Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

8,851–8,900

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
8851	Hiawatha Care Center	0.1%	41.8	A	IA	Hiawatha	109	THOMAS F JUCKETTE MARITAL TRUST
8852	LIFE CARE CENTER OF CARROLLTON	0.1%	41.8	C	MO	CARROLLTON	120	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
8853	Stonebrook Post Acute	0.1%	41.8	C	CA	CONCORD	120	—
8854	PINNACLE HEALTH & REHAB CANTON	0.1%	41.8	A	ME	CANTON	47	—
8855	SANTE OF NORTH SCOTTSDALE	0.1%	41.8	B	AZ	SCOTTSDALE	72	MUNCH TOOKE LLC
8856	Optalis Health and Rehabilitation of Allen Park	0.1%	41.8	C	MI	Allen Park	163	OPTUM MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS INC
8857	AVIATA AT ROSEWOOD	0.1%	41.8	C	FL	ORLANDO	120	—
8858	BLAIR RIDGE HEALTH CAMPUS	0.1%	41.8	C	IN	PERU	55	WITHAM MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
8859	NURSING & REHABILITATION CENTER OF NEW PORT RICHEY	0.1%	41.8	A	FL	NEW PORT RICHEY	120	SH INDIGO CITADEL INVESTORS LLC
8860	MARYLAND GARDENS POST ACUTE	0.1%	41.8	A	AZ	PHOENIX	58	PROVIDENCE GROUP INC
8861	LAKELAND REHAB & HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	C	IL	EFFINGHAM	154	WALNUT CREEK MANAGEMENT COMPANY LLC
8862	STRAFFORD CARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	C	MO	STRAFFORD	78	—
8863	EASTGATE VILLAGE CARE & REHAB CENTER	0.1%	41.8	B	OK	MUSKOGEE	110	10 26 NATIONWIDE TR
8864	Hillcrest Health & Rehab	0.1%	41.8	A	NE	Bellevue	151	HILLCREST HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
8865	LIFE CARE CENTER OF GWINNETT	0.1%	41.8	B	GA	LAWRENCEVILLE	163	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
8866	VIVO HEALTHCARE SEBRING	0.1%	41.8	C	FL	SEBRING	104	NMJ HOLDINGS LLC
8867	AFFINITY HEALTHCARE	0.1%	41.8	A	MA	BRAINTREE	177	—
8868	VALLEY VIEW SENIOR LIFE	0.1%	41.8	B	KS	JUNCTION CITY	100	—
8869	ALDEN ESTATES OF BARRINGTON	0.1%	41.8	D	IL	BARRINGTON	150	ALDEN MANAGEMENT SERVICES INC
8870	THE MEADOWS ON UNIVERSITY	0.1%	41.8	D	ND	FARGO	95	EDURO HEALTHCARE LLC
8871	SUSANNA WESLEY HEALTH CENTER	0.1%	41.8	B	FL	HIALEAH	120	HEALTHCARE INVESTMENT HOLDINGS LLC
8872	THE REGENCY SKILLED NURSING AND THERAPY	0.1%	41.8	B	OK	SHAWNEE	110	BRIDGES ESOP INC
8873	MEADOWBROOK CARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	B	TX	VAN ALSTYNE	0	DALLAS COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
8874	BRYAN COUNTY HLTH & REHAB CTR	0.1%	41.8	A	GA	RICHMOND HILL	100	—
8875	PROGRESSIVE CARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	A	CO	CANON CITY	68	FRONTIER MANAGEMENT INC
8876	DAYSPRING OF MIAMI VALLEY HLTH CARE CENTER & REHAB	0.1%	41.8	B	OH	FAIRBORN	133	CARESPRING HEALTH CARE HOLDINGS LP
8877	VILLAGE AT HILLSIDE	0.1%	41.8	A	OR	MCMINNVILLE	20	HUMANGOOD
8878	Many Healthcare and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	41.8	F	LA	Many	162	NEXION HEALTH INC
8879	Majestic Care of Clyde	0.1%	41.8	A	OH	CLYDE	74	MAJESTIC MANAGEMENT LLC
8880	Wilkesboro Health and Rehabilitation	0.1%	41.8	B	NC	North Wilkesboro	111	—
8881	Deep Creek Health & Rehabilitation	0.1%	41.8	C	VA	CHESAPEAKE	120	WEST COAST COMMONWEALTH LLC
8882	Falcon Ridge Rehabilitation	0.1%	41.8	F	TX	Hutto	0	SOUTH LIMESTONE HOSPITAL DISTRICT
8883	Lovington Healthcare LLC	0.1%	41.8	C	NM	Lovington	62	SASEM INVESTMENTS LLC
8884	ALLURE OF PERU	0.1%	41.8	C	IL	PERU	127	MN1 MANAGEMENT CORP
8885	REDWOOD TERRACE HEALTH CENTER	0.1%	41.8	A	CA	ESCONDIDO	59	HUMANGOOD
8886	PALMETTO SUBACUTE CARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	B	FL	MIAMI	95	—
8887	EDGEWOOD HEALTH AND REHAB	0.1%	41.8	A	AR	SPRINGDALE	100	OVATION HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
8888	ABBOTSFORD HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	C	WI	ABBOTSFORD	78	BEDROCK HC WI LLC
8889	DIVERSICARE OF BIG SPRINGS	0.1%	41.8	A	AL	HUNTSVILLE	145	DAC ACQUISITION LLC
8890	Colonial Manor Nursing Center	0.1%	41.8	D	TX	Cleburne	0	CORYELL COUNTY MEMORIAL HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
8891	PADDOCK SPRINGS	0.1%	41.8	C	IN	WARSAW	60	HANCOCK REGIONAL HOSPITAL
8892	4ANGELS OF BYROMVILLE HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	41.8	A	GA	BYROMVILLE	—	—
8893	KADIMA REHABILITATION & NURSING AT NEW WILMINGTON	0.1%	41.8	B	PA	NEW WILMINGTON	115	—
8894	HUNTINGDON SKILLED NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENT	0.1%	41.8	B	PA	HUNTINGDON VALLEY	125	HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
8895	Benedictine Care Community	0.1%	41.8	C	MN	ADA	49	BENEDICTINE HEALTH SYSTEM
8896	MID-DEL SKILLED NURSING AND THERAPY	0.1%	41.8	B	OK	DEL CITY	61	BRIDGES ESOP INC
8897	SUNSHINE HEALTH & REHAB	0.1%	41.8	B	WA	SPOKANE	37	—
8898	PA PETERSON AT THE CITADEL	0.1%	41.8	C	IL	ROCKFORD	129	—
8899	BILLDORA SENIOR CARE	0.1%	41.8	A	MS	TYLERTOWN	60	TILLMAN SENIOR CARE LLC
8900	LIFE CARE CENTER OF PORT TOWNSEND	0.1%	41.8	D	WA	PORT TOWNSEND	94	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC

Showing 8,851–8,900 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.