Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

10,551–10,600

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
10551	WETUMPKA HEALTH AND REHABILITATION, LLC	0.0%	27.7	A	AL	WETUMPKA	121	JAMES NORMAN ESTES JR TR
10552	COUNTRY CLUB RET CENTER I I I	0.0%	27.7	A	OH	ASHTABULA	73	HOLLAND GROUP II LTD
10553	GOLDWATER PONTIAC NURSING HOME	0.0%	27.7	B	IL	PONTIAC	90	YOSEF MEYSTEL DECLARATION OF TR OF YOSEF MEYSTEL TTEE
10554	Signature Healthcare at Summit Manor Rehab & Welln	0.0%	27.7	C	KY	Columbia	104	WHEATEN LLC
10555	PINES AT BRISTOL FOR NURSING & REHABILITATION, THE	0.0%	27.7	B	CT	BRISTOL	132	MARVIN OSTREICHER FAMILY TRUST 2012
10556	APERION CARE TOLLESTON PARK	0.0%	27.7	D	IN	GARY	178	—
10557	Nexus at Alton	0.0%	27.7	F	IL	ALTON	181	WHEAT CHAFF LP
10558	REGENCY ALBANY	0.0%	27.7	B	OR	ALBANY	74	REGENCY PACIFIC MANAGEMENT LLC
10559	Martin County Health Care Facility	0.0%	27.7	B	KY	Inez	65	VALLEY STREAM OPERATOR I LLC
10560	Golden Crest Nursing Centre	0.0%	27.7	A	RI	North Providence	152	—
10561	Wurtland Nursing and Rehabilitation	0.0%	27.7	B	KY	Wurtland	126	BLUEGRASS CONSULTING GROUP LLC
10562	Broadway Care & Rehab Center	0.0%	27.7	B	OK	Muskogee	105	10 26 NATIONWIDE TR
10563	Embassy at Morehead City	0.0%	27.7	—	NC	MOREHEAD CITY	42	—
10564	Treyburn Rehabilitation Center	0.0%	27.7	A	NC	Durham	132	SOUTHERN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT LLC
10565	TEMPLE CITY HEALTHCARE	0.0%	27.7	A	CA	TEMPLE CITY	59	MAYER 2012 TRUST
10566	HERITAGE COURT POST ACUTE OF SCOTTSDALE	0.0%	27.7	B	AZ	SCOTTSDALE	108	THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
10567	CHILDRENS HC ORG NO CA -PEDIATRIC HOSPITAL D/P SNF	0.0%	27.7	A	CA	CAMPBELL	27	INNOVATIONS HEALTH SYSTEMS LLC
10568	BELMONT CARE AND REHABILITATION	0.0%	27.7	B	OR	PORTLAND	41	SAPPHIRE HEALTHCARE SRVS
10569	DECATUR HEALTH & REHAB CENTER	0.0%	27.7	F	AL	DECATUR	119	M MELB OPCO LLC
10570	SOLARIS HEALTHCARE EAST ORLANDO	0.0%	27.7	A	FL	ORLANDO	110	SEAM TRUST
10571	GARDENS AT CAMP HILL, THE	0.0%	27.7	A	PA	CAMP HILL	95	PHILIPSON FAMILY LIMITED LIABILITY COMPANY LLC
10572	Advanced Health Care of Coeur d'Alene	0.0%	27.7	A	ID	Coeur d'Alene	34	THE GAIL MILLER GST TRUST
10573	SEVEN HILLS HEALTH & REHAB CENTER	0.0%	27.7	C	OH	SEVEN HILLS	80	BNV DYNASTY LLC
10574	AZALEA HEALTH CENTER BY HARBORVIEW	0.0%	27.7	C	GA	AUGUSTA	99	CL 2022 IRRV TR
10575	GOLDEN YEARS NURSING CENTER	0.0%	27.7	A	OH	HAMILTON	70	FOUNDATIONS HEALTH LLC
10576	BAYSHIRE CARLSBAD	0.0%	27.7	A	CA	CARLSBAD	45	BAYSHIRE LLC
10577	EDGEWOOD MANOR HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.0%	27.7	D	MO	RAYTOWN	91	RELIANT CARE MANAGEMENT COMPANY LLC
10578	PALACE AT KENDALL NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTE	0.0%	27.7	A	FL	MIAMI	180	PROFESSIONAL CARE I INC
10579	Lakeshore Manor Nursing & Rehab	0.0%	27.7	D	LA	Slidell	110	LA10 HOLDINGS LLC
10580	SHREWSBURY REHABILITATION AND NURSING AT SOUTHGATE	0.0%	27.7	B	MA	SHREWSBURY	99	JMH FAMILY LLC
10581	Signature Pointe	0.0%	27.7	D	TX	Dallas	0	VILLAGE SENIOR CARE LLC
10582	QUADRANGLE	0.0%	27.7	A	PA	HAVERFORD	63	HEALTHPEAK OP LLC
10583	Pleasant Acres Care Center	0.0%	27.7	C	IA	Hull	46	CAMPBELL STREET SERVICES LLC
10584	SMITH COUNTY HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.0%	27.7	A	TN	CARTHAGE	128	ZANZIPER FAMILY TRUST
10585	MADISON HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.0%	27.7	C	WI	MADISON	83	—
10586	Holt Senior Care and Rehab Center	0.0%	27.7	A	MI	Holt	101	NEXCARE HEALTH SYSTEMS LLC
10587	BRONX CENTER FOR REHABILITATION & HEALTH CARE	0.0%	27.7	A	NY	BRONX	200	—
10588	Bayside Manor LLC	0.0%	27.7	B	MN	GAYLORD	44	SPARTAN HEALTHCARE LLC
10589	Signature Healthcare at Jackson Manor Rehab and We	0.0%	27.7	C	KY	Annville	51	WHEATEN LLC
10590	Canterbury Place	0.0%	27.7	C	PA	PITTSBURGH	115	UPMC
10591	WECARE AT MURRYSVILLE REHAB AND NURSING CENTER	0.0%	27.7	D	PA	MURRYSVILLE	120	—
10592	LANDMARK MEDICAL CENTER	0.0%	27.7	B	CA	POMONA	95	—
10593	Granite Rehabilitation and Wellness	0.0%	27.7	D	WY	Cheyenne	146	COUVE FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC
10594	KADIMA REHABILITATION & NURSING AT NEW CASTLE	0.0%	27.7	B	PA	NEW CASTLE	62	KADIMA HEALTHCARE GROUP INC
10595	ADMIRAL'S POINTE NURSING & REHABILITATION	0.0%	27.7	A	OH	HURON	90	FOUNDATIONS HEALTH LLC
10596	Five Points Nursing and Rehabilitation	0.0%	27.7	B	TX	Amarillo	0	LIBERTY COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT NO 1
10597	Clay County Health and Rehabilitation	0.0%	27.7	A	NC	Hayesville	90	SNF MGR LLC
10598	West Bloomfield Health and Rehabilitation Center	0.0%	27.7	A	MI	West Bloomfield	172	MOHAMMAD A QAZI LIVING TRUST DATED 09 26 97
10599	BROOKSIDE CARE STRATEGIES	0.0%	27.7	D	IN	MUNCIE	42	—
10600	HIGH PLAINS POST ACUTE LLC	0.0%	27.7	B	CO	PUEBLO	59	CONTINUUM HEALTH MANAGEMENT LLC

Showing 10,551–10,600 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.