Ownership-change pipeline

CHOW Radar

p(change of ownership, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

16,900

active SNFs, scored

Model

p_chow_12m v0.1

deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

49.6%

of actual next-12m sales on holdout

Base rate

2.4%

observed 12m CHOW rate, training panels

Ranked by sale probability

851–900

#	Facility	p(CHOW 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
851	CAPITOL RIVER WELLNESS & REHABILITATION	7.3%	95.0	C	MO	JEFFERSON CITY	120	NORBERT A BENNETT IRRV TR FBO CHILDREN
852	FALLING WATER HEALTHCARE CENTER	7.3%	94.9	D	OH	STRONGSVILLE	135	RRW LLC
853	CRESTPARK STUTTGART, LLC	7.3%	94.9	C	AR	STUTTGART	100	BELEW LLC
854	The Oaks-Brevard	7.3%	94.9	B	NC	Brevard	110	UHS PRUITT HOLDINGS INC
855	HUNTER ACRES CARING CENTER	7.3%	94.9	C	MO	SIKESTON	120	SOVEREIGN HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
856	ALLURE OF STOCKTON	7.3%	94.9	A	IL	STOCKTON	49	MN1 MANAGEMENT CORP
857	BROOKFIELD HEALTH AND REHAB OF CASCADIA	7.2%	94.9	C	WA	BATTLE GROUND	83	CASCADIA HEALTHCARE LLC
858	HANCOCK MANOR NURSING HOME	7.2%	94.9	A	TN	SNEEDVILLE	50	TWIN RIVERS HEALTH & REHABILITATION LLC
859	Bridgecrest Rehabilitation Suites	7.2%	94.9	C	TX	Houston	0	LIBERTY COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT NO 1
860	CHAPEL WOODS HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	7.2%	94.9	D	AR	WARREN	140	OVATION HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
861	LINCOLNSHIRE HEALTH & REHABILITATION CENTER	7.2%	94.9	D	IN	MERRILLVILLE	100	MAJOR HOSPITAL
862	LAUREL RIDGE CENTER	7.2%	94.9	B	PA	UNIONTOWN	61	HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
863	PEARL AT KRUSE WAY, The	7.2%	94.9	B	OR	LAKE OSWEGO	74	AVAMERE GROUP LLC
864	RIVERBEND OF SOUTH NATICK	7.2%	94.9	B	MA	S NATICK	55	REHABILITATION ASSOCIATES INC
865	BRENT B TINNIN MANOR	7.2%	94.9	A	MO	ELLINGTON	60	SOVEREIGN HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
866	RANCH HOUSE SENIOR LIVING LLC	7.2%	94.9	C	KS	GARDEN CITY	60	MIDWEST HEALTH INC 06122001
867	Huntington Valley Healthcare Center	7.2%	94.9	B	CA	HUNTINGTON BEACH	144	PACS HOLDINGS LLC
868	FAIRMONT REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER LLC	7.2%	94.9	B	WV	FAIRMONT	120	LRANS FAMILY TRUST
869	Granite Mesa Health Center	7.2%	94.8	D	TX	Marble Falls	0	GUADALUPE COUNTY HOSPITAL BOARD
870	Pruitthealth - Scenic View	7.2%	94.8	A	GA	BALDWIN	148	UHS PRUITT HOLDINGS INC
871	RIVER POINTE OF TRINITY HEALTHCARE AND REHABILITAT	7.2%	94.8	B	TX	TRINITY	0	LIBERTY COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT NO 1
872	Northwest Nursing Center	7.2%	94.8	D	OK	Oklahoma City	100	QUALITY CARE GIVERS INC
873	WINSTON MANOR CNV & NURSING	7.2%	94.8	D	IL	CHICAGO	180	—
874	Landmark of Itasca Rehabilitation and Nursing Cent	7.2%	94.8	D	IL	ITASCA	144	GUBIN ENTERPRISES LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
875	Mesa Springs Healthcare Center	7.2%	94.8	C	TX	Abilene	0	EASTLAND MEMORIAL HOSPITAL DISTRICT
876	Hammonton Center for Rehabilitation and Healthcare	7.2%	94.8	F	NJ	HAMMONTON	240	—
877	AVALON SPRINGS CARE CENTER	7.2%	94.8	C	PA	MERCER	100	UPMC
878	PRAIRIE OASIS	7.2%	94.8	F	IL	SOUTH HOLLAND	135	POINTE MANAGEMENT LLC
879	The Emeralds at Grand Rapids LLC	7.2%	94.8	D	MN	GRAND RAPIDS	93	—
880	EMERALD CARE CENTER SOUTHWEST LLC	7.2%	94.8	D	OK	OKLAHOMA CITY	112	LME FAMILY HOLDINGS LLC
881	BRIDGEWAY SENIOR LIVING	7.2%	94.8	C	IL	BENSENVILLE	226	ATIED ASSOCIATES LLC
882	Alpine Care of Evanston	7.2%	94.8	F	IL	EVANSTON	124	CHAIM RAJCHENBACH DESCENDANTS TR UA 04282008
883	WASHITA VALLEY LIVING CENTER	7.2%	94.8	A	OK	PAULS VALLEY	109	—
884	HELIA HEALTHCARE OF OLNEY	7.2%	94.8	C	IL	OLNEY	118	BRIDGEMARK HEALTHCARE LLC
885	CLEVELAND CARE AND REHAB CENTER	7.1%	94.8	C	OK	CLEVELAND	90	JFB OK TRUST
886	Ladera Center	7.1%	94.8	C	NM	Albuquerque	120	HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
887	FOREST CREEK VILLAGE	7.1%	94.8	C	IN	INDIANAPOLIS	128	AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
888	TRANSCENDENT HEALTHCARE OF BOONVILLE - NORTH	7.1%	94.8	D	IN	BOONVILLE	56	MAJOR HOSPITAL
889	RIDGEWOOD CENTER	7.1%	94.7	C	NJ	RIDGEWOOD	90	HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
890	SOUTHBROOK HEALTHCARE, INC	7.1%	94.7	B	OK	ARDMORE	114	ELMBROOK PROPERTIES INC
891	AdviniaCare Summit Commons, LLC	7.1%	94.7	D	RI	Providence	165	ATHENA HEALTH CARE ASSOCIATES INC
892	OAK PARK NURSING AND REHAB CENTER	7.1%	94.7	C	WI	MADISON	100	—
893	THE RESERVE AT RICHARDSON	7.1%	94.7	F	TX	RICHARDSON	0	HAMILTON COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
894	Plainwell Pines Nursing and Rehabilitation Communi	7.1%	94.7	B	MI	Plainwell	39	ATRIUM CENTERS MANAGEMENT LLC
895	LITTLETON CARE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	7.1%	94.7	A	CO	LITTLETON	35	THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
896	MIRA VISTA COURT	7.1%	94.7	C	TX	FORT WORTH	0	DALLAS COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
897	INGLEWOOD HEALTH CARE CENTER	7.1%	94.7	B	CA	INGLEWOOD	99	GRANCARE LLC
898	LAKEVIEW HEALTH CARE & REHABILITATION CENTER	7.1%	94.7	C	MO	BOONVILLE	59	SOVEREIGN HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
899	WELLBROOKE OF KOKOMO	7.1%	94.7	D	IN	KOKOMO	70	TRILOGY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
900	EAST BAY POST-ACUTE	7.1%	94.7	B	CA	CASTRO VALLEY	91	PACS HOLDINGS LLC

Showing 851–900 of 16,900 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.