Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

7,901–7,950

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
7901	CENTER FOR ADVANCED REHAB AT PARKSIDE, THE	0.1%	47.1	A	GA	ROSSVILLE	125	—
7902	ALDEN POPLAR CREEK REHAB & HCC	0.1%	47.1	F	IL	HOFFMAN ESTATES	217	ALDEN MANAGEMENT SERVICES INC
7903	CALVERT COUNTY NURSING CTR.	0.1%	47.1	C	MD	PRINCE FREDERICK	149	LME FAMILY HOLDINGS LLC
7904	BETZ NURSING HOME	0.1%	47.1	B	IN	AUBURN	114	AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
7905	BEAUVAIS REHAB AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	47.1	C	MO	SAINT LOUIS	184	AMA HOLDINGS LLC
7906	PALMS AT SEBRING NURSING AND REHABILITATION THE	0.1%	47.1	C	FL	SEBRING	120	HCFL HOLDINGS LLC
7907	THE BLOSSOMS AT VAN BUREN REHAB AND NURSING CENTER	0.1%	47.1	C	AR	VAN BUREN	129	ZCS AR OPCO LLC
7908	COUNTRY MEADOWS	0.1%	47.1	B	MO	PARK HILLS	72	LTC MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
7909	EDEN VISTA PROSPECT HEIGHTS	0.1%	47.1	B	IL	PROSPECT HEIGHTS	30	CHICAGOLAND SENIOR LIVING HOLDINGS LLC
7910	DEER MEADOWS REHABILITATION AND NURSING	0.1%	47.1	C	VA	ABINGDON	119	YDI IRREVOCABLE TRUST
7911	Westwood Nursing Center	0.1%	47.1	C	MI	Detroit	108	—
7912	BENSON HEIGHTS REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	47.1	A	WA	KENT	91	AVALON HEALTH CARE INC
7913	Edenbrook of Appleton North	0.1%	47.1	B	WI	Appleton	95	—
7914	ADVANCED CARE OF ST JOSEPH	0.1%	47.1	C	MO	SAINT JOSEPH	180	VHS MO OPCO HOLDINGS LLC
7915	WATKINS-LOGAN-GARRISON TEXAS STATE VETERAN'S HOME	0.1%	47.1	B	TX	TYLER	100	—
7916	FIFTH AVENUE HEALTH CARE	0.1%	47.1	F	GA	ROME	100	EMPLOYEE STOCK OWNERSHIP PLAN OF SELECT HEALTH CARE INC TRUST
7917	Santa Rosa Care Center	0.1%	47.1	A	AZ	TUCSON	144	—
7918	ATRIUM PLACE HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.1%	47.1	C	MO	SAINT LOUIS	120	VHS MO OPCO HOLDINGS LLC
7919	Grace Skilled Nursing and Therapy Jenks	0.1%	47.1	D	OK	Jenks	187	BRIDGES ESOP INC
7920	Sunny Hill Care Center	0.1%	47.1	C	IA	Tama	57	LTC ACCOUNTING SERVICES LLC
7921	BURBANK PARKE CARE CENTER	0.1%	47.1	A	OH	BURBANK	81	JAG HEALTHCARE INC
7922	CAREONE AT ORADELL	0.1%	47.1	D	NJ	ORADELL	154	HEALTHBRIDGE MANAGEMENT LLC
7923	Murphy Rehabilitation & Nursing	0.1%	47.1	B	NC	Murphy	134	CENTURY CARE MANAGEMENT INC
7924	MARSHFIELD CARE CENTER FOR REHAB AND HEALTHCARE	0.1%	47.1	F	MO	MARSHFIELD	74	DKDP MISSOURI LLC
7925	THE PINES NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	47.1	C	AR	HOT SPRINGS	125	JEJ ASSETS LP
7926	AVANT REHABILITATION AND CARE CENTER	0.1%	47.1	B	NJ	TRENTON	149	—
7927	WILLOWS OF NEW CASTLE	0.1%	47.1	C	IN	NEW CASTLE	95	HENRY COUNTY MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
7928	Springfield Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	47.1	B	KY	Springfield	70	GGKY OPCO LLC
7929	The Blossoms at Breckenridge Rehab & Nursing Cente	0.1%	47.1	D	AR	LITTLE ROCK	143	HEALTHCARE INVESTMENT HOLDINGS LLC
7930	REMINGTON TRANSITIONAL CARE OF SAN ANTONIO	0.1%	47.1	B	TX	SAN ANTONIO	60	REGENCY INTEGRATED HEALTH SERVICES LLC
7931	IGNITE MEDICAL RESORT ST PETERS	0.1%	47.1	A	MO	SAINT PETERS	91	—
7932	Chatham Nursing & Rehabilitation	0.1%	47.1	B	NC	Elkin	99	CENTURY CARE MANAGEMENT INC
7933	AVIATA AT GREEN COVE SPRINGS	0.1%	47.1	B	FL	GREEN COVE SPRINGS	120	GRAF HOLDINGS LLC
7934	CHAUTAUQUA SPRINGS HEALTH CENTER	0.1%	47.1	B	FL	DEFUNIAK SPRINGS	180	ZBL 18 LLC
7935	Trinity Grove	0.1%	47.1	B	NC	Wilmington	100	LSA MANAGEMENT INC
7936	Capitol House Nursing and Rehab Center	0.1%	47.1	B	LA	Baton Rouge	132	PTM 2018 FAMILY TRUST
7937	WHEATLAND NURSING & REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	47.1	B	KS	RUSSELL	45	AMERICARE SYSTEMS INC
7938	LIFE CARE CENTER OF BRUCETON-HOLLOW ROCK	0.1%	47.1	B	TN	BRUCETON	130	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
7939	Hyden Health and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	47.1	B	KY	Hyden	94	SEKY HOLDING CO
7940	CHERRYDALE HEALTH & REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	47.1	C	VA	ARLINGTON	210	—
7941	FAIRMONT MEDICAL CENTER	0.1%	47.1	A	WV	FAIRMONT	30	WEST VIRGINIA UNITED HEALTH SYSTEM INC
7942	LIFE CARE CENTER OF GREELEY	0.1%	47.1	C	CO	GREELEY	124	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
7943	Presbyterian Home Of South Carolina-Columbia	0.1%	47.1	A	SC	Lexington	22	PRESBYTERIAN COMMUNITIES OF SOUTH CAROLINA
7944	NOTTINGHAM VILLAGE	0.1%	47.1	B	PA	NORTHUMBERLAND	121	—
7945	The Oaks at Jamestown	0.1%	47.1	A	MI	Hudsonville	58	TRILOGY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
7946	VANTAGE HEALTH & REHAB OF NEW BEDFORD	0.1%	47.1	B	MA	NEW BEDFORD	80	—
7947	MILLER'S MERRY MANOR	0.1%	47.1	B	IN	CULVER	66	JOHNSON MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
7948	North Pointe Nursing and Rehabilitation	0.1%	47.1	F	TX	Watauga	0	HONOR X ENTERPRISES LLC
7949	WESTMINSTER VILLAGE NORTH	0.1%	47.1	C	IN	INDIANAPOLIS	148	HANCOCK REGIONAL HOSPITAL
7950	Wisconsin Rapids Health Services	0.1%	47.1	C	WI	Wisconsin Rapids	114	NORTH SHORE HEALTHCARE LLC

Showing 7,901–7,950 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.