Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

8,101–8,150

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
8101	FOCUSED CARE AT CLARKSVILLE	0.1%	47.1	D	TX	CLARKSVILLE	0	FOCUSED POST ACUTE CARE PARTNERS LLC
8102	GARDEN CREST REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	47.1	A	CA	LOS ANGELES	72	—
8103	VACAVILLE RANCH POST ACUTE	0.1%	47.1	B	CA	VACAVILLE	87	—
8104	Majestic Care of Bryan	0.1%	47.1	D	OH	BRYAN	149	OHIO CARE SKLD LLC
8105	CARECORE AT LIMA	0.1%	47.1	C	OH	LIMA	88	CARECORE HEALTH LLC
8106	COUNTRY CLUB REHAB AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	47.1	C	MO	WARRENSBURG	73	AMA HOLDINGS LLC
8107	BEEGHLY OAKS CENTER FOR REHABILITATION & HEALING	0.1%	47.1	C	OH	YOUNGSTOWN	115	SAM INVESTMENTS LLC
8108	Stillwater Assisted Living and Skilled Nursing Com	0.1%	47.1	A	RI	Greenville	80	EDEN HEALTHCARE LLC
8109	Good Samaritan - Algona	0.1%	47.1	D	IA	Algona	72	SANFORD
8110	IVY AT DEER LODGE	0.1%	47.1	C	MT	DEER LODGE	60	—
8111	Thomasville Vistas of Journey LLC	0.1%	47.1	B	GA	THOMASVILLE	52	—
8112	MARQUIS TUALATIN POST ACUTE REHAB	0.1%	47.1	A	OR	TUALATIN	54	MARQUIS COMPANIES I INC
8113	White Oak Manor - Burlington	0.1%	47.1	B	NC	Burlington	160	WHITE OAK MANAGEMENT INC
8114	Colonial Oaks Skilled Nursing and Rehabilitation	0.1%	47.1	D	LA	Bossier City	120	PRIORITY MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC
8115	Sheridan Health and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	47.1	C	WI	KENOSHA	81	—
8116	PARKSIDE VILLA	0.1%	47.1	B	OH	MIDDLEBURG HEIGHTS	178	CHAVOS221 HOLDINGS LLC
8117	OAKWOOD MANOR NURSING HOME	0.1%	47.1	B	TX	VIDOR	0	TYLER COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
8118	GOOD SAMARITAN NURSING HOME OPERATOR, LLC	0.1%	47.1	A	MD	BALTIMORE	146	CARLYN ALEXANDRA ATTMAN 2005 TRUST
8119	Kauai Care Center	0.1%	47.1	A	HI	Waimea	53	REGENCY PACIFIC MANAGEMENT LLC
8120	Holladay Healthcare Center	0.1%	47.1	B	UT	Salt Lake City	120	BEAVER VALLEY HOSPITAL
8121	WINCHESTER REHABILITATION AND NURSING CENTER	0.1%	47.1	A	MA	WINCHESTER	121	BOSTON MASTER TENANT LLC
8122	Avir at Meadow Creek	0.1%	47.1	F	TX	SAN ANGELO	0	STRATFORD HOSPITAL DISTRICT
8123	DOVER CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION	0.1%	47.1	B	NH	DOVER	112	MARVIN OSTREICHER FAMILY TRUST 2012
8124	FISHKILL CENTER FOR REHABILITATION AND NURSING	0.1%	47.1	C	NY	BEACON	160	—
8125	Lenox Care Center	0.1%	47.1	B	IA	Lenox	36	ARBORETA HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTERS LLC
8126	ECHELON CARE & REHAB	0.1%	47.1	B	NJ	VOORHEES	240	PARAMOUNT CARE CENTERS LLC
8127	TOUCHPOINTS AT MANCHESTER	0.1%	47.1	A	CT	MANCHESTER	127	APEX ADVISORS
8128	SPRING MILL MEADOWS	0.1%	47.1	B	IN	INDIANAPOLIS	124	AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
8129	Franklin County Rehab Center, LLC	0.1%	47.1	A	VT	St. Albans	64	THEORIA MEDICAL
8130	CRYSTAL CARE CENTER OF FRANKLIN FURNACE	0.1%	47.1	A	OH	FRANKLIN FURNACE	30	HILLSTONE HEALTHCARE INC
8131	Westwood Hills Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	47.1	A	NC	Wilkesboro	176	PRINCIPLE LONG TERM CARE INC
8132	Northridge Village	0.1%	44.6	A	IA	Ames	38	WSG LLC
8133	WATERS OF MARTINSVILLE, THE	0.1%	44.6	C	IN	MARTINSVILLE	103	PUTNAM COUNTY HOSPITAL
8134	WEDGEWOOD HEALTHCARE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	44.6	B	FL	LAKELAND	120	FDZ CONSULTING LLC
8135	HAYWARD HILLS HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	A	CA	HAYWARD	74	GRANCARE LLC
8136	OTTERBEIN ST MARYS RETIREMENT COMMUNITY	0.1%	44.6	A	OH	ST MARYS	53	OTTERBEIN HOME
8137	TALLWOODS CARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	B	NJ	BAYVILLE	180	EZ CARE
8138	Prairie View Senior Living	0.1%	44.6	A	MN	TRACY	45	AMERICAN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
8139	Parkview Manor Care Center	0.1%	44.6	F	IA	Reinbeck	28	WESTERN HOME SERVICES INC
8140	FARGO ELIM HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	B	ND	FARGO	88	CASSIA
8141	MORRIS NURSING HOME	0.1%	44.6	A	OH	BETHEL	18	—
8142	Cascades at Skyview	0.1%	44.6	C	NE	Bridgeport	48	—
8143	GLEN BROOK REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	D	PA	BERWICK	240	—
8144	WATERS OF INDIANAPOLIS, THE	0.1%	44.6	B	IN	INDIANAPOLIS	81	MAJOR HOSPITAL
8145	Lake Mills Health Services	0.1%	44.6	C	WI	LAKE MILLS	50	NORTH SHORE HEALTHCARE LLC
8146	Heritage Specialty Care	0.1%	44.6	F	IA	Cedar Rapids	171	CARE INITIATIVES
8147	THE CARE CENTER OF HONOLULU	0.1%	44.6	C	HI	HONOLULU	182	—
8148	JUPITER REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	C	FL	JUPITER	120	MD FRIEDMAN FAMILY 2017 TRUST
8149	HILLTOP HEALTHCARE REHABILITATION AND SKILLED NURS	0.1%	44.6	F	MN	DULUTH	140	—
8150	LA BAHIA NURSING AND REHABILITATION	0.1%	44.6	C	TX	GOLIAD	0	HONOR X ENTERPRISES LLC

Showing 8,101–8,150 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.