	SEGUIN	0	MEDINA COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
7496	Good Shepherd Services LTD	0.6%	55.6	A	WI	Seymour	50	—
7497	CRIPPLE CREEK CARE CENTER	0.6%	55.6	F	CO	CRIPPLE CREEK	59	—
7498	Five Points of Pflugerville	0.6%	55.6	D	TX	PFLUGERVILLE	0	GUADALUPE COUNTY HOSPITAL BOARD
7499	HILLCREEK REHAB AND CARE, LLC	0.6%	55.6	D	KY	LOUISVILLE	172	—
7500	ENGLEWOOD HEALTH & REHABILITATION CENTER	0.6%	55.6	A	IN	FORT WAYNE	64	RIVERVIEW HOSPITAL

Showing 7,451–7,500 of 16,900 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.